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Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy Volume 6, 2011 - Issue 4
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Original Articles

Turkey's Electricity Consumption Forecasting Using Genetic Programming

M. Çunkaş Technical Education Faculty, Department of Electronics & Computer Education, Selcuk University, Konya, Turkey
&
U. Taşkiran Technical Education Faculty, Department of Electronics & Computer Education, Selcuk University, Konya, Turkey
Pages 406-416 | Received 16 Aug 2008, Accepted 13 Dec 2008, Published online: 28 Jul 2011
 
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Abstract

Turkey's energy demand has been increasing rapidly as a result of rapid urbanization and industrialization. The energy investment requirement will be US$130 billion by the year 2020. Electricity energy has a vital importance among the energy sector. In this study the current state of the electricity energy production and consumption of Turkey is investigated and the electricity energy consumption is forecasted by using genetic algorithm. The obtained results are compared with conventional regression analyses techniques, and the estimated values of the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources. The electricity demand in the year 2020 is estimated to be 315.02 billion kWh compared to the 189.52 billion kWh needed in the year 2007.

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