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Abstract
This study aims to investigate the Feldstein-Horioka hypothesis for North Cyprus using ARDL bounds test for cointegration for period 1983–2012. The robustness of the ARDL was done by the newly developed Bayer-Hanck (2013) combined cointegration test. The empirical results revealed that both savings and investments are cointegrated, while the findings from the long-run and short-run analysis validate the F-H hypothesis suggesting, that North Cyprus have closed-economy in which domestic investments are related to domestic savings. Furthermore, investment converges to its long-run equilibrium position by 43.95% speed of adjustments using channel of savings. Finally, the result of Granger causality under the framework of ECM suggests that savings cause investment in short-run, long-run and both joint short-run and long-run causality.
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank the anonymous reviewers for suggestions that substantially improved the article.
Notes
* Accepted by Yue Ma upon recommendation by Junbo Wang
1. Data on these variables obtained from the State Planning Organization of North Cyprus http://www.devplan.org/. Data covered the period of 1983–2012.
2. See Bayer and Hanck (Citation2013) for more details.