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Abstract
U.S. trade in dual use (military and civilian application) technology attempts to balance competing objectives: to protect the West's qualitative lead in advanced weaponry, and to improve U.S. technological competitiveness. An approach based on strategic planning concepts used in the business community provides a useful mechanism for analyzing this problem.
The current technology transfer environment and the interests of the major actors determine the baseline for the analysis. From this, future alternative environments for relations between the U.S. and USSR, as well as possible states of U.S. competitiveness are projected. The strategic planning model yields a three‐part strategy to satisfy U.S. national defense interests, promote U.S. relations with the USSR while bolstering U.S. competitiveness, and hedge against risk. Policy recommendations are provided to support each objective of the strategy.