Operational Research for Strategic Decision-Making: The Role of World-View

Abstract

Standard Operational Research analysis of the problem is of limited value to those making complex strategic decisions for which adequate modelling is rarely possible. It may be more helpful to provide models which make explicit the decision-making process. These could enable the decision-maker to be more aware of possible dangers leading to less preferred outcomes. As a demonstration, a dynamic systems model is developed and used to investigate the decision-making of the Kennedy Administration during the Cuban Missile Crisis. Conclusions from this, and several case studies by other authors, emphasize the great importance of the world-view of the decision-making group in determining their actions.