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Original Articles

Improved dual mode GMDH with automatic switch

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Pages 1553-1565 | Received 17 Aug 1989, Published online: 24 Oct 2007
 

Abstract

This paper proposes a stable dual mode GMDH. In each layer, two types of functions are prepared and compared with each other. The output of the model is given by the superior function, which is automatically selected according to the criterion proposed in this paper. Two real social systems arc applied to check the effectiveness of this method. A modelling interval longer than the period of the real system suppresses large predictionsl errors.

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