The complex interactions of physical, social, political, and economic factors can make the outcomes of actions recommended by recreation planners uncertain and risky. At the same time, requirements of public bodies and the demands of competing interests call for more precise evaluation of the impacts of proposed actions. Decreasing computer costs will make it more feasible for planners in a variety of fields to use computer simulation as an analytical tool to reduce some of the uncertainty which confronts them. This paper presents a model that was developed, using the computer language GPSS (General Purpose Simulation System), to study some effects of “passive” regulation of tourist traffic to Nantucket Island that result from ferry schedule modification. The model yielded data that assisted in the evaluation of alternative strategies. By more accurately identifying the outcomes associated with various actions, studies such as this can help identify plans that will result in undesirable consequences.
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