![Sample our Mathematics & Statistics journals, sign in here to start your FREE access for 14 days]({"type":"image" , "src" : "/sda/5943/TOC-Subject-Sample-2021-Mathematics-Statistics.jpg"})
Abstract
We demonstrate the application of an algorithmic trading strategy based upon the recently developed dynamic mode decomposition on portfolios of financial data. The method is capable of characterizing complex dynamical systems, in this case financial market dynamics, in an equation-free manner by decomposing the state of the system into low-rank terms whose temporal coefficients in time are known. By extracting key temporal coherent structures (portfolios) in its sampling window, it provides a regression to a best fit linear dynamical system, allowing for a predictive assessment of the market dynamics and informing an investment strategy. The data-driven analytics capitalizes on stock market patterns, either real or perceived, to inform buy/sell/hold investment decisions. Critical to the method is an associated learning algorithm that optimizes the sampling and prediction windows of the algorithm by discovering trading hot-spots. The underlying mathematical structure of the algorithms is rooted in methods from nonlinear dynamical systems and shows that the decomposition is an effective mathematical tool for data-driven discovery of market patterns.
Acknowledgements
We are especially grateful for discussions with Steven Brunton, Joshua L. Proctor and Jonathan Tu. The authors are also indebted to the Radcliffe Institute for Advanced Studies at Harvard University where J. N. Kutz spent the academic year 2012-2013 on sabbatical. During this time, the Radcliffe Institute helped to supported the research efforts and partnership of the authors.
Notes
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.