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Population Studies
A Journal of Demography
Volume 23, 1969 - Issue 1
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Original Articles

Estimation of vital rates for Ghana

Pages 21-42 | Published online: 09 Nov 2011
 

Abstract

A complete and efficient registration system, of the type which would provide good data on births and deaths, does not exist in Ghana. However, registration of vital events is supposed to be compulsory in 39 towns in the country but the data collected in these areas are too inadequate and defective to provide a sound basis for the analysis of the dynamics of population growth. The results of the censuses conducted by the colonial governments are so defective and unreliable that they do not allow scientific research in the field of population analysis.

Before 1960, therefore, when the national census and the post-enumeration survey (based on a 5% sample of the population) were carried out, estimates of fertility and mortality levels were little more than guesses. In this study an attempt has been made to utilize the information on the age-sex composition provided by the 1960 census and post-enumeration survey data on births and deaths to determine, as far as possible, the levels of fertility and mortality and the rates of population growth in Ghana.

The fertility estimates—i.e. a crude birth rate of 50, total fertility rate of 6.9 and a gross reproduction rate of 3.4—show that Ghana's fertility is one of the highest in the world. An expectation of life at birth of 40 years, an infant mortality of 160 and a crude death rate of 23 appear to be the most plausible estimates. These estimates yield a rate of natural increase of 2.7% and a growth rate of 3.0% per annum.

My grateful thanks are due to the Central Bureau of Statistics for placing at my disposal the Post-Enumeration Survey data on Fertility and Mortality. This paper was prepared under the auspices of the Population Council and the University of Ghana. I am also grateful to Dr. J. C. G. Blacker for his helpful advice.

My grateful thanks are due to the Central Bureau of Statistics for placing at my disposal the Post-Enumeration Survey data on Fertility and Mortality. This paper was prepared under the auspices of the Population Council and the University of Ghana. I am also grateful to Dr. J. C. G. Blacker for his helpful advice.

Notes

My grateful thanks are due to the Central Bureau of Statistics for placing at my disposal the Post-Enumeration Survey data on Fertility and Mortality. This paper was prepared under the auspices of the Population Council and the University of Ghana. I am also grateful to Dr. J. C. G. Blacker for his helpful advice.

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