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Original Articles

Modeling a sustainable Saudi Arabian economy: the real issues

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Pages 186-193 | Received 19 Jul 2015, Accepted 18 Oct 2015, Published online: 15 Nov 2015
 

Abstract

This paper develops a macroeconomic framework for creating a competitive and sustainable Saudi Arabian economy, taking into account the interrelationships among social, environmental, and economic factors. The objective of the research is to build a model that will allow for evaluating the effects of a wide range of emissions abatement policies on economic growth and development. The research methodology is grounded in econometric modeling of the Saudi economy over the period 1980–2010. The estimated parameters of the model were used to project long-term gross domestic product (GDP) growth paths based on three environmental degradation abatement scenarios. The results suggest that the sustainability of economic growth in Saudi Arabia critically depends on aggressive emissions-reduction policies since policy scenarios corresponding to higher pollution cuts yielded higher, sustained long-term GDP. The results also broadly reject the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis, implying that a turning point in the relationship between CO2 emissions and per capita GDP is yet to be attained.

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Corrigendum

Acknowledgment

This project was funded by the Deanship of Scientific Research (DSR) at King Abdulaziz University Jeddah, under grant no.1-120-36-RG. The authors, therefore, acknowledge with thanks DSR technical and financial support.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.

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