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Research Articles

Semi-parametric estimation of the Wilshire creep life prediction model: an application to 2.25Cr-1Mo steel

Pages 1977-1987 | Received 01 May 2019, Accepted 20 Aug 2019, Published online: 05 Sep 2019
 

Abstract

The Wilshire equation is a recent addition to the literature on safe life prediction. While the effect of temperature on creep life is reasonably understood, the effect of stress isn’t. The Wilshire equation deals with this by partitioning over sub ranges of stress, but this approximation can lead to poor life time predictions. This paper introduces a semi-parametric procedure that allows the data itself to identify the stress relationship. When applied to 2.25Cr-1Mo steel it was found that the stress relationship is non-linear, and this semi-parametric version of the Wilshire model had better predictive performance compared to any partitioned Wilshire model. This approach contains a limit to valid extrapolation and the isothermal predictions for creep life have a more realistic pattern of behaviour.

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Addendum

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author.

Correction Statement

New content has been added to this article's online version. Please see Addendum (http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02670836.2021.1959746)

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