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Original Articles

China's policy toward (South) Korea: objectives of and obstacles to the strategic partnership

Pages 283-301 | Published online: 18 Aug 2010
 

Abstract

This paper examines Korean–Chinese relations in the context of the framework of the strategic partnership that has been in place since the 1990s. The relationship was considered to share the same characteristics as those between China and Russia, China and India, China and Vietnam, and China and Pakistan—yet differed in terms of content and significance. Despite its strong non-alliance policy toward foreign nations, China still pushed through with the forging of a partnership with the Lee Myung-bak administration, which had just been launched under the newly reinforced ROK–U.S. alliance. This paper examines the reasons behind this partnership, theorizing that the significance hierarchy within the partnership had been weakened, and that the meaning of “strategic” had been expanded. Other reasons contributing to the forging of the new partnership between Korea and China included the following: counter-balancing the excessively pro-U.S. policy adopted by Korea and subsequent renewal of the strong ROK–U.S. alliance; a strategy to win over Korea to complete China's East Asian regionalism; continued cooperation with Korea to deal with North Korea and its nuclear ambitions; and, concern over direct U.S.–North Korean talks possibly leading to “excluding China” and measures to prevent this. Despite the current strategic partnership between Korea and China, the two countries show clear differences in their respective views of a unified Korea, the ROK–U.S. alliance, North Korean issues, and mutual understanding; all of these will likely make the officialization of strategic interests a challenge for both countries from the mid- to long-term perspectives. To overcome such challenges, China may have to strike a balance between its traditional friendship with North Korea and the Korean–Chinese strategic partnership. For its part, Korea needs to find its own balance between the ROK–U.S. strategic alliance for the twenty-first century and the Korean–Chinese strategic partnership. Considering its weakness in terms of a clear sense of gravity and independence, Korea appears to require a considerable amount of time to deepen its partnership with China. At the same time, Korea needs to address the problems of coming up with its own strategic visions.

Notes

1. Fareed Zakaria, “The Rise of the Rest,” Newsweek, May 12, 2008.

2. Experts in Chinese issues have also re-evaluated the limitations of China and the strengths of the United States, saying that America's influence over Asia is more flexible than was known before, and that the rise of China does not necessarily mean the decline of America. See Robert G. Sutter, “Assessing China's Rise and America's Leadership in Asia: Growing Maturity and Balance,” PacNet Newsletter, January 30, 2009.

3. Robert Gilpin, War and Change in World Politics (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1981), 108.

4. Zhang Yuanling and Tang Shiping, “China's Regional Strategy,” in Power Shift: China and Asia's New Dynamics, ed. David Shambaugh (Berkeley, CA: University of California Press, 2005), 52–3.

5. Sato P. Limaye, ed., Asia's China Debate: A Special Assessment (Honolulu, HI: Asia–Pacific Center for Security Studies, 2003).

6. Avery Goldstein, “Power Transition, Institution, and China's Rise in East Asia: Theoretical Expectation and Evidences,” The Journal of Strategic Studies 30, nos. 4–5 (August–October 2007): 639–82.

7. Stability on the Korean peninsula has many implications: (1) continued division of the Korean peninsula; (2) maintenance of peace and absence of war in the region; (3) sustained dominance by the United States and the U.S.-centered alliance; or (4) the continued “creeping” influence of Beijing over the peninsula at large. See Jae Ho Chung, “China's Korea Policy Under the New Leadership,” The Journal of East Asian Affairs 18, no. 1 (Spring/Summer 2004): 14; Tania Barnigan, “North Korea's Nuclear Test Puts China in a Tight Spot,” The Guardian, May 29, 2009; the opinion that peace and stability on the peninsula override all other goals is based on Sun Cheng, “The Second DPRK Nuclear Crisis,” Guojiwenti Yanjiu [International Studies], no. 3 (2003): 19.

8. Shambaugh also views the Chinese endgame for the Korean peninsula as mostly connected to the North Korean regime. David Shambaugh, “China and the Korean Peninsula Playing for the Long Term,” The Washington Quarterly 26, no. 2 (Spring 2003): 44–52.

9. Chen Jian, “Limits of the ‘Lips and Teeth’ Alliance: An Historical Review of Chinese–North Korean Relations,” Asian Program Special Report, no. 115 (September 2003): 10.

10. Zhang Yushan, “The Retrospect and Future of Comprehensive Cooperative Partnership Relations between China and South Korea,” Yafei Zongheng [Asia & Africa Review] 4 (2007): 1–7.

11. C.S. Eliot Kang, “North Korea's International Relations: The Successful Failure?” in The International Relations of Northeast Asia, ed. Samuel S. Kim (Oxford, UK: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, 2004), 284.

12. Robert G. Sutter, Chinese Foreign Relations: Power and Policy since the Cold War (Plymouth, UK: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, 2004), 241.

13. Shambaugh, “China and the Korean Peninsula,” 49; Sutter, Chinese Foreign Relations, 240–5.

14. Samuel S. Kim, “The Making of China's Korea Policy in the Era of Reform,” in The Making of Chinese Foreign Policy in the Era of Reform, ed. David M. Lampton (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2001), 382–4; Jae Ho Chung, Between Ally and Partner; Korea–China Relations and the United States (New York: Columbia University Press, 2007), 56–74.

15. Department of Asian Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, Main Document between China and South Korean Government (Beijing: Shijiezhishi Chubanshe [World Knowledge Publishers], 2007), 12.

16. Department of Asian Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, Main Document between China and South Korean Government (Beijing: Shijiezhishi Chubanshe [World Knowledge Publishers], 2007), 278–9.

17. Liu Changmin, The International Good Office and Mediation during the Korean Nuclear Crisis (Beijing: Zhongguo Zhengfadaxue Chubanshe [China University of Political Science and Law Press], 2006), 212–19.

18. Jae ho Chung, “China's Ascendancy and the Korean Peninsula: From Interest Reevaluation to Strategic Realignment?,” in Power Shift: China and Asia's New Dynamics, ed. David Shambaugh (Berkeley, CA: University of California Press, 2005), 152–5.

19. Department of Asian Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, Main Document between China and South Korean Government, 387.

20. Department of Asian Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, Main Document between China and South Korean Government, 387.

21. Department of Asian Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, Main Document between China and South Korean Government, 502.

22. Department of Asian Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, Main Document between China and South Korean Government, 504.

23. Lulu, “The Historical Evolution and Realistic Inquire of ‘Partnership Strategy’ in Chinese Diplomatic Strategy,” Chuan Cheng [Inheritance & Innovation] 8 (2007): 86–7.

24. Masayuki Masuda, “Between New Terms and Classical Thought: Logic of ‘Strategic Partnership’ of Chinese Foreign Policy,” Forum 21, September 12, 2001, 4–5; Su Hao, “Partnership Framework of Chinese Diplomacy,” Shijie Zhishi [World Knowledge] 5 (2000). The phenomenon for this period is referred to as “partnership fever.” See Renmin Ribao [People's Daily], April 21, 1998.

25. The Chinese view is to assume responsibilities for the international community and to pursue foreign relations, thereby helping to contribute to global society. Shiping Tang and Peter H. Gries, “China's Security Strategy: From Offensive to Defensive Realism and Beyond,” EAI Working Paper, no. 97 (East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore, 2002).

26. Interviews with former NSC Officer in Seoul, December 12, 2007.

27. Zhongguo Shibao [China Times], May 30, 2009.

28. Scott Snyder, “Establishing a ‘Strategic Cooperative Partnership’,” Comparative Connections 10, no. 2 (July 2008): 2–3.

29. http://news.xinhuanet.com/newscenter/2008-05/07/content_8123814.htm (in Chinese) (accessed June 14, 2009); Yong Deng, China's Struggle for Status: The Alignment of International Relations (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2008), 185–99.

30. Interview with Korean officials of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, May 4, 2009.

31. See the following: Yong Deng, China's Struggle for Status, 128–51, for the analysis that a Sino-Russian partnership is being pursued to help offset the dominance of the West and counter-balance the power of the United States. For the Sino–Russian summit joint statement, see http://news.xinhuanet.com/newscenter/2008-05/23/content_8239464.htm (in Chinese) (accessed on July 5, 2008).

32. http://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/64093/66081/6777316.html (in Chinese) (accessed July 5, 2008).

33. For the joint statement between China and Pakistan, see http://politics.people.com.cn/GB/3296768.html (in Chinese, accessed July 3, 2009). Some view China's move to strengthen relations with Pakistan and pursue a power balance in the conventional sense as similar to America's support for Israel to help maintain Middle East order. Steven Cohen, India: Emerging Power (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 2001), 259.

34. Jae Ho Chung, “China's Korea Policy under the New Leadership,” 15.

35. You Ji, “China and North Korea: A Fragile Relationship of Strategic Convenience,” Journal of Contemporary China 10, no. 28 (2001): 396.

36. Banning Garrett and Bonnie Glaser, “Looking Across the Yalu: Chinese Assessment of North Korea,” Asian Survey 35, no. 6 (1995): 528–45.

37. Xiaoming Zhang, “China's Relations with the Korean Peninsula: A Chinese View,” Korea Observer 32, no. 4 (Winter 2001): 496; Samuel S. Kim, “North Korea 2000,” Asian Survey 16, no. 16 (2001): 404–5; Liu Changmin, The International Good Office, 196–245; Yong Deng, “Hegemony on the Offensive: Chinese Perspectives on U.S. Global Strategy,” Political Science Quarterly 116, no. 3 (2001): 344–8.

38. Heeok Lee, “China's Northeast Project and South Sino-Korean Relations,” Korea Journal, (Summer 2005): 256.

39. Andrew Scobell, “China and North Korea: The Close but Uncomfortable Relationship,” Current History 101 (2002): 282–3.

40. This could be viewed as China's favored model. Shiping Tang, “A Neutral Reunified Korea: A Chinese View,” Journal of East Asian Affairs 13, no. 2 (Fall/Winter 2002): 464–83.

41. Changsoo Kim, “China and the United States,” in Korea in the New Asia: East Asian Integration and the China Factor, ed. Francoise Nicolas (New York: Routledge, 2007), 149.

42. Ki-Jung Kim, “The Future of U.S.–Korea Relations: Progression or Regression?” in Security and Foreign Policy of the R.O.K. Government, ed. Su-Hoon Lee (Seoul: Happyreading, 2007), 201–4.

43. Interview with former senior official in the NSC, June 6, 2006. This asserted the need to pursue the U.S.–Korean FTA, raise issues of a Chinese threat, and maintain a balance against China's expansion policy.

44. Robert G. Sutter, China's Rise in Asia: Promise and Perils (Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 2005), 161; Wang Sheng, “Analysis of the Situation of South Korea Estranged from the U.S. and Close to China,” Dongbeiyaluntan [Northeast Asia Forum] 15, no. 2 (March 2006): 87–92.

45. Robert G. Sutter, Chinese Policy Priorities and Their Implications for the United States (Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 2000), 101.

46. Eric A. McVadon, “Chinese Military Strategy for Korean Peninsula,” in China's Military Faces the Future, ed. James Lilly and David Shambaugh (Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 1999), 271–94.

47. This is the common view emerging in the interviews with China's experts on the Korean peninsula. Based on interviews with experts, Beijing, August 7–9, 2008.

48. See http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2008-05/27/content_8264427.htm (in Chinese, accessed May 28, 2008).

49. China is also preparing for various end-games. For the introduction and evaluation on this, see Shambaugh, “China and the Korean Peninsula,” 44.

50. In the foreign ministry spokesman's statement and the interview between Wen and Bush, it was mentioned that “concerns over the North's rational security assurance must be resolved.” Renmin Ribao [People's Daily], December 10, 2003.

51. Wang Jisi, “China's Changing Role in Asia,” in Rational Rectification on International Politics, ed. Wang Jisi (Beijing: Peking University Press, 2006), 310.

52. Heeok Lee, “Problems of the ROK–China Relationship in the 21st Century and Exploratory,” Zhongguo Zhanlue Guancha [China Strategic Review], (April 2008): 27–8.

53. Jaeho Hwang, Heungkyu Kim, Byung-kon Jun and Myong-Chul Cho, “Possible Scenarios for China's Future Relations with North Korea: South Korean Perspective,” Korean Journal of Defense Analysis 18, no. 3 (Fall 2006): 134–9.

54. Sukhee Han, “Korean Perception of China's Rise in East Asia,” in Korea in the New Asia, ed. Nicolas, 12–16.

55. Various surveys show such changes in perception (1996–2005). For a summary, see Jae Ho Chung, Between Ally and Partner, 96–100.

56. “The Research Project of Northeastern China” has distorted history, especially regarding the kingdoms of Goguryeo and Balhae, which has triggered political disputes with South Korea. Heeok Lee, “China's Northeast Project and South Korean–Chinese Relations”; Heeok Lee, “China's Northeast Project: Political Background and Implications,” East Asian Review 18, no. 4 (Winter 2006).

57. The joint survey by KBS and Media Research (September 8, 2004) showed preference for (40 percent) and aversion to (58.2 percent) China, with the aversions somewhat higher. Media Research (December 2004) presented the opinions on the Korean government's Chinese policy: inappropriate diplomacy (70.9 percent) and appropriate diplomacy (26.4 percent). The East Asian Institute study showed that 89 percent of Koreans sense the Chinese threat. JoongAng Daily, December 13, 2006; JoongAng Daily, June 29, 2007.

58. Shambaugh, ed., Power Shift, 12–19.

59. Evans S. Medrious and others, Pacific Currents: The Response of U.S. Allies and Security Partners in East Asia to China's Rise (Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2008), 15–24.

60. Jae Ho Chung, “China's Ascendancy and the Korean Peninsula,” 162.

61. Taeho Kim, “An Emerging ‘Strategic Partnership’ between Beijing and Seoul? Myths and Realities,” The Journal of East Asian Affairs 22, no. 2 (Fall/Winter, 2008): 99.

62. Jae Ho Chung, Between Ally and Partner, 112.

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