Evaluation of shale gas reservoir reserves and production capacity based on Arps regression

ABSTRACT

At present, global energy conflicts are prominent and the world’s attention is focused on energy security. In order to evaluate the reserves and production capacity of the shale gas, which is a special fossil energy source, the study proposes a reserve and production capacity evaluation design for its reservoirs based on Arps decrement. The study intersects the material balance method and Arps reconciliation decrement method to achieve the evaluation of shale gas reservoir reserves. The shale gas reservoir production capacity was calculated using Integrated Geostatistical and Geomechanical Modeling (IGIG) based on Genliang Guo’s fractured horizontal wells, and Effective Fracture Radius (EFR) formula based on large capsule-shaped flow zones. Experimental data showed that the capacity evaluation method based on the binomial dynamic coefficient inverse calculation of formation pressure can calculate the current unobstructed flow rate and allotted production rate to provide data support for the extraction of shale gas reservoirs.

KEYWORDS:

• Reconciliation and decrement
• material balance method
• shale gas
• seepage model
• reserve evaluation
• capacity calculation

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Supplementary material

Supplemental data for this article can be accessed online at https://doi.org/10.1080/12269328.2024.2326894

Additional information

Funding

The research is supported by Science and Technology Project of CNOOC [China] Co. LTD “Key technology research on the East China Sea yield of 5.6 million tons” [No.: CNOOC-KJ 135 ZDXM 39 SH03].