Analysis of technology diffusion in agricultural industry cluster based on system dynamics and simulation model

Abstract

The process of technology diffusion in an agricultural industry cluster is different from that in general markets. Extending the assumption of the Bass model by considering multiple developments of technology diffusion, sluggish message sharing and unstable market, the dynamic model of technology diffusion was established by using the Vensim-PLE as a simulator to conduct the present research. The results showed that this model meets the needs of actual agricultural industry clusters and can be a theoretical guidance for farmers or enterprises if they intend to practice technology diffusion in an agriculture industrial cluster.

Keywords:

• Agricultural industry cluster
• Technology diffusion
• System dynamics
• Bass model