Previous abortion and risk of pre-term birth: a population study

2009, Vol. 22, No. 1 , Pages 1-7 (doi:10.1080/14767050802531813)
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1Discipline of Public Health, University of Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
2Pregnancy Outcome Unit, Epidemiology Branch, SA Health, Government of South Australia, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
3Discipline of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
4Health Statistics Unit, Epidemiology Branch, SA Health, Government of South Australia, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
Correspondence: Annabelle Chan, Pregnancy Outcome Unit, SA Health, Government of South Australia, PO Box 6, Rundle Mall, Adelaide, 5000, Australia, +61-8-8226-6357, +61-8-8226-6291



Objective. This population study was undertaken to determine whether previous abortion is an independent risk factor for pre-term birth and to calculate population-attributable risks for risk factors.

Methods. All South Australian first singleton births in 1998–2003 (n = 42 269) were included in a multivariable logistic regression analysis, comparing pre-term births with term births.

Results. Risk factors for pre-term birth were found to be: being indigenous, single, a smoker [adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 1.28, 95% confidence interval 1.17–1.41], age 40 years or older, reproductive technology assistance, threatened miscarriage, antepartum haemorrhage, urinary tract infection, pregnancy hypertension and suspected intra-uterine growth restriction. A previous spontaneous abortion was of borderline statistical significance, whereas a previous induced abortion (AOR 1.25, 1.13–1.40) was an independent risk factor. A dose-response relationship was found with increasing number of previous spontaneous or induced abortions. Population-attributable risks were highest for pregnancy hypertension (12.4%) and antepartum haemorrhage (9.2%). Smoking and previous induced abortion had risks of 4.7% and 2.7%, respectively. Among indigenous women, 51% of whom smoked, 16.4% of pre-term birth could be attributed to smoking.

Conclusions. A previous induced abortion and smoking during pregnancy (particularly among indigenous women) are preventable risk factors for pre-term birth. Their population-attributable risks are likely to be under-estimates from under-reporting.