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Abstract
It is a well known that not all trade in southern Africa is recorded. Recorded trade therefore gives a skew picture and this paper specifically attempts to estimate and investigate unrecorded trade in the region, using the grain market and the “grain trade ratio”. Unrecorded trade occurred in most southem Africa countries and no recorded trade is observed for South Africa during the period 1986–1991. This corresponds to the time when South Africa was politically excluded from formal trading in southern Africa. The grain trade ratio (grain trade as percentage of grain production) is decreasing. The paper examines why the trade ratio decreased when national policies emphasized local food production programmes, market liberalization and more open trade in the region.
Dit is welbekend dat nie alle handelstransaksies in suidelike Afrika aangeteken word nie. Aangetekende handel gee dus 'n skewe beeld en hierdie artikel poog om informele handel in die streek te bepaal deur van die graanmark en van 'n graan handelsverhouding gebruik. Onaangetekende handel het in suider Afrika lande voorkgekom en dat geen handel is vir suid-Afrika gedurende 1986–1991 aangeteken nie. Dit stem ooreen met die tydperk toe suid-Afrika polities van formele handel in Suidelike Afrika uitgesluit was. Die graan handelsverhouding (graanhandel as persentasie van graanproduksie) neem af. Hierdie artikel ontleed hoekom hierdie verhouding afgeneem het terwyl nasionale beleid plaaslike voedselproduksieprogramme, markliberalisering en vlyehandel in die streek beklemtoon het.