Structural change in the economy and energy needs: A South African perspective∗

This article is based on research done by the Institute for Futures Research at the University of Stellenbosch for a project commissioned by the National Programme for Energy Research.

Abstract

The paper reviews economic structural changes and the resultant effect on the demand for energy. Seen globally, structural change is determined primarily by:

	shifts In the sectoral contributions
	technological development
	increase in the urban population
	redistribution of income.

The South African situation is analysed with respect to the following factors:

	changes In sectoral energy use as a result of the development of the economy away from an agrarian economy towards a more industrialised economy
	urbanisation and the changing energy consumption patterns especially with regard to increased food and water, housing, domestic energy, transport and waste disposal needs
	redistribution of income and projected future demand for energy.

The importance of structural change in planning for future energy needs is emphasised.

Notes

This article is based on research done by the Institute for Futures Research at the University of Stellenbosch for a project commissioned by the National Programme for Energy Research.

Associate Professor, Department of Economics, University of Stellenbosch.

Senior Research Associate, Institute for Futures Research, University of Stellenbosch.