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Research Article

An epidemiological model for analysing pandemic trends of novel coronavirus transmission with optimal control

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Article: 2299001 | Received 09 Jun 2023, Accepted 15 Dec 2023, Published online: 29 Dec 2023
 

ABSTRACT

Symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals play a significant role in the transmission dynamics of novel Coronaviruses. By considering the dynamical behaviour of symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals, this study examines the temporal dynamics and optimal control of Coronavirus disease propagation using an epidemiological model. Biologically and mathematically, the well-posed epidemic problem is examined, as well as the threshold quantity with parameter sensitivity. Model parameters are quantified and their relative impact on the disease is evaluated. Additionally, the steady states are investigated to determine the model's stability and bifurcation. Using the dynamics and parameters sensitivity, we then introduce optimal control strategies for the elimination of the disease. Using real disease data, numerical simulations and model validation are performed to support theoretical findings and show the effects of control strategies.

MATHEMATICS SUBJECT CLASSIFICATIONS:

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the editor and reviewers for their excellent comments, which helped improve the quality of the manuscript.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Additional information

Funding

The work has been supported by UAE University, fund # 12S107.