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Original Articles

Can real exchange rate devaluation improve the trade balance? The 1990–1998 Brazilian case

Pages 525-528 | Published online: 16 Aug 2006
 

Abstract

The Brazilian Trade Balance deficit in the 1990s was blamed on the adopted crawling-peg exchange rate regime in which the real exchange rate was supposedly appreciated. The purpose in this letter is to assess this relationship by using VEC-M model to check if Marshall–Lerner condition and J-curve phenomenon hold. The results indicate that the Marshall–Lerner condition holds and the J-curve would be present in the aftermath of a real exchange rate devaluation.

Acknowledgements

We are grateful for comments from the Editor, Afonso Henriques Borges Ferreira and Cleomar Gomes. Fabio Gomes are grateful for FAPERJ financial support.

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