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Original Articles

Cross country evidence on nonlinearity in industrial production between the wars

Pages 77-80 | Published online: 05 Oct 2010
 

Abstract

We use the BDS statistic to test for unmodelled structure in the linearly filtered industrial production figures for Canada, France, Japan and the USA between 1919 and 1930. The i.i.d. null is rejected for France and Japan though there is other evidence for nonlinearity in the remaining series. In particular, we are able to fit self-exciting threshold autoregression (SETAR) models to each series.

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