Quantitative risk assessment for the annual risk of exposure to Trichinella spiralis in imported chilled pork meat from New Zealand to Singapore

Abstract

AIMS: To determine the annual likelihood of exposure to an infectious dose of Trichinella spiralis from consuming imported pork meat from New Zealand to Singapore.

METHODS: Input values specific for chilled pork meat imported into Singapore from New Zealand were used in a quantitative risk-assessment model. The model, designed to allow any combination of importing and exporting countries, was divided into two components, viz the release assessment, and the exposure assessment that assessed the annual risk of exposure to the consumer (ARC). The former estimated the likelihood that a contaminated fresh meat product from New Zealand would arrive at Singapore's border, and took into consideration the prevalence of disease on different types of farms. The latter determined the likelihood over a year that a person in Singapore would consume one or more servings of imported fresh meat from New Zealand that contained a burden of greater than or equal to one larva(e) of T. spiralis per gram after preparation for consumption.

RESULTS: The ARC for offal was 2.41 × 10⁻⁷, which was below the pre-selected safety threshold of 1.00 × 10⁻⁶. The ARC for lean meat was 2.39 x 10⁻⁵, which was above the acceptable safety threshold.

CONCLUSIONS: The study demonstrated that continued routine testing at slaughter is unnecessary for pig offal produced commercially, and provided a model with which to further assess management of the risk of exposure to T. spiralis in lean meat.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE: The potential of Trichinella species to cause disease in humans is a public health concern, and has created adverse effects on the international trade of fresh lean meat without regard to the surveillance measures employed by particular pork-producing countries.

KEY WORDS:

• Trichinella spiralis
• quantitative risk assessment
• pathway model
• fresh meat exports

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to acknowledge and thank the New Zealand Pork Industry for funding this project. Further to this, we would also like to acknowledge and thank the constructive feedback from the reviewers, whose ideas have been incorporated in the document, and which we feel has improved on the clarity and interpretive worth of this paper.