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Research Article

Robust confidence regions for the index and functional coefficients in the single-index varying coefficients regression model

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Received 10 Nov 2023, Accepted 06 May 2024, Published online: 15 May 2024
 

Abstract

A single-index varying coefficients regression model is considered, from which robust confidence regions/intervals of the regression parameters are derived. Considering the rank-based estimating equations, empirical likelihood objective functions of the index and functional coefficients objective functions are defined and their asymptotic properties are established under mild regularity conditions. The performance of the proposed approach is demonstrated via extensive Monte Carlo simulation experiments. The simulation results are compared with those obtained from a normal approximation alternative. Also the proposed method is compared with the least squares and least absolute deviations alternatives. Finally, a real data example is given to illustrate the method.

2000 AMS Subject Classifications:

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Appendix

The following lemma is necessary in the proof of Theorem 3.2

Lemma 4.1

Set Pjn(G(t0))=1ni=1n[∇G(t0i)]τziφ(F~ijn(vij(G(t0i))))vij(G(t0i))wi(t0i), where F~ijn is the cumulative distribution function of vij(G(t0)). Under (I1)(I8), we have limnsupG(t0)Jjn(G(t0))Pjn(G(t0))=0a.s.

Proof.

Following [Citation32], it is not hard to show that R(vij(G(t0)))/(n+1)F~ijn(vij(G(t0)))0a.s.,for all i, j=1,2.By continuity of φ together with the generalized continuous mapping theorem [Citation33], we have max1in|φ(R(vij(G(t0i)))/(n+1))φ(F~ijn(vij(G(t0i))))|0a.s. On the other hand, Jjn(G(t0))Pjn(G(t0))1ni=1n∇G(t0i)zi|φ(R(vij(G(t0i)))n+1)φ(F~ijn(vij(G(t0i))))||wi(t0i)|.Note that by definition, |wi(t0)|1 and by assumption (I3), ∇G(t0)k=0qJk(x). Then, by Cauchy–Schwarz inequality, we have Jjn(G(t0))Pjn(G(t0))1ni=1n{k=0qJk(xi)}zi|φ(R(vij(G(t0i)))n+1)φ(F~ijn(vij(G(t0i))))|[1ni=1n{k=0qJk(xi)}2zi2]1/2×[max1in|φ(R(vij(G(t0i)))n+1)φ(F~ijn(vij(G(t0i))))|2]1/2.By (I3) and (I6), E[{k=0qJk(xi)}2zi2]<. So, by the Strong Law of Large Numbers, 1ni=1n{k=0qJk(xi)}2zi2E[{k=0qJk(x)}2z2]<a.s. Moreover, as n, max1in|φ(R(vij(G(t0i)))n+1)φ(F~ijn(vij(G(t0i))))|20a.s.Thus, limnsupG(t0)Jjn(G(t0))Pjn(G(t0))=0a.s.

Proof of Theorem 3.1

By definition, λ satisfies 1ni=1nzij(β0)1+λτzij(β0)=0.Now, by assumption (I1) and (I3), one can obtain in a straightforward manner that max1inzij(β0)=op(n1/2). Also, n1i=1nzij(β0)3=op(n1/2). Following the same argument as in [Citation34], we obtain that λ=Op(n1/2), and by Theorem 2.3 of [Citation23], Sjn(β0)=Op(n1/2). From this, a Taylor expansion to the right hand side of Equation (Equation8) gives Rj(β0)=2i=1n[λτzij(β0)12(λτzij(β0))2]+γn,where γn=Op(1)i=1n|λτzij(β0)|3=Op(1)λ3i=1nzij(β0)3=op(1). On the other hand, note that solving Equation (Equation8) is equivalent to solving 1ni=1nzij(β0)(1λτzij(β0))+1ni=1zij(β0)(λτzij(β0))21+λτzij(β0)=0,which in turn can be rewritten as (17) 1ni=1nzij(β0)(1ni=1nzij(β0)zijτ(β0))λ+1ni=1zij(β0)(λτzij(β0))21+λτzij(β0)=0.(17) This implies that λ=(1ni=1nzij(β0)zijτ(β0))11ni=1nzij(β0)+(1ni=1nzij(β0)zijτ(β0))1×1ni=1zij(β0)(λτzij(β0))21+λτzij(β0)from which, it follows that λ=(1ni=1nzij(β0)zijτ(β0))11ni=1nzij(β0)+op(1),since (1ni=1nzij(β0)zijτ(β0))11ni=1nzij(β0)(λτzij(β0))21+λτzij(β0)=op(1). Also, premultiplying Equation (Equation17) by λ, yields 1ni=1nλτzij(β0)1ni=1n(λτzij(β0))2+1ni=1n(λτzij(β0))31+λτzij(β0)=0,which in turn results in i=1n(λτzij(β0))2=i=1nλτzij(β0)+op(1)since i=1n(λτzij(β0))31+λτzij(β0)=op(1). Hence, Rj(β0)=i=1nλτzij(β0)+op(1)=(1ni=1nzij(β0))τ(i=1nzij(β0)zijτ(β0))1(1ni=1nzij(β0))+op(1)From this, note that by Theorem 2.3 of [Citation23], we have 1ni=1nzij(β0)zijτ(β0)Vja.s.Thus Rj(β0)(Vj1/2nSjn(β0))τ(Vj1/2nSjn(β0))+op(1).Hence, noting that Vj1/2nSnj(β0) DNp(0,I), where I is a p×p identity matrix, Rj(β0) Dχp2 and the proof is complete.

Proof of Theorem 3.2

For fixed t0 and from Equation (Equation13), ξ satisfies (18) 1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i)1+ξτϕij(G(t0i))=0.(18) Now, by Assumptions (I1) and (I3), one can obtain in a straightforward manner that max1inϕij(t0i)=op(nhnq+1). Also, 1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(t0i)3=op(nhnq+1). Following the same argument as in the proof of Theorem 3.1, we have ξ=Op(1/nhnq+1), and by Lemma 3.1, Jjn(G(t0))=Op(nhnq+1). Once again, a direct application of the Taylor expansion up to order 2 to the right-hand side of Equation (Equation14) gives Hj(G(t0))=2i=1n[ξτϕij(G(t0i))12(ξτϕij(G(t0i))))2]+ξn,where ξn=Op(1)i=1n|ξτϕij(G(t0i))|3=Op(1)ξ3i=1nϕij(G(t0i))3=op(1). Following similar argument as in the proof of Theorem 3.1, solving Equation (Equation18) is equivalent to solving 1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))(1ξτϕij(G(t0i)))+1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))(ξτϕij(G(t0i)))21+ξτϕij(G(t0i))=0,which in turn can be rewritten as (19) 1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))(1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))ϕijτ(G(t0i)))ξ+1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))(ξτϕij(G(t0i)))21+ξτϕij(G(t0i))=0.(19) Solving this equation for ξ gives ξ=(1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))ϕijτ(G(t0i)))11nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))+(1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))ϕijτ(G(t0i)))11nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))(ξτϕij(G(t0i)))21+ξτϕij(G(t0i)),from which, it follows that ξ=(1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))ϕijτ(G(t0i)))11nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))+op(1),as (1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))ϕijτ(G(t0i)))11nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))(ξτϕij(G(t0i)))21+ξτϕij(G(t0i))=op(1). Moreover, premultiplying Equation (Equation19) by ξ, yields 1nhnq+1i=1nξτϕij(G(t0i))1nhnq+1i=1n(ξτϕij(G(t0i)))2+1nhnq+1i=1nξτϕij(G(t0i)))31+ξτϕij(G(t0i))=0,which in turn results in i=1n(ξτϕij(G(t0i)))2=i=1nξτϕij(G(t0i))+op(1)since i=1n(ξτϕij(G(t0i)))31+ξτϕij(G(t0i))=op(1). Thus Hj(G(t0))=i=1nξτϕij(G(t0i))+op(1)=(1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i)))τ(1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))ϕijτ(G(t0i)))1×(1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i)))+op(1).Noting that 1nhnq+1i=1nϕij(G(t0i))ϕijτ(G(t0i))=Ωnj is symmetric, we have Hj(G(t0i))=(Ωnj1/2(t0)nhnq+1Jjn(G(t0)))τ(Ωnj1/2(t0)nhnq+1Jjn(G(t0)))+op(1).To this end, from Remark 3.2, Ωnj1/2(t0)nhnq+1Jjn(G(t0)) DNq+1(0,I), where I is a (q+1)×(q+1) identity matrix. Thus Hj(G(t0i)) Dχq+12, which completes the proof.

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