91
Views
0
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

ECOWAS and the challenge of preventing a resurgence of coups d’état in West Africa: An assessment of the ‘Zero Tolerance’ policy

&
Pages 23-44 | Received 29 Aug 2023, Accepted 06 May 2024, Published online: 28 May 2024
 

ABSTRACT

Since the adoption of the Abuja Declaration of Political Principles (1991) and the Supplementary Protocol on Democracy and Good Governance (2001) by the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), the regional organisation has declared ‘zero tolerance’ for unconstitutional changes of government, particularly military coups d’état. Despite these declarations, West Africa has continued to experience coups, with a resurgence in the number of these since 2020. This article examines ECOWAS' structures and strategies designed to work against such a resurgence of coups in the region. The article demonstrates that ECOWAS has advanced both diplomatic and non-diplomatic measures to respond to the phenomenon. However, while the regional body has appeared proactive in responding to the coups, it has appeared to have little success thus far; a mix of domestic, regional and international geopolitical factors – which the regional body has failed to address – continues to undermine political stability in the region.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Notes

1 Patrick J. McGowan, “African military coups d'état, 1956–2001: frequency, trends and distribution.” The Journal of Modern African Studies 41, no. 3 (2003): 339-70.

2 Megan Duzor and Brian Williamson, “Coups in Africa”, Voice of America, February, 2 2022.

3 ECOWAS Supplementary Protocol on Democracy and Good Governance (2001), https://www.eisa.org/pdf/ecowas2001protocol.pdf

4 Schedler Andreas, ed. Electoral authoritarianism: The dynamics of unfree competition. (Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2006); Yonatan L. Morse, “The era of electoral authoritarianism.” World Politics 64, no. 1 (2012): 161-98; Matthijs Bogaards, “How to classify hybrid regimes? Defective democracy and electoral authoritarianism.” Democratisation 16, no. 2 (2009): 399-423.

5 Isabel Linzer, “West Africa's democratic progress is slipping away, even as region's significance grows”, Freedom House, March 19, 2020, https://freedomhouse.org/article/west-africas-democratic-progress-slipping-away-even-regions-significance-grows-0

6 Samuel P. Huntington, The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late 20th Century (Oklahoma: University of Oklahoma, 1991).

7 Jonathan M. Powell, and Clayton L. Thyne. “Global instances of coups from 1950 to 2010: A new dataset.” Journal of Peace Research 48, no. 2 (2011): 249-59.

8 Augustine J. Kposowa and J. Craig Jenkins. “The structural sources of military coups in postcolonial Africa, 1957-1984.” American Journal of Sociology 99, no. 1 (1993): 126-63.

9 Samuel Huntington, Political Order in Changing Societies (New Haven: University Press, 1968); Robert W. Jackman, “The predictability of coups d’état: A model with African data,” American Political Science Review 72, no. 4 (1978): 1262-75.

10 Huntington, Political Order in Changing Societies.

11 Staffan Wiking, Military Coups in Sub-Saharan Africa: how to justify illegal assumptions of power (Nordiska Afrikainstitutet, 1983).

12 Pita Ogaba Agbese, “With fingers on the trigger: The military as custodian of democracy in Nigeria.” Journal of Third World Studies 9, no. 2 (1992): 220-53.

13 Eric Nordlinger, Soldiers in Politics: Military Coups and Governments. (Englewood and Cliffs, N.J: Prentice-Hall, 1977); Claude E. Welch and Arthur K. Smith, Military Role and Rule: Perspectives on Civil-Military Relations (North Scituate, Mass.: Duxbury Press, 1974); M. Morris Janowitz, The Military in the Political Development of the New Nations. (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1964).

14 Janowitz, The Military in the Political Development of the New Nations, 27-8.

15 Eric Nordlinger, Soldiers in Politics: Military Coups and Governments.

16 Staffan Wiking, Military Coups in Sub-Saharan Africa: how to justify illegal assumptions of power (Nordiska Afrikainstitutet, 1983).

17 Dorothy Nelkin, “The Economic and Social Setting of Military Take-Overs in Africa,” Journal of Asian and African Studies 2, no. 3 (1967); Welch and Smith, 1974, Military Role and Rule: Perspectives on Civil-Military Relations

18 Staffan Wiking, Military Coups in Sub-Saharan Africa: how to justify illegal assumptions of power (Nordiska Afrikainstitutet, 1983).

19 Muhammad Dan Suleiman, “Towards a Better Understanding of the Underlying Conditions of Coups in Africa,” E-International Relations, 2021, https://www.e-ir.info/2021/09/24/towards-a-better-understanding-of-the-underlying-conditions-of-coups-in-africa/

20 Staffan Wiking, Military Coups in Sub-Saharan Africa: how to justify illegal assumptions of power. Nordiska Afrikainstitutet, 1983; Samuel Decalo, “Military coups and military regimes in Africa,” The Journal of Modern African Studies 11, no. 1 (1973): 105-27.

21 Miriam Dornan, “Liberal Institutionalism,” E-International Relations, https://www.e-ir.info/2011/08/02/liberal-internationalism/

22 Stanley Hoffmann, “The crisis of liberal internationalism,” Foreign Policy 98 (1995): 159-77.

24 Article 1c, ECOWAS Supplementary Protocol, 2001

25 Article 1, Chapter 1, ECOWAS, 2001

26 Article 1e ECOWAS, 2001

27 Article 1b, ECOWAS, 2001

30 Supplementary Act A/SP.13/02/12 on Sanctions Against Member States that Fail to Honour their Obligations to ECOWAS

31 Habiba Ben Barka and Mthuli Ncube, “Political Fragility in Africa: Are Military Coups d’Etat a Never-Ending Phenomenon?” African Development Bank, September 2012.

32 Institut Montaigne, “Africa’s “Coup Contagion”: What is Driving the Rise in Military Intervention? Three questions to Hakeem Onapajo,” March 21, 2022, https://www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressions/africas-coup-contagion-what-driving-rise-military-intervention

33 Emily Cole, “Five Things to Know About Mali’s Coup,” United States Institute of Peace, August 27, 2020, https://www.usip.org/publications/2020/08/five-things-know-about-malis-coup

34 International Crisis Group (ICG), “Mali, a Coup within a Coup -27 May 2021,” May 27, 2021, https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/sahel/mali/mali-un-coup-dans-le-coup

35 Judd Devermont, “Guinea: The Causes and Consequences of West Africa’s Latest Coup,” September 8, 2021, https://www.csis.org/analysis/guinea-causes-and-consequences-west-africas-latest-coup

36 Devermont, “Guinea: The Causes and Consequences of West Africa’s Latest Coup”.

37 Aljazeera, “Burkina Faso’s coup and political situation: All you need to know,” October, 5, 2022, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/10/5/coup-in-burkina-faso-what-you-need-to-know

38 Nathaniel Powell, “The flawed logic behind French military interventions in Africa,” The Conversation, May 12, 2020, https://theconversation.com/the-flawed-logic-behind-french-military-interventions-in-africa-132528

39 Judit Godó, “In the Shackles of Instability: Challenges of Operation Barkhane in the G5 Sahel Countries.” Hungarian J. Afr. Stud. 15 (2021): 53.

40 Nathaniel Powell, “Why France failed in Mali,” War on the Rocks, February 21, 2022, https://warontherocks.com/2022/02/why-france-failed-in-mali/

41 Al Jazeera, “Burkina Faso’s coup and political situation: All you need to know,” October 5, 2022, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/10/5/coup-in-burkina-faso-what-you-need-to-know

42 John Irish and Tangi Salaun, “With eye on Islamist fight, France backs Chad military takeover,” Reuters, April 21, 2021, https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/france-defends-chad-military-takeover-needed-ensure-stability-2021-04-22/

43 Kola King, “Niger coup reflects anti-French sentiment in the region,” Indepth News, August 6, 2023, https://indepthnews.net/niger-coup-reflects-anti-french-sentiment-in-the-region/

44 Voice of America (VOA), “Niger Junta Orders French Ambassador to Leave,” August 25, 2023, https://www.voanews.com/a/niger-junta-orders-french-ambassador-to-leave-/7242125.html

45 Anthonio Cascais, “Russia's reengagement with Africa pays off,” DW, July 26, 2022, https://www.dw.com/en/russias-reengagement-with-africa-pays-off/a-61064011

46 Elena Pokalova, “The Wagner group in Africa: Russia’s quasi-state agent of influence,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism (2023): 1-23; O. Eguegu, 2022. Russia’s private military diplomacy in Africa: High risk, low reward, limited impact. South African Journal of International Affairs 29, no. 4 (2022): 445-62.

47 Mayeni Jones, “Why Russia is cheering on the Burkina Faso coup,” BBC October 10, 2022, https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-63171771

48 (Muvunyi, 2020)

49 Samuel Ramani, “Why Russia is a geopolitical winner in Mali’s coup,” Foreign Policy Research Institute, September 16, 2020, https://www.fpri.org/article/2020/09/why-russia-is-a-geopolitical-winner-in-malis-coup/

50 Festus K. Aubyn, “ECOWAS Sanctions Against Mali Necessary, but May Be Counter-Productive,” IPI Global Observatory, February 2, 2022, https://theglobalobservatory.org/2022/02/ecowas-sanctions-against-mali-necessary-but-may-be-counter-productive/

51 Annie Risemberg, “ECOWAS Lifts Sanctions Against Mali”, Voice of America (VOA), July 4, 2022, https://www.voanews.com/a/ecowas-lifts-sanctions-on-mali-burkina-faso-/6644141.html

52 Kabir Yusuf, “ECOWAS imposes sanctions on coup plotters in Guinea, Mali,” Premium Times, November 8, 2021, https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/494180-ecowas-imposes-sanctions-on-coup-plotters-in-guinea-mali.html?tztc=1

54 Katarina Hoije, ‘Burkina Faso Junta Reasserts Control After Thwarted Coup Attempt’, 28 September 2023, Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-28/burkina-faso-junta-reasserts-control-after-thwarted-coup-attempt

55 Paul Ejime, “ECOWAS Rejects Joint Request to Lift Sanctions on Mali, Guinea and Burkina Faso,” Arise News, February 20, 2023, https://www.arise.tv/ecowas-rejects-joint-request-to-lift-sanctions-on-mali-guinea-and-burkina-faso/

56 Cristina Krippahl, “ECOWAS threatens ‘use of force’ against Niger junta,” DW, July 31, 2023, https://www.dw.com/en/ecowas-threatens-use-of-force-against-niger-junta/a-66398008

57 France24, “ECOWAS activates standby force for possible intervention in Niger,” August 10, 2023, https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20230810-%F0%9F%94%B4-live-important-decisions-expected-at-ecowas-summit-on-niger

58 Reuters, “West Africa bloc deploys stabilizing force to Guinea-Bissau,” June 21, 2022, https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/west-africa-bloc-deploys-stabilizing-force-guinea-bissau-2022-06-20/

59 ADF, “ECOWAS forming force to restore stability, deter coups,” January 10, 2023, https://adf-magazine.com/2023/01/ecowas-forming-force-to-restore-stability-deter-coups/

60 The Africa Report, “Mali: Former Nigerian President Jonathan’s mediation flounders,” August 17, 2020, https://www.theafricareport.com/37689/mali-former-nigerian-president-jonathans-mediation-is-floundering/

61 News Agency of Nigeria, “Detained Mali’s president, prime minister released,” May 27, 2021, https://gazettengr.com/just-in-detained-malis-president-prime-minister-released/

62 Aljazeera, “Mali proposes five-year election delay to West African bloc,” January 1, 2022, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/1/1/mali-proposes-five-year-election-delay-west-african-bloc-ecowas

63 France24, “West Africa's ECOWAS rejects Niger junta's three-year transition plan,” August 21, 2023, https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20230821-west-africa-s-ecowas-rejects-niger-junta-s-three-year-transition-plan

64 Anthonio Cascais, “ECOWAS criticized over West African coups,” DW, May 5, 2023, https://www.dw.com/en/ecowas-criticized-over-west-african-coups/a-61685721

65 E. Gyimah-Boadi, Democratic Backsliding in West Africa: Nature, Causes, Remedies, Kofi Anan Foundation, December 2021.

66 Freedom House, “West Africa's Democratic Progress is Slipping Away, Even as Region's Significance Grows” March 19, 2020, https://freedomhouse.org/article/west-africas-democratic-progress-slipping-away-even-regions-significance-grows-0

67 Freedom House, “West Africa's Democratic Progress is Slipping Away”.

68 Africanews, “Guineans protest Conde's third-term bid, ECOWAS calls for dialogue,” October 24, 2019, https://www.africanews.com/2019/10/24/guineans-protest-conde-s-third-term-bid-ecowas-calls-for-dialogue/

69 Benjamin Maiangwa, “Guinea coup highlights the weaknesses of West Africa’s regional body”, September 11, 2021, https://theconversation.com/guinea-coup-highlights-the-weaknesses-of-west-africas-regional-body-167650

71 Aljazeera, “Russia’s Lavrov vows aid for West Africa fight against armed groups,” February 8, 2023, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/2/8/russias-lavrov-vows-aid-for-w-africas-jihadist-fight

72 Paul Stronski, “Russia’s Growing Footprint in Africa’s Sahel Region,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, February 28, 2023, https://carnegieendowment.org/2023/02/28/russia-s-growing-footprint-in-africa-s-sahel-region-pub-89135

73 Punch, “Nigeria, 10 ECOWAS in debt distress,” May 11, 2022, https://punchng.com/nigeria-10-ecowas-countries-in-debt-distress-report/

74 World Food Programme (WFP), “Extreme poverty rises in West Africa due to COVID-19 pandemic,” January 20, 2022, https://www.wfp.org/news/extreme-poverty-rises-west-africa-due-covid-19-pandemic

75 Premium Times, “Nigeria contributes $710m to ECOWAS, more than 13 countries put together,” December 6, 2018, https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/299453-nigeria-contributes-710m-to-ecowas-more-than-13-countries-put-together.html?tztc=1

76 Grace Obike, “71 million Nigerians living in extreme poverty, says World Poverty Clock”, The Nation, June 18, 2023, https://thenationonlineng.net/71-million-nigerians-living-in-extreme-poverty-says-world-poverty-clock/

78 These are the words of a leader of a social movement in Ouagadougou, at a focus group 14 March 2020, authors' translation). From Simone Schnabel, Anthonia Witt, and Adjara Konkobo, “The ‘clubs of heads of state’ from below: local perceptions of the African Union, Ecowas and their 2014/14 interventions in Burkina Faso,” Peace Research Institute Frankfurt, 2022.

79 Anthonio Cascais, “ECOWAS criticized over West African coups,” DW, May 5, 2023, https://www.dw.com/en/ecowas-criticized-over-west-african-coups/a-61685721

 

Additional information

Notes on contributors

Hakeem Onapajo

Hakeem Onapajo is an associate professor in the department of political science and international relations at Nile University of Nigeria, Abuja. He is also a research associate at the Institute for the Future of Knowledge at the University of Johannesburg, Auckland Campus, South Africa. Dr. Onapajo is a recipient of the African Peacebuilding Network (APN) Individual Fellowship for the year 2023. He was awarded the postdoctoral fellowship of the African Humanities Program of the American Council of Learned Societies (ACLS) in 2021. He researches conflict, peacebuilding and democratisation in Africa.

Dele Babalola

Dele Babalola is a senior lecturer in politics and international relations at Canterbury Christ Church University, UK. He formerly taught at Baze University, Nigeria, and the University of Kent, UK. His research interests include federalism, elections, political economy, ethnicity and conflict and terrorism in Africa. He is the author of The Political Economy of Federalism in Nigeria (Palgrave, 2019).

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.