Summary
Empirical models predict the response of acidified or acidifying lakes to changes in acidic atmospheric inputs. However, it is necessary to know how the concentration of non-marine Ca plus Mg (CM*) changes in lakewater as acid inputs are changed. Two approaches have been used, based on chemical data from 719 lakes in southern Norway with similar bedrock lithology, across a gradient in acid loading, as reflected by the non-marine sulfate concentration (SO4*) in the lake. 1, Increases in CM* from increased weathering caused by increased SO4* should be nearly equal in lakes and drainage basins, grouped by similar elevation. Lakes with the lowest CM* at elevated SO* in each group can have increased CM* by a maximum amount corresponding to the present concentration. A maximum increase factor of about 0.4 μeq CM*/μeq SO4* is derived. 2, A similar value is obtained from 486 lakes with pH < 5.0, assuming that H+ and Al concentrations are negligible if HCO3− is present, and that an increase in SO4* is compensated by H+, aluminum, and possibly increased CM*. This neglects SO4* used to compensate for lost HCO3−. Both estimates of increased CM* caused by increased SO4* give maximum values. Effects of changed SO4* on pH may be calculated for a maximum or minimum pH change.