Trends in the Extremes of Sulfur Concentration Distributions

ABSTRACT

Understanding the response of air quality parameters such as visibility to the implementation of new air quality regulations, population growth and redistribution, and federal land managing practices is essential to the evaluation of air quality management plans on air quality in federal Class I areas. For instance, the reduction of SO₂ emissions from large single point sources should result in the decrease of extreme sulfate concentrations, while population growth in geographic areas outside of urban centers could cause a slow widespread increase of sulfate and organic concentrations. The change in federal land managing practice of increased prescribed fire on a year-round basis in lieu of large naturally occurring wild fires could have the same effect; that is, the frequency of high sulfur days increase and low sulfur days decrease as the result of the management practice. Therefore, it is of interest to examine the trends associated with the proportion of days during which the concentration of some aerosol species is above or below a certain threshold and decide whether this proportion of days is increasing or decreasing or shows a lack of trend. This is a direct indication of whether the quality of the environment is improving or worsening, or neither.