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Articles

Green energy transitions and the temptation of natural resource rents: Experiences from Ecuador

Pages 279-295 | Received 07 Nov 2022, Accepted 31 May 2023, Published online: 19 Jun 2023
 

ABSTRACT

In the last two decades, the Ecuadorian state, under the presidencies of left-wing Rafael Correa and his successor Lenín Moreno, has pursued a clearly marked development strategy based on the extraction and export of raw materials, especially oil. In Ecuador’s natural resource-driven development model, the appropriation and distribution of natural resource rents play a significant role. These rents render economic, institutional, and political reforms and development projects possible. However, the dependence of large strata of the Ecuadorian population on these rents presents hurdles for sustainable development in general and a green energy transition in particular. The article explores these challenges, emphasising the economic and political conditions defined by a rent-based logic. Although governments in Ecuador have started to acknowledge the role of green mining in the energy sector, a wholehearted energy transition or a push toward sustainable development might fail because of the formative power of rent.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Notes

1 Matheus Koengkan, and José Alberto Fuinhas, Globalisation and Energy Transition in Latin America and the Caribbean: Economic Growth and Policy Implications (Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2022).

2 Morgan D. Bazilian, ‘The Mineral Foundation of the Energy Transition,’ The Extractive Industries and Society 5,no. 1 (2018): 93–7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.exis.2017.12.002.

3 Hans-Jürgen Burchardt, Kristina Dietz, and Hannes Warnecke-Berger, ‘Dependency, Rent, and the Failure of Neo-Extractivism,’ in Dependent Capitalisms in Contemporary Latin America and Europe, ed. Aldo Madariaga and Stefano Palestini (Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2021), 207–29. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-71315-7_9.

4 United Nations Commission on Trade and Development. Commodity Dependence: A Twenty-Year Perspective (Geneva: United Nations. United Nations Commission on Trade and Development, 2019).

5 ‘Pink Tide’ refers to the electoral victories of left and middle-let parties in Latin America. The first left president voted into power was Hugo Chavez (1999). Other prominent representatives include Nestor Kirchner in Argentina (2003–2007) and Evo Morales in Bolivia (2006–2019).

6 Hartmut Elsenhans, State, Class and Development (New Delhi: Radiant Publishers, 1996).; Mushtaq H. Khan, ‘Political Settlements and the Analysis of Institutions,’ African Affairs 117, no.469 (2018): 636–55. https://doi.org/10.1093/afraf/adx044; Richard M. Auty, and Haydn I. Furlonge, The Rent Curse: Natural Resources, Policy Choice, and Economic Development (Oxford, United Kingdom: Oxford University Press, 2019).

7 James Martín Cypher, ‘¿Vuelta Al Siglo XIX? El Auge De Las Materias Primas Y El Proceso De ‘ Primarización’ En América Latina,’ Foro Internacional 49, no. 1 (195) (2009): 119–62.

8 Henry Veltmeyer and James F. Petras, The New Extractivism: A Post-Neoliberal Development Model or Imperialism of the Twenty-First Century? (London: Zed Books, 2014); In this text, the author refers to national development coalitions, a specific coalition of social actors, including the state, that pursues and push through individual development strategies and projects. Development strategies denominate a set of more general, long-term development goals, while development projects refer to individual measures. As a national or international development regime, a set of institutions is defined that govern the development arena, informal or formalised. A development model, in this regard, is the relatively stable combination between economic structures, development coalitions, social relations, and individual measures and outcomes that separates one object of inquiry from another. Because of the importance of state activities for development, the territorial outreach of a development model is restricted to the national state.

9 Eduardo Gudynas, ‘Beyond Varieties of Development: Disputes and Alternatives,’ Third World Quarterly 37, no. 4 (2016): 721–32. https://doi.org/10.1080/01436597.2015.1126504; Hans-Jürgen Burchardt, and Kristina Dietz, ‘(Neo-)Extractivism – a New Challenge for Development Theory from Latin America,’ Third World Quarterly 35, no. 3 (2014): 468–86. https://doi.org/10.1080/01436597.2014.893488.

10 Maristella Svampa, ‘Commodities Consensus: Neoextractivism and Enclosure of the Commons in Latin America,’ South Atlantic Quarterly 114, no. 1 (2015): 65–82. https://doi.org/10.1215/00382876-2831290; Bettina Engels, and Kristina Dietz, Contested Extractivism, Society and the State (London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2017); Stefan Peters, Rentengesellschaften: Der lateinamerikanische (Neo-)Extraktivismus im transregionalen Vergleich (Baden-Baden: Nomos, 2019). https://doi.org/10.5771/9783845295282; Regarding the results of natural resource-driven development in Latin America, the region has witnessed a general improvement in economic performance and social indicators in the region. GDP has been skyrocketing after 2003 – only interrupted after the financial crisis of 2007 – while inequality slightly decreased. In many countries, unemployment and government debt decreased; Bértola, Luis, and Jeffrey Williamson. 2017. Has Latin American Inequality Changed Direction? Cham: Springer International Publishing. However, not only did the resource-driven development model not hold its economic promises, but it also aggravated social, political and ecological crisis: while structural heterogeneity and resource dependency continue to persist, ecological crisis and civil unrest rose (Burchardt et al. 2021; Engels and Dietz 2017, 3).

11 Hannes Warnecke-Berger and Jan Ickler Eds. The Political Economy of Extractivism and the Seduction of Rent (London, New York: Routledge, 2023).

12 Michael L. Ross, ‘The Political Economy of the Resource Curse,’ World Pol. 51, no. 2 (1999): 297–22. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0043887100008200; Frederick van der Ploeg, ‘Natural Resources: Curse or Blessing?,’ Journal of Economic Literature 49, no. 2 (2011): 366–20. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.49.2.366.

13 Magnus Ericsson and Olof Löf, ‘Mining’s Contribution to Low- and Middle-income Economies,’ in Extractive Industries: The Management of Resources as a Driver of Sustainable Development, ed. Tony Addison, and Alan Roe (Oxford, London: Oxford University Press, 2018), 51–70.

14 Samir Amin, Unequal Development: An Essay on the Social Formations of Peripheral Capitalism (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1976), 191.

15 Richard M. Auty, ‘The Political Economy of Resource-Driven Growth,’ European Economic Review 45, no. 4/6 (2001): 839–846.; Ross 1999.

16 Elsenhans 1996.

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19 Anthony Bebbington, ‘Institutions and Development,’ in The International Encyclopedia of Geography: People, the Earth, Environment, and Technology, ed. Douglas Richardson, Noel Castree, Michael F. Goodchild, Audrey Kobayashi, Weidong Liu, and Richard A. Marston. (Malden, MA, Oxford, Chichester, West Sussex: Wiley Blackwell, 2017), 1–9.

20 (see also the literature on ‘green mining’; Richard A. Niesenbaum, Sustainable Solutions: Problem-Solving for Current and Future Generations (New York, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2020).

21 Hartmut Elsenhans, ‘Overcoming Rent by Using Rent the Challenge of Development,’ Intervention. Zeitschrift für Ökonomie 1, no. 1 (2004): 87–115.

22 Auty and Furlonge 2019.

23 Khan 2018.

24 Warnecke-Berger and Ickler 2023; Auty and Furlonge 2019.

25 Pedro Alarcón, The Ecuadorian Oil Era. Nature, Rent, and the State (Baden-Baden: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 2021).

26 Manuel Chiriboga, Jornaleros Y Gran Propietarios En 135 Años De Exportación: Cacaotera. (1790-1925) (Quito, Ecuador: Consejo Provincial de Pichincha : Centro de Investigaciones y Estudios Socio-Económicos, 1980).

27 Luiz C. Bresser-Pereira, and Marcus Ianoni, ‘Developmental Class Coalitions: Historical Experiences and Prospects,’ in Growth, Crisis, Democracy: The Political Economy of Social Coalitions and Policy Regime Change, ed. Hideko Magara and Bruno Amable. (London: Routledge, 2017), 166–95.

28 Thomas Chiasson-LeBel, ‘Neo-Extractivism in Venezuela and Ecuador: A Weapon of Class Conflict,’ The Extractive Industries and Society 3, no. 4 (2016): 888–901. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.exis.2016.10.006.

29 SENPLADES (Secretaría Nacional de Planificación y Desarrollo). Plan Nacional para el Buen Vivir 2013–2017, Quito, 2013. http://buenvivir.gob.ec/versiones-plan-nacional#tabs1 (accessed August 18, 2018).

30 Stephan Haggard, Developmental States (Cambridge University Press, 2018).

31 SENPLADES 2013: 17

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33 (BCE) Banco Central del Ecuador. Noventa años del Banco Central del Ecuador. Series estadísticas históricas 1927-2017 (Quito: Banco Central del Ecuador, 2017), 192.

34 See also Cypher 2009.

35 Juan Carlos Gómez Sabaini, Juan Pablo Jiménez, and Ricardo Martner Fanta, Consensos y conflictos en la política tributaria de América Latina Libros de la CEPAL - Desarrollo Económico 142. s.l. CEPAL, 2017, 36.

36 World Bank. World Development Indicators, 2022. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators (accessed August 18, 2018).

37 Gómez et al. 201, p. 45.

38 (CEPAL) Comisión Económica para América Latina.2022. CEPALSTAT. https://statistics.cepal.org/portal/cepalstat/index.html?lang=es, accessed 18 August 2018.

39 (MCPE 2012, 52)

40 Conaghan 2016; Iván Gachet, Diego F. Grijalva, Paúl Ponce, and Damián Rodríguez, ‘The Rise of the Middle Class in Ecuador During the Oil Boom,’ Cuadernos de Economía 36, no. 72 (2017): 327–52. https://doi.org/10.15446/cuad.econ.v36n72.65821.

41 SENPLADES 2017.

42 BCE 2017.

43 Alberto Acosta, ‘El Retorno Del Estado: Primeros Pasos Postneoliberales, Mas No Postcapitalistas,’ La Tendencia 13 (2012): 63–72.

44 Tammy L. Lewis, ‘The Effects of Transnational Environmentalism on Domestic Environmental Coalitions: Thick Conservation Networks and Thin Pollution Networks in Ecuador,’ Journal of Natural Resources Policy Research 3, no. 3 (2011): 315–27. https://doi.org/10.1080/19390459.2011.591749.

45 Rickard Lalander, Magnus Lembke, and Pablo Ospina Peralta, ‘Political Economy of State-Indigenous Liaisons: Ecuador in Times of Alianza PAIS,’ ERLACS 0, no. 108 (2019): 193. https://doi.org/10.32992/erlacs.10541.

46 Catherine Walsh, ‘Development as Buen Vivir: Institutional Arrangements and (De)Colonial Entanglements,’ Development 53, no. 1 (2010): 15–21. https://doi.org/10.1057/dev.2009.93.

47 Matthieu Le Quang, ‘The Yasuní-ITT Initiative,’ Latin American Perspectives 43, no. 1 (2016): 187–99. https://doi.org/10.1177/0094582X15579908 .

48 Gaia Calligaris, and Roberto Trevini Bellini, ‘The End of the Yasuni-ITT Initiative: Considerations in a Buen Vivir Perspective,’ IJEPDM 1, no. 3 (20115): 240. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJEPDM.2015.074290, p. 244.

49 Acosta 2012.

50 Le Quang 2016.

51 Carlos de La Torre, ‘Ecuador After Correa,’ Journal of Democracy 29, no. 4 (2018): 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2018.0064; Donald V. Kingsbury, Teresa Kramarz, and Kyle Jacques, ‘Populism or Petrostate? The Afterlives of Ecuador’s Yasuní-ITT Initiative,’ Society & Natural Resources 32, no. 5 (2019): 530–47. https://doi.org/10.1080/08941920.2018.1530817.

52 Calligaris and Bellini 2015.

53 Daniel Schade, ‘Coercion Through Graduation: Explaining the EU-Ecuador Free Trade Agreement,’ Journal für Entwicklungspolitik 32, no. 3 (2016): 71–90. https://doi.org/10.20446/JEP-2414-3197-32-3-71.

54 International Energy Agency. Ecuador: Key Energy Statistics, 2023. https://www.iea.org/countries/ecuador

55 Reuters Media. ‘Ecuador Signs Deal with Solarpack for Solar Power Project,’ 2023. March 3, 2023. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/ecuador-signs-deal-with-solarpack-solar-power-project-2023-03-03/.

56 Ministerio de Energía y Minas. Balance Energético Nacional 2021 (Quito: Ministerio de Energía y Minas, 2022).

57 Philipp Altmann, ‘Eleven Days in October 2019 – the Indigenous Movement in the Recent Mobilizations in Ecuador,’ International Journal of Sociology 50, no. 3 (2020): 220–26. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207659.2020.1752498.

58 The oil price nearly halved between 2012 and 2017. See: Us Energy Information Administration.2023. Europe Brent Spot Price. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=RBRTE&f=M

59 Although Rafael Correa repeatedly underscored the “differentiated responsibilities” in fighting climate change and rhetorically put blamed the consumerism in the Global North, his government and the one ofg his successor have supported the contents of the Paris Agreement. See: Statements made during the Leaders Event at the Paris Climate Change Conference - COP 21: https://unfccc.int/files/meetings/paris_nov_2015/application/pdf/cop21cmp11_leaders_event_ecuador_en.pdf

60 Thea Riofrancos, Resource Radicals (Duke University Press, 2020), 135f.

61 Sebastian Matthes, Der Neo-Extraktivismus Und Die Bürgerrevolution: Rohstoffwirtschaft Und Soziale Ungleichheiten in Ecuador (Nomos, 2020).

62 La Hora. ‘Ecuador está desperdiciando el potencial del sector minero para hacer crecer la economía a tasas altas y generar más empleo,’ 2023. January 26, 2023. https://www.lahora.com.ec/pais/mineria-oportunidad-desperdiciada-crecimiento-empleo/

63 International Monetary Fund. ‘Ecuador: Request for an Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility-Press Release; Staff Report; Staff Supplement; and Statement by the Executive Director for Ecuador,’ IMF country reports 20, 2021. 286. International Monetary Fund. http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/002/2020/286/002.2020.issue-286-en.xml.

64 BCE. ‘Boletín Trimestral Balanza de Pagos del Ecuador,’ Boletín 82, 2023. https://www.bce.fin.ec/informacioneconomica/sector-externo

65 El Comercio, July 19th, 2021. ‘Presidente Guillermo Lasso ratificó oficialmente el retorno de Ecuador al Ciadi,’ El Comercio. https://www.elcomercio.com/actualidad/politica/presidente-lasso-ratifica-retorno-ciadi.html (accessed January, 6 2023).

66 Perelló Lucas, October 17, 2019, ‘After economic policies backfire, Ecuador’s Lenín Moreno struggles to save his presidency … and the country’s democracy?,’ Global Americans. https://theglobalamericans.org/2019/10/after-economic-policies-backfire-ecuadors-lenin-moreno-struggles-to-save-his-presidency-and-the-countrys-democracy

67 Murat Arsel, Barbara Hogenboom, and Lorenzo Pellegrini, ‘The Extractive Imperative in Latin America,’ The Extractive Industries and Society 3, no. 4 (2016): 880–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.exis.2016.10.014.

Additional information

Funding

This work was supported by the Centre of Advanced Latin American Studies (CALAS).

Notes on contributors

Jan Ickler

Jan Ickler is a researcher and PhD candidate at the University of Kassel, where he has been a coordinator at the Centre for Advanced Latin American Studies (CALAS). His research focuses on the relationship between economic elites and resource-driven development in Latin America, especially Ecuador. After having finished his master's degree in global political economy, he undertook several research visits in Latin America. Ickler’s areas of research include social inequalities, resource policy, and development theory. In 2023, The Political Economy of Extractivism and the Seduction of Rent, edited by Dr Hannes Warnecke-Berger and Ickler, was published by Routledge.

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