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Research Article

A study on the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 considering the impact of asymptomatic infection

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Article: 2244980 | Received 22 Dec 2022, Accepted 01 Aug 2023, Published online: 01 Sep 2023
 

Abstract

The COVID-19 epidemic has been spreading around the world for nearly three years, and asymptomatic infections have exacerbated the spread of the epidemic. To analyse and evaluate the role of asymptomatic infections in the spread of the epidemic, we establish an improved COVID-19 infectious disease dynamics model. We fit the epidemic data in the four time periods corresponding to the selected 614G, Alpha, Delta and Omicron variants and obtain the proportion of asymptomatic persons among the infected persons gradually increased and with the increase of the detection ratio, the cumulative number of cases has dropped significantly, but the decline in the proportion of asymptomatic infections is not obvious. Therefore, in view of the hidden transmission of asymptomatic infections, the cooperation between various epidemic prevention and control policies is required to effectively curb the spread of the epidemic.

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Acknowledgments

We thank all the individuals who generously shared their time and materials for this study.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Correction Statement

This article was originally published with errors, which have now been corrected in the online version. Please see Correction (http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2023.2259761)

Additional information

Funding

This study was funded by the Development and Reform Commission of Guangdong Province [grant number 2017KTSCX124] and Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC 11901027); Postgraduate Teaching Research and Quality Improvement Project of BUCEA; Graduate Research and Innovation Project of BUCEA.