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Abstract

Japan announced its new space security blueprint in June 2023. The new blueprint lays down a ten-year roadmap for the country to enhance the utilization of space for its military. While the announcement has been widely perceived as a ‘first’, it is in fact a crystallization of Japan’s space security strategies over the last few decades. This article interprets the blueprint in light of Japan’s counterstrike doctrine. It traces Japan’s rise as a military space power since the 1970s and analyses its evolving approach to space security. Continuities and changes in the 2023 blueprint are assessed against Japan’s historic policies.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Notes

1. Michael J. Green and Richard J. Samuels, ‘Recalculating Autonomy: Japan’s Choices in the New World Order’, The National Bureau of Asian Research Analysis, 1994, p. 5 at https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/144373/vol5no4.pdf (Accessed 31 July 2023).

2. Anupama Vijayakumar and Vineeth Krishnan, ‘Pursuit of Autonomy: An Assessment of Japan’s Latent Counterspace Capabilities’, Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs, 10 (1), 25 March 2023, pp.24–46.

3. Lim Tai Wei, Japan’s Space Programme: The Final Frontier, EAI Background Brief No.1560, National University of Singapore, 1 October 2020, https://research.nus.edu.sg/eai/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2021/08/EAIBB-No.-1560-Japans-space-programme-2–1.pdf (Accessed 1 August 2023).

4. Paul Kallender and Christopher W. Hughes, ‘Hiding in Plain Sight: Japan’s Militarization of Space and Challenges to the Yoshida Doctrine’, Asian Security, 15 (2), 5 March 2018, pp. 180–204.

5. Anupama Vijayakumar, Japan’s Rise as a Space Power, The Japan Times, 28 January 2020 at https://www.japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2020/01/28/commentary/japan-commentary/japans-rise-space-power/ (Accessed 1 August 2023).

6. Maria Rost Rublee, ‘The Nuclear Threshold States: Challenges and Opportunities posed by Brazil and Japan’, The Nonproliferation Review, 17 (1), 18 January 2020, pp.49–70.

7. Saadia M. Pekkanen, ‘Neoclassical Realism in Japan’s Space Security’, in Robert J. Pekkanen and Saadia M. Pekkanen (eds.), The Oxford Handbook of Japanese Politics, Oxford University Press, New York, 2022, pp.763–790.

8. Kazuto Suzuki, ‘Historical Evolution of Japan’s Space Policy’, in Kai-Uwe Schrogl (ed.), Handbook of Space Security: Policies, Applications and Programs, Springer, Cham, 2020, pp. 555–569.

9. JAXA, ‘1969 US-Japan Space Agreement (31 July 31, 1969)’ at https://stage.tksc.jaxa.jp/spacelaw/world/1_09/09.E–1.pdf (Accessed 3 August 2023).

10. Daisuke Akimoto, The Abe Doctrine: Japan’s Proactive Pacifism and Security Strategy, Palgrave Macmillan, 2018.

11. Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Diplomatic Bluebook, 1991 at https://www.mofa.go.jp/policy/other/bluebook/1991/1991-contents.htm#CONTENTS (Accessed 1 August 2023).

12. Kazuto Suzuki, ‘Space Security in Japan’s New Strategy Documents’, Commentary, Center for Strategic and International Studies, 21 June 2023 at https://www.csis.org/analysis/space-security-japans-new-strategy-documents#:~:text=In%20order%20to%20enable%20the,security%20capabilities%20on%20the%20ground (Accessed 1 August 2023).

13. Manuel Manriquez, ‘Japan’s Space Law Revision: The Next Step Toward Re-Militarization?’ Nuclear Threat Initiative Report, 31 December 2007 at https://www.nti.org/analysis/articles/japans-space-law-revision/ (Accessed 24 July 2023).

14. Yasuhito Fukushima, ‘Japan’s Use of Space for Defense Purposes: Continuity and Change Before and After the Enactment of the Basic Space Law’, Briefing Memo, National Institute for Defense Studies, March 2017 at http://www.nids.mod.go.jp/english/researchfellow/anzen/06-fukushima.html (Accessed 1 August 2023).

15. Sarah Buckley, ‘Analysis: Japan’s Spy Satellites’, BBC, 28 March 2003 at https://www.tandfonline.com/action/authorSubmission?show=instructions&journalCode=rsan20#Style_guidelines (Accessed 2 August 2023).

16. Manuel Manriquez, no. 13.

17. Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, ‘Basic Space Law (Law No. 43 of 2008)’, 21 May 2008 at https://stage.tksc.jaxa.jp/spacelaw/country/japan/27A–1.E.pdf (Accessed 3 August 2023).

18. Ryo Nemoto, ‘Japan Expands Fleet of Aegis Missile Destroyers to 8’, Nikkei Asia, 22 November 2022 at https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Japan-expands-fleet-of-Aegis-missile-defense-destroyers-to-8 (Accessed 3 August 2023).

19. Lia Wong, ‘Japanese Defense Budget Expansion Includes Two 20 Ton Cruisers’, Overt Defense, 1 September 2022 at https://www.overtdefense.com/2022/09/01/japanese-defense-budget-expansion-includes-two-20000-ton-cruisers/ (Accessed 1 August 2023).

20. Saadia M. Pekkanen, no. 7.

21. Joan Johnson-Freese, Space as a Strategic Asset, Columbia University Press, New York, 2007, p. 115.

22. Anupama Vijayakumar and Vineeth Krishnan, no. 2.

23. Ibid.

24. JAXA, ‘Japanese Experiment Module Remote Manipulator System’, 29 August 2008 at https://iss.jaxa.jp/en/kibo/about/kibo/rms/ (Accessed 2 August 2023).

25. Todd Harrison, International Perspectives on Space Weapons 2020, Project Report, Center for Strategic and International Studies, May 2020, p.VI at https://amostech.com/TechnicalPapers/2020/SSA-SDA/Harrison.pdf (Accessed 2 August 2023).

26. ‘Japan Approves 1st National Strategy on Space Security’, United News of India, 13 June 2023 at http://www.uniindia.com/japan-approves-1st-national-strategy-on-space-security/world/news/2990289.html (Accessed 1 August 2023); Riyaz ul Khaliq, ‘Japan Adopts New Strategy to Boost Space Security’, 13 June 2023 at https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/japan-adopts-new-strategy-to-boost-space-security/2920972 (Accessed 1 August 2023); ‘Japan Adopts Space Security Policy and Vows to Expand Defense Use’, The Japan Times, 13 June 2023 at https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2023/06/13/national/japan-space-strategy-china-russia (Accessed 1 August 2023); Ryota Ogata, ‘Japan Focuses on Missile Defense in Its First Space Security Policy’, Nikkei Asia, 14 June 2023 at https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Defense/Japan-focuses-on-missile-defense-in-its-first-space-security-policy (Accessed 1 August 2023).

27. Saadia M. Pekkanen, no. 7.

28. National Space Policy Secretariat, Cabinet Office, Japan, Outline of the Basic Plan on Space Policy (Provisional Translation), 30 June 2020, p. 2 at https://www8.cao.go.jp/space/english/basicplan/2020/abstract_0701.pdf (Accessed 1 August 2023).

29. Ibid., p. 5.

30. National Space Society, Japan’s Basic Space Law, 28 December 2021, Update, 6 January 2021 at https://space.nss.org/wp-content/uploads/japan-basic-space-law-2021-Dec-8.pdf (Accessed 31 July 2023).

31. Takashi Hosoda, ‘Japan has Changed its Approach to National Security and Defense’, Sinopsis, 13 February 2023 at https://sinopsis.cz/en/japan-has-changed-its-approach-to-national-security-and-defense/ (Accessed 3 August 2023).

32. Chijiwa Yasuaki, Japan’s Security Outlook: Its Implications for the Defense Policy, NIDS Joint Research Series 5, National Institute for Defense Studies, 2011 at http://www.nids.mod.go.jp/english/publication/joint_research/series5/pdf/5–11.pdf (Accessed 1 August 2023).

33. Cabinet Secretariat, National Security Strategy of Japan, December 2022, p. 19 at https://www.cas.go.jp/jp/siryou/221216anzenhoshou/nss-e.pdf (Accessed 2 August 2023).

34. Desmond Ball and Richard Tanter, ‘The Transformation of the JASDF’s Intelligence and Surveillance Capabilities for Air and Missile Defense’, Security Challenges, 8(3), 2012, pp. 19–56.

35. Kazuto Suzuki, ‘Space Security in Japan’s New Strategy Documents’, no. 12.

36. Riyaz ul Khaliq, no. 26.

37. Cabinet Secretariat, National Security Strategy of Japan, no. 33, p. 4.

38. Chris Gordon, ‘US and Japan Agree to Protect Each Other in Space, Citing Chinese Threat’, Air & Space Forces Magazine, 12 January 2023 at https://www.airandspaceforces.com/us-and-japan-agree-to-protect-each-other-in-space-citing-chinese-threat/ (Accessed 1 August 2023).

39. Anupama Vijayakumar, no. 5.

40. Satoshi Kawahara, ‘Japan Plans Expansion of Homegrown GPS Network to 11 Satellites’, Nikkei Asia, 8 May 2023 at https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Aerospace-Defense-Industries/Japan-plans-expansion-of-homegrown-GPS-network-to-11-satellites (Accessed 1 August 2023).

41. Sandra Erwin, ‘Space Force Delivers Second U.S. Payload to be Hosted on Japanese Satellite’, Space News, 18 May 2023 at https://spacenews.com/space-force-delivers-second-u-s-payload-to-be-hosted-on-japanese-satellite/#:~:text=They%20were%20projected%20to%20launch%20in%202024%20but,was%20scheduled%20to%20launch%20on%20H3%20in%202023 (Accessed 1 August 2023).

42. Amanda Miller, ‘How the SDA’s Satellite Swarm Will Track Hypersonic Missiles Where Others Can’t’, Air & Space Forces Magazine, 12 January 2022 at https://www.airandspaceforces.com/how-the-sdas-satellite-swarm-will-track-hypersonic-missiles-where-others-cant/ (Accessed 2 August 2023).

43. Yu Cheng, Cheng Wei, Yongshang Wei, Bindi You, and Yang Zhao, ‘Intention Prediction of a Hypersonic Glide Vehicle Using a Satellite Constellation Based on Deep Learning’, Mathematics, 10(20), 12 October 2022, pp. 1–28.

44. Howard Altman, ‘How The New Hypersonic Weapons Tracking Constellation Will Work’, The Drive, 19 July 2022 at https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/how-the-new-hypersonic-weapons-tracking-constellation-will-work (Accessed 1 August 2023).

45. ‘Satellite Constellation to be Launched In Line With Counterattack Capabilities’, The Japan News, 28 November 2022 at https://japannews.yomiuri.co.jp/politics/defense-security/20221128–73800/ (Accessed 1 August 2023).

46. Kazuto Suzuki, no. 12.

Additional information

Notes on contributors

Vineeth Krishnan

Vineeth Krishnan is a PhD candidate at the Department of Geopolitics and International Relations, Manipal Academy of Higher Education (MAHE), India.

Anupama Vijayakumar

Dr. Anupama Vijayakumar is the Co-founder and Director of Trivium, a think tank in Thiruvananthapuram, India. She holds a PhD from the Department of Geopolitics and International Relations, MAHE. Her research focuses on science and technology in international relations.

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