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Abstract
Changes in contaminant levels at monitoring stations do not necessarily represent changes in emission levels, since variations in meteorological parameters determine the transport and diffusion of contaminants between sources and receptors. To estimate annual changes in emission levels, and thus of control program effectiveness, the meteorological stratification of data was employed to provide “comparable days.”
For San Francisco Bay Area photochemical oxidant data, simple criteria based on maximum temperature and on height of inversion base were selected. Temperature provided a readily available integrated index of solar energy input and of ventilation, while the inversion data added a vertical dilution factor.
An earlier study, employing only the temperature criteria, showed that oxidant levels on comparable warm days had nearly doubled from 1954 through 1962. The current study of oxidant data for 1962 through 1969 shows a gradual rise through 1965, and a sharp reversal in 1966, when for the first time a simultaneous decrease was noted at each benchmark station. Data through 1969 show that average oxidant levels have been maintained at this 25% lower plateau, with minor fluctuations at individual stations.
The general improvement in air quality since 1965 is attributed to the reduction of reactive organics emitted from stationary and automotive sources.