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Global Change, Peace & Security
formerly Pacifica Review: Peace, Security & Global Change
Volume 34, 2022 - Issue 1
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Research Articles

Shadow economies: the role of corruption and economic development

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Pages 1-15 | Received 29 Jul 2021, Accepted 17 Jan 2022, Published online: 01 Feb 2022
 

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 global pandemic has had a devastating impact on economies and could lead to a surge in shadow or informal economic activity. Perhaps more than ever it is imperative to understand the nature and drivers of shadow economies. The primary focus of this analysis is to reexamine the relationship between corruption and shadow economies by extending previous research to consider a possible moderating effect between economic development and corruption on shadow economies. It is hypothesised that the effect of corruption on the shadow economy will vary with the level of economic development, with corruption having the strongest positive effect in low income countries, but this effect will be mitigated as the level of economic development increases. We find empirical evidence to support this hypothesis using multiple data measures of country corruption and the size of the shadow economy. Policy implications are offered based on the empirical results.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Notes

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2 Maurizio Bovi, ‘The Nature of the Underground Economy – Some Evidence from OECD Countries,’ ISAE, Istituto di studi e analisi economica, 2002, (2003); F. Schneider and Enste, D., ‘Shadow Economies: Size, Causes, and Consequences,’ Journal of Economic Literature, 38 (no. 1), 2000: pp. 77 -114.

3 Y. Bayar, Odabas, H., Sasmaz, M.U., and Ozturk, O.F. ‘Corruption and the Shadow Economy in Transition Economies of European Union: A Panel Cointegration and Causality Analysis,’ Economic Research, 31(1), 2018: pp. 1940–1952; Bovi, ‘The Nature of the Underground Economy’.

4 Bovi, ‘The Nature of the Underground Economy’; H. Virta, Corruption and shadow economy: Differences in the relationship between countries, HECER Discussion Paper No. 171, 2007.

5 Schneider and Enste, ‘Shadow Economies: Size, Causes, and Consequences’.

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8 Ibid.

9 S. Rose-Ackerman, ‘The challenge of poor governance and corruption’, Especial 1 DIREITO GV L. Rev., 207, 2005.

10 Schneider and Enste, ‘Shadow Economies: Size, Causes, and Consequences’.

11 A. Dreher & Schneider, F., Corruption and the shadow economy: an empirical analysis. Public Choice, 144(1), 2010, 215-238.

12 Bayar, et al., ‘Corruption and the Shadow Economy in Transition Economies of European Union’; Bovi, ‘The Nature of the Underground Economy’; Virta, ‘Corruption and shadow economy’.

13 Dreher and Schneider, ‘Corruption and the shadow economy’.

14 Dreher and Schneider, ‘Corruption and the shadow economy’.

15 Schneider and Enste, ‘Shadow Economies: Size, Causes, and Consequences’.

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17 Hibbs and Piculescu, ‘Institutions, corruption and tax evasion in the unofficial economy’, 2.

18 Ibid.

19 Hindriks, et al., ‘Corruption, extortion and evasion’.

20 Ibid., 396.

21 Johnson, et al., Corruption, public finances and the unofficial economy.

22 Virta, ‘Corruption and shadow economy’.

23 Dreher and Schneider, ‘Corruption and the shadow economy’.

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26 Bayar, et al., ‘Corruption and the Shadow Economy in Transition Economies of European Union’; A. Dreher, and Schneider, F., Corruption and the shadow economy: An empirical analysis, IZA DP No. 1936, 2006; Dreher and Schneider, ‘Corruption and the shadow economy: an empirical analysis’, (2010).

27 F. Boehm and Olaya, J., ‘Corruption in public contracting auctions: the role of transparency in bidding processes’, Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, 77(4), 2006, 431-452.

28 Dreher and Schneider, ‘Corruption and the shadow economy: an empirical analysis’, (2010).

29 Ibid.

30 Ibid.

31 Ibid.

32 Ibid., 218.

33 Ibid.

34 Virta, ‘Corruption and shadow economy’, 3.

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36 Virta, ‘Corruption and shadow economy’.

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38 Rose–Ackerman, ‘Corruption and government’.

39 S. Gupta, Davoodi, H., & Tiongson, E., Corruption and the provision of health care and education services, Routledge, 2001, pp. 123-153.

40 Virta, ‘Corruption and shadow economy’.

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44 John K. Wilson and Damania, Richard, ‘Corruption, political competition, and environmental policy’, Journal of Economics and Management, 49, 2005: pp. 516 -535; S. Rose-Ackerman, Corruption: a study in political economy, Academic Press. New York, 1978; H. Welsch, ‘Corruption, growth, and the environment: A cross-country analysis’, Environment and Development Economics, 9, 2004, 663-693.

45 Gregory S. Amacher, Ollikainen, Markku, and Koskela, Erkki, ‘Corruption and forest concessions’, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 63, 2012, pp. 92–104.

46 Wilson and Damania, ‘Corruption, political competition, and environmental policy’.

47 Aksel Sundsröm, ‘Corruption and regulatory compliance: Experimental findings from South African small-scale fisheries’, Marine Policy, 36: 2012, 1255–1264.

48 World Bank, ‘Anti-Corruption’.

49 United Nations Global Initiative to Fight Human Trafficking (GIFT), ‘Corruption and Human Trafficking: The Grease that Facilitates the Crime’. In The Vienna Forum to fight Human Trafficking, 2008, February, pp. 13-15; C. Niethammer, ‘Cracking the $150 Billion Business of Human Trafficking’, Forbes, 2020, Recuperado de: https://www. forbes. com/sites/carmenniethammer/2020/02/02/cracking.

50 O. Agbu, ‘Corruption and human trafficking: The Nigerian case’, West Africa Review, 4 (1), 2003, 1- 13; A. C. S. Studnicka, ‘Corruption and human trafficking in Brazil: Findings from a multi-modal approach’, European Journal of Criminology, 7 (1), 2010, 29–43.

51 K. Bales, Understanding global slavery. Berkeley: University of California Press, 2005.

52 Dreher and Schneider, ‘Corruption and the shadow economy: an empirical analysis’, (2010).

53 Tanzi, ‘Corruption around the world’.

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55 Bayar, et al., ‘Corruption and the Shadow Economy in Transition Economies of European Union’, p. 1950.

56 C. M. Huynh and Nguyen, T. L., ‘Fiscal policy and shadow economy in Asian developing countries: does corruption matter?’, Empirical Economics, 59 (4), 2020, 1745-1761.

57 S. Johnson, Kaufmann, D., & Zoido-Lobaton, P., ‘Regulatory discretion and the unofficial economy’, The American economic review, 88 (2), 1998, 387-392.

58 Johnson, et al., Corruption, public finances and the unofficial economy.

59 G. Manolas, Rontos, K., Sfakianakis, G., & Vavouras, I., ‘The determinants of the shadow economy: The case of Greece’, International Journal of Criminology and Sociological Theory, 6 (1), 2013.

60 S. N. Borlea, Achim, M. V., & Miron, M. G., ‘Corruption, shadow economy and economic growth: An empirical survey across the European Union countries’, Studia Universitatis Vasile Goldiș Arad, Seria Științe Economice, 27(2), 2017, 19-32.

61 Hibbs and Piculescu, ‘Institutions, corruption and tax evasion in the unofficial economy’.

62 I. M. Ouédraogo, ‘Governance, corruption, and the informal economy’, Modern Economy, 8 (2), 2017, 256.

63 L. Medina and Schneider, M. F., Shadow economies around the world: what did we learn over the last 20 years?, International Monetary Fund, 2018.

64 Ibid.

65 Ibid.

66 Ibid.

67 H.V. Cuong, Luu, H. N., & Tuan, L. Q., ‘The impact of the shadow economy on foreign direct investment’, Applied Economics Letters, 28 (5), 2021, 391-396.

68 G. Alarcón-García, Azorín, J. D. B., & de la Vega, M. D. M. S., ‘Shadow economy and national culture: A spatial approach’, Hacienda Pública Española/Review of Public Economics, 232 (1), 2020, 53-74.

69 C. M. Huynh, ‘Shadow economy and air pollution in developing Asia: what is the role of fiscal policy?’, Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, 22 (3), 2020, 357-381.

70 L. Medina and Schneider, F., ‘Shedding light on the shadow economy: A global database and the interaction with the official one’, CESifo Working Paper, No. 7981, Centre for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich, 2019.

71 World Bank. (n.d.) Worldwide Governance Indicators. FAQs. Available http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/#faq (Accessed July 9, 2021).

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73 Transparency International (n.d.). Available https://www.transparency.org/what-is-corruption#define accessed July 9, 2021.

74 C. E. DiRienzo and Das, J., ‘Women in government, environment, and corruption’, Environmental Development, 30, 2019, 103-113.

75 E. Berg, How should corruption be measured?. London School of Econ. Polit Sci., EC428, 2001.

76 S. Saha, Gounder, R., & Jen-Je, S., ‘Is there a" consensus" towards transparency international's corruption perceptions index?’, International Journal of Business Studies: A Publication of the Faculty of Business Administration, Edith Cowan University, 20 (1), 2012, 1-9.

77 European Research Centre for Anti-Corruption and State-Building. (n.d.) Index of Public Integrity. Available https://integrity-index.org/about/ (accessed July 9, 2021).

78 Ibid.

79 A. Mungiu-Pippidi and Dadašov, R., Measuring control of corruption by a new index of public integrity, European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research, 22 (3), 2016, 415-438.

80 Index of Economic Freedom (2021). Available at https://www.heritage.org/index/download (accessed July 9, 2021).

81 Ibid.

82 Ibid.

83 J. D. Gwartney, Lawson, R. A., & Clark, J. R., ‘Economic Freedom of the world, 2002’, The Independent Review, 9(4), 2005, 573-593.

84 Gwartney, et al, ‘Economic Freedom of the world, 2002’.

85 Medina and Schneider, Shadow economies around the world.

86 Medina and Schneider, ‘Shedding light on the shadow economy’.

87 Dreher and Schneider, (2010), ‘Corruption and the shadow economy’.

88 Ibid.

89 Boehm and Olaya, ‘Corruption in public contracting auctions’; Dreher and Schneider, ‘Corruption and the shadow economy’ (2010); Tanzi, ‘Corruption around the world’.

90 Dreher and Schneider, ‘Corruption and the shadow economy’ (2010).

Additional information

Notes on contributors

Cassandra E. DiRienzo

Cassandra DiRienzo, a professor of economics, writes on issues related to female empowerment, corruption, and the economics of human trafficking. She has recently published in the Journal of Human Trafficking, Environmental Development, and Crime, Law and Social Change.

Jayoti Das

Jayoti Das, a professor of economics, writes on issues related ⁣to corruption and economics of tourism. She recently published in Environmental Development and International Criminal Justice Review.

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