Post-Soviet states and CO₂ emissions: the role of foreign direct investment

ABSTRACT

Natural resource abundance, growth-oriented strategies and low environmental concern of post-Soviet states may exacerbate the consequences of climate change significantly. This study considers the relationship between CO₂ emissions, economic development, foreign investment inflows, trade and energy use in 20 post-Soviet states between 1995 and 2017. A panel cointegration test reveals the long-term cointegrating relationship between the variables. Long-term elasticities are reported using Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares and Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares regressions, which yield quite similar results: GDP per capita, foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, trade and energy use positively related to CO₂ emissions per capita in the long term. A panel causality test, however, identifies unidirectional causality running from CO₂ emissions to energy use at p<0.01. In other words, greater economic activity in terms of foreign capital inflows, larger trade shares, extensive energy use and economic development, harm the environment through increasing CO₂ emissions and strengthen the need for greater environmental and climate change concerns. The study aims to contribute to this Special Issue through accounting for the role of foreign direct investment and foreign trade in the sustainable development of post-Soviet states.

KEYWORDS:

• Post-communism
• economic growth
• energy
• CO₂
• FDI
• trade

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.

Notes

1. https://climate.nasa.gov/news/3061/2020-tied-for-warmest-year-on-record-nasa-analysis-shows/.

2. The Climate Change Performance Index 2021, https://newclimate.org/2020/12/07/the-climate-change-performance-index-2021/.