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Original Articles

Civil and Defence Science and Technology: China 2025

Pages 113-134 | Published online: 05 Jul 2010
 

Abstract

The rise of China is an accomplished fact. Many analysts are today trying to describe the various aspects of that rise. Military power is probably the foremost of the aspects that we in India will like to define. This article attempts to put together the facts behind what China is trying to build indigenously and through reverse engineering. The overarching facts of China's military rise are unabashedly described by the Chinese themselves. By 2030, they expect that they will be at the same level of GDP as the United States. The Chinese foresee a decline in the currency of nuclear weapons thereby improving the importance of their huge conventional forces that separate them from the rest of the world. How will they arm this conventional force? The Chinese are even keener than the Indians that they should arm their armed forces without outside dependence. An attempt is made here to describe how successful they can be.

Notes

1. Deb-1-Hsiung, National Science Foundation Fellow. Carnegie Mellon University, available at http://www.sei.cmu.edu

2. “An Evaluation of China's S&T System and its Impact on the Research Community”, A Report for the Environment, S&T Section, US Embassy Beijing, Summer 2002.

3. Ibid., Executive Summary, p. 4.

4. CAS Statistical Data 2000, Bureau of Comprehensive Planning of CAS, Chinese Academy of Sciences Annex. Report 2001.

5. Defence Technical Information Center (DTIC), Virginia, USA. www.dtic.mil

6. Ibid.

7. Ibid.

8. Listing of Criticality of Subsystem, Serial 3, www.dtic.mil

9. Ibid., Serial 6.

10. Conversation with a US laser specialist.

11. Y. Chang, “China Launches New Stealth Fighter Project”, Jane's Defence Weekly (December 11, 2002).

12. G.K. Gongye, National Defence Science and Technology Industry, No. 5.

13. Duncan Lennox, Jane's Strategic Weapon Systems, 40 (June 3, 2003).

14. Chinese Defence Today C4ISR Systems.

15. “Top Ten Chinese Military Modernization Developments”, International Assessment and Strategic Center based analysis modified by the author from www.strategycenter.net

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