Exchange rate fluctuations in Croatia: test of uncovered interest rate parity and the open economy model

Abstract

This study finds that the US dollar/kuna exchange rate for Croatia is positively influenced by the expected exchange rate and negatively associated with real M1, the US T-bond rate, the euro interest rate, the expected inflation rate, and the relative price. Deficit spending does not affect the exchange rate. Most of the variation in exchange rates can be explained by the open economy model and uncovered interest-rate parity.