Estimation of Ambient PM_2.5 Concentrations in Maryland and Verification by Measured Values

Abstract

In 1997, Maryland had no available ambient Federal Reference Method data on particulate matter less than 2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM_2.5), but did have annual ambient data for PM smaller than 10 μm (PM₁₀) at 24 sites. The PM₁₀ data were analyzed in conjunction with local annual and seasonal zip-code-level emission inventories and with speciated PM_2.5 data from four nearby monitors in the IMPROVE network (located in the national parks, wildlife refuges, and wilderness areas) in an effort to estimate annual average and seasonal high PM_2.5 concentrations at the 24 PM₁₀ monitor sites operating from 1992 to 1996. All seasonal high concentrations were estimated to be below the 24-hr PM_2.5 National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) at the sites operating in Maryland between 1992 and 1996. The estimates also indicated that 12 monitor sites might exceed the 3-year annual average PM_2.5 NAAQS of 15 ug/m³, but Maryland’s air quality shows signs that it has been improving since 1992. The estimates also were compared with actual measurements after the PM_2.5 monitor network was installed. The estimates were adequate for describing the chemical composition of the PM_2.5, forecasting compliance status with the 24-hr and annual standards, and determining the spatial variations in PM_2.5 across central Maryland.