Regime Changes in International Securitized Property Markets

Abstract

Executive Summary. This study investigates the existence and nature of return and volatility shifts in international securitized property market returns over the period 1987-2003. The findings indicate that securitized property markets have strong switching behavior in volatility. They are either in a low return-high volatility state or in a high return-low volatility state. In addition, the two regimes are persistent with differences observed in the expected duration and frequency of shifts between the states among markets. The findings have important implications for optimal asset allocation and portfolio performance in international real estate markets.