CSE‐‐GRADES AND TEACHERS’ FORECASTS

The purpose of this research was to ascertain with what measure of agreement CSE grades were interpreted in one of the fourteen CSE examining boards during the first three years of the examination. A study was made of teachers’ forecasts as against actual gradings in eight subjects in 1965 and 1967. This showed no general improvement in the accuracy of forecasts over the period. Counting near‐misses, more than three‐quarters of the forecasts were correct. There was a tendency to be optimistic rather than pessimistic in forecasting. There was, however, an improvement in the forecasting of the top grade, except in the case of French, where there was a deterioration. The general level of forecast accuracy was about 40 per cent, which was similar to levels in two comparable studies.