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Original Articles

Causality Between Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in Turkey: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach

Pages 25-31 | Received 11 Jan 2010, Accepted 06 Feb 2010, Published online: 12 Aug 2013
 

Abstract

Turkey is a candidate for becoming a European Union member and has an important geopolitical position for energy sources; hence, the increasing attention given to electric consumption and economic growth in Turkey has been seen in energy journals. In this study, the nexus between electricity consumption and economic growth for Turkey is examined by using the autoregressive distributed lag bound test. After we concluded that there was a long-run relationship between electricity consumption-gross domestic product (GDP) and vice versa, we also found that electricity consumption has a positive and a statistically significant impact on Turkey's economic growth and vice versa. In order to examine causality between electricity consumption-GDP, the Granger test was employed and while we concluded that while the neutrality hypotheses is valid for the short run in Turkey, there exists bidirectional Granger causality between electricity consumption and GDP which confirms the feedback hypothesis for the long run.

Notes

Note: * denotes electric consumption studies; EC → GDP means that the causality runs from energy consumption to growth; GDP → EC means that the causality runs from growth to energy consumption; EC ↔ GDP means that bi-directional causality exists between energy consumption and growth, EC—GDP means that no causality exists between energy consumption and growth; EC = energy consumption; ARDL = autoregressive distributed lag; EC = energy consumption; GDP = real gross domestic product.

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