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Journal of Business & Economic Statistics Volume 5, 1987 - Issue 3
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Original Articles

Forecasting Wheat Exports: Do Exchange Rates Matter?

David A. Bessler Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, 77843-2124
&
Ronald A. Babula U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, 1301 New York Avenue, N.W., Washington, DC, 20005-4788
Pages 397-406 | Published online: 02 Jul 2012
 
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Abstract

A vector autoregression is fit to recent U.S. data on wheat prices, wheat export sales, wheat export shipments, and exchange rates. Forecast error decompositions and out-of-sample forecasts indicate that exchange rates have little influence on wheat sales and shipments.

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