References
- Ben Bouallègue, Z., Haiden, T. and Richardson, D. S. 2018. The diagonal score: definition, properties, and interpretations. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 144, 1463–1473. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3293
- Ehm, W., Gneiting, T., Jordan, A. and Krueger, F. 2016. Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, choquet representations, and forecast rankings. J. R. Stat. Soc. B 78, 1–29.
- Fissler, T., Hlavinová, J. and Rudloff, B. 2019. Elicitability and identifiability of systemic risk measures. Papers 1907.01306, arXiv.org.
- Gandin, L. and Murphy, A. H. 1992. Equitable skill scores for categorical forecasts. Monthly Weather Rev. 120, 361–370. doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1992)120<0361:ESSFCF>2.0.CO;2
- Gneiting, T. 2011. Making and evaluating point forecasts. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 106, 746–762. doi:https://doi.org/10.1198/jasa.2011.r10138
- Gneiting, T. and Ranjan, R. 2013. Combining predictive distributions. Electron. J. Stat. 7, 1747–1782.
- Hawkins, D. and Kochar, S. 1991. Inference for the crossing point of two continuous cdf’s. Ann. Stat. 19, 1626–1638.
- Lerch, S., Thorarinsdottir, T. L., Ravazzolo, F. and Gneiting, T. 2017. Forecaster’s dilemma: extreme events and forecast evaluation. Stat. Sci. 32, 106–127.
- Leutbecher, M. 2019. Ensemble size: how suboptimal is less than infinity? Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 145, 107–128. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3387
- Mitchell, K. and Ferro, C. A. T. 2017. Proper scoring rules for interval probabilistic forecasts. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 143, 1597–1607. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3029
- Potts, J., Folland, C., Jolliffe, I. and Sexton, D. 1996. Revised LEPS scores for assessing climate model simulations and long-range forecasts. J. Climate 9, 34–53. doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<0034:RSFACM>2.0.CO;2
- Prates, F. and Buizza, R. 2011. Pret, the probability of return: a new probabilistic product based on generalized extreme-value theory. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 137, 521–537. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.759
- Rodwell, M., Richardson, D., Hewson, T. and Haiden, T. 2010. A new equitable score suitable for verifying precipitation in numerical weather prediction. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 136, 1344–1363. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.656
- Ward, M. N. and Folland, C. K. 1991. Prediction of seasonal rainfall in the north nordeste of brazil using eigenvectors of sea-surface temperature. Int. J. Climatol. 11, 711–743. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3370110703.