Quantifying future environmental carrying capacity based on land use/land cover data and ecosystem services valuation: a case study in Makassar City, Indonesia

ABSTRACT

Several studies have focused on present environmental carrying capacity, but predictions based on future conditions are rarely considered. In this study, land use/land cover (LU/LC) data and ecosystem services valuation (ESV) were used to quantify the future environmental carrying capacity in Makassar City by 2031. The LU/LC data were based on previous research and the ESV coefficients were based on Muta’ali (2015). The results predict that all types of ecosystem services in Makassar City will decrease every year and will be below 0.5 of current values by 2031. These results can be used to inform plans for sustainable development in Makassar City.

KEYWORDS:

• Carrying capacity
• ecosystem services valuation
• LU/LC

Disclosure Statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Correction Statement

This article has been corrected with minor changes. These changes do not impact the academic content of the article.

Additional information

Funding

The authors would like to thank the Ministry of Education and Culture (KEMENDIKBUD) of Indonesia for providing funding for this research under Grant No. 1517/UN4.22/PT.01.03/2020.