A non–stationary non–Gaussian hedonic spatial model for house selling prices

Abstract

This work proposes a hedonic random field model to describe house selling prices from 2000 to 2005 in Cedar Falls, Iowa. This real estate market presents two distinctive features that are not well described by traditional stationary Gaussian random field models: (a) the city has, on its periphery, a hoglot that acts as an externality, affecting both the mean and variance of the selling prices, and (b) the distribution of house selling prices display heavy tails, even after the distance to the hoglot and house–specific covariates are accounted for in the mean structure of the model. A non–stationary and non–Gaussian random field model is constructed by multiplying two independent Gaussian random fields tailored to model the probabilistic features displayed by the Cedar Falls dataset. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that uses data augmentation is employed to fit the proposed model.

Keywords:

• Bayesian analysis
• Geostatistics
• Hedonic models
• Hoglot
• Localized externality
• Spatial correlation

Acknowledgments

This work was partially supported by The University of Texas San Antonio, Office of the Vice President for Research.