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Risk Management Article

A Fuzzy Logic Approach to Assess, Manage, and Communicate Carcinogenic Risk

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Pages 1687-1707 | Received 08 Jul 2013, Published online: 14 Apr 2014
 

ABSTRACT

A prospective approach to addressing carcinogen risk assessment is presented. Fuzzy reasoning is used to assess carcinogenic risk, characterize it, and control it. The approach is inspired by fuzzy control inference that deploys linguistic intelligence as input to a system described numerically through membership functions. Fuzzy-based reasoning to estimate carcinogenic risk provides several advantages as discussed here. The fuzzy reasoning approach has more capabilities than traditional models in dealing with risk agents that are probably carcinogens, possibly carcinogens, not classifiable as carcinogens, and probably not carcinogens. Input–output surfaces are presented for each hazard group to enable fast inferencing. Then, a hypothetical example is given to compare the results of traditional methods and the fuzzy-based approach to estimating the risk of a carcinogen to a human population. Results show similarity in risk characterization with less input information to the fuzzy-based approach. Fuzzy reasoning characterizes risk in more explicit and easy to grasp terms. Two outputs of the inferencing system are risk characterization and risk control or remediation.

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