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Abstract
Seed production is the most problematic part of tree regeneration and is the least amenable to control by silvicultural management. Understanding variability in seed production among years and among trees will allow better planning of seed collection for seedling production and natural regeneration. We estimated the extent of variability in seed production among years and within years among individual trees. Specifically, we measured individual annual seed production in 11 woody species in Hokkaido, northern Japan. We analyzed the coefficient of variation (CV) of seed production among years and among individual trees. We used population- and individual-based CVs (CVpt and 
) to estimate the variability in seed production among individual trees. Alnus hirsuta, in which these CVs among trees were maximal, will require further analyses of the spatial patterns of seed production among individual trees. Additionally, we used population- and individual-based CVs (CVpy and 
) to estimate the variability in seed production among years. The 
was statistically higher than 
in 2 of the 11 species: Betula maximowicziana and Sorbus alnifolia. Activities for the regeneration of these species should regard the annual variation in seed production as more important than individual variation. For the nine species in which 
was similar to 
even if seed production by specific trees was not sufficient for regeneration in a particular year, other trees or stands often had high seed production in that year. We discuss the relative importance of annual and individual variability in determining efficient methods for artificial and natural regeneration of these woody plant species.
Acknowledgments
We thank Hiromasa Koyama, Kiyoshi Umeki, and Kazuhiko Terazawa for their advice and help in the field, S. Wada for help with laboratory work, and Takeshi Tange and Kazuhiko Masaka for a critical review of the manuscript.