321
Views
3
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Research Article

Home-field advantage and biased prediction markets in English soccer

ORCID Icon
 

ABSTRACT

Results of the present study show a larger rate of home wins in the upper leagues of English professional soccer as compared to the lower leagues. By testing the Efficient Market Hypothesis on the online betting markets, home-field bias was found to be over-predicted in League One and League Two (the third and fourth divisions) relative to the premier league. The analysis is based on odds set by 51 different bookmakers for the outcomes of 16,407 soccer matches from the top four divisions in England between seasons 2010/11 and 2017/18.

JEL CLASSIFICATION:

Acknowledgments

I would like to thank J. James Reade and Carl Singleton for their help and helpful comments. Thanks to J. James Reade for providing the data.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author.

Correction Statement

This article has been republished with minor changes. These changes do not impact the academic content of the article.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.