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Original Articles

Cyclical Misconceptions Driving Policy Mistakes: Keys to the Productivity Puzzle

 

Abstract

The authors see little reason for a rebound in productivity growth, which has downshifted in part due to policies rooted in overly optimistic assumptions about trend growth, and mistaken notions about business cycle dynamics. If they are right, slow trend growth will prevail for the foreseeable future.

Additional information

Notes on contributors

Anirvan Banerji

Anirvan Banerji is chief research officer at the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), and Lakshman Achuthan is chief operations officer at ECRI.

Lakshman Achuthan

Anirvan Banerji is chief research officer at the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), and Lakshman Achuthan is chief operations officer at ECRI.

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