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Articles

Building a Competitive Authoritarian Regime: State–Business Relations in the AKP’s Turkey

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Abstract

The most recent global wave of democratic reversal is marked by executive takeovers. Politically motivated interventions in domestic markets aimed at restructuring the underlying power dynamics in society have been part and parcel of these takeovers. This article investigates the new political economy behind the AKP’s competitive authoritarian rule in Turkey as an example of this larger trend. The article argues that the AKP government has built a loyal business class through an elaborate system of rewards and punishment since 2002. With the aim of consolidating its business constituency, the AKP politicized state institutions (debt collection, tax authorities, privatization, public procurement) and eroded the rule of law to distribute rents and resources to its supporters, transfer capital from its opponents to its supporters, and to discipline dissidents in business circles. These mechanisms allowed the party to skew the political playing field in its favour through its access to private resources as well as its disproportionate access to the media—built by pro-AKP businessmen—and thus underpinned the AKP’s competitive authoritarian regime.

Acknowledgements

Special thanks are due to Mesut Kılıç for his valuable research assistance. We would also like to thank Karabekir Akkoyunlu, Nancy Bermeo, Tim Dorlach, Samuel Greene, Nora Fisher Onar, Kerem Öktem, Ziya Öniş, Osman Savaşkan, Feryaz Ocaklı, Kıvanç Özvardar, Andreas Schedler, and participants at the interdisciplinary workshop on the ‘Political Economy of Contemporary Turkey’ (30‒31 July 2015), the inaugural symposium ‘Consortium of European Symposia on Turkey’ (1‒3 October 2015) and the ‘Rise of Competitive Electoral Authoritarian Regimes’ panel at APSA 2015. We are grateful to three anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments and suggestions.

Notes

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16. C. Tuğal, Passive Revolution: Absorbing the Islamic Challenge to Capitalism, Stanford University Press, Stanford, CA, 2009.

17. C. Başlevent and H. Kirmanoğlu, ‘Economic voting in Turkey: perceptions, expectations, and the party choice’, Research and Policy on Turkey, 1(1), 2016, pp. 88–101; A. Çarkoğlu, ‘Economic evaluations vs. ideology: diagnosing the sources of electoral change in Turkey, 2002–2011’, Electoral Studies, 31(3), (2012), pp. 513–521.

18. Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit.; Özcan and Gündüz, ‘Energy privatisations’, op. cit.; E. C. Gürakar, Politics of Favoritism in Public Procurement in Turkey: Reconfigurations of Dependency Networks in the AKP Era, Palgrave Macmillan, New York, 2016.

19. P. Bedirhanoğlu, ‘The neoliberal discourse on corruption as a means of consent building: reflections from post-crisis Turkey’, Third World Quarterly, 28(7), 2007, pp. 1239–1254; G. Yılmaz and D. Soyaltın, ‘Zooming into the “domestic” in Europeanization: promotion of fight against corruption and minority rights in Turkey’, Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies, 16(1), 2014, pp. 11–29; Gürakar, op. cit.

20. Esen and Gumuscu, ‘Rising competitive authoritarianism in Turkey’, op. cit; B. Saatçioğlu, ‘De-Europeanisation in Turkey: the case of the rule of law’, South European Society and Politics, 21(1), 2016, pp. 133–146; E. Özbudun, ‘Turkey’s judiciary and the drift toward competitive authoritarianism’, The International Spectator, 50(2), 2015, pp. 42–55; B. Yesil, Media in New Turkey: The Origins of an Authoritarian Neoliberal State, University of Illinois Press, Urbana, 2016; E. Arsan, ‘Sivil İtaatsizlik Bağlamında Bir Araştırma: Gazeteci Gözüyle Sansür ve Otosansür’ [A Study of Civil Disobedience: Censorship and Auto-Censorship from Journalists’ Perspective], Cogito Sivil İtaatsizlik Sayısı [Cogito Issue on Civil Disobedience], Istanbul: YKY, 2011.

21. Z. Öniş and C. Bakır, ‘Turkey’s political economy in the age of financial globalization: the significance of the EU anchor’, South European Society & Politics, 12(2), 2007, pp. 147–164; Z. Öniş and M. Kutlay, ‘Rising powers’, op. cit.; Z. Öniş, ‘The triumph of conservative globalism’, op. cit.; Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit.

22. H. Taş, ‘Turkey—from tutelary to delegative democracy’, Third World Quarterly, 36(4), 2015, pp. 776–791; Özbudun, op. cit.; Müftüler-Baç and Keyman, op. cit.

23. S. Levitsky and L. A. Way, Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes after the Cold War, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2010.

24. Esen and Gumuscu, ‘Rising competitive authoritarianism in Turkey’, op. cit.

25. Levitsky and Way, Competitive Authoritarianism, p. 10.

26. Acemoglu and Üçer, op. cit.; Özel, ‘The politics of de-delegation’, op. cit.

27. Özbudun, op. cit.

28. Levitsky and Way, op. cit.

29. Ibid., p. 28.

30. Özbudun, op. cit.

31. Levitsky and Way, op. cit.

33. T. Arıcanlı and D. Rodrik (eds), The Political Economy of Turkey: Debt, Adjustment and Sustainability, Springer, New York, 1990; K. Boratav, T. Oktar, and E. Yeldan, ‘Dilemmas of structural adjustment and environmental policies under instability: post-1980 Turkey’, World Development, 24(2), 1996, pp. 373–393.

34. On Özal and his economic agenda, see Z. Öniş, ‘Turgut Özal and his economic legacy: Turkish neo-liberalism in critical perspective’, Middle Eastern Studies, 40(4), 2004, pp. 113–134; Atiyas, op. cit.

35. For more on these crises, see Z. Öniş, ‘Beyond the 2001 financial crisis: the political economy of the new phase of neo-liberal restructuring in Turkey’, Review of International Political Economy, 16(3), 2009, pp. 409–432; Z. Öniş, ‘Domestic politics versus global dynamics: towards a political economy of the 2000 and 2001 financial crises in Turkey’, Turkish Studies, 4(2), 2003, pp. 1–30.

36. C. Bakır and Z. Öniş, ‘The regulatory state and Turkish banking reforms in the age of post‐Washington Consensus’, Development and Change, 41(1), 2010, pp. 77–106; Z. Öniş and C. Bakır, ‘Turkey’s political economy in the age of financial globalization: the significance of the EU anchor’, South European Society & Politics, 12(2), 2007, pp. 147–164.

37. A. Ganioğlu, ‘Understanding banking sector reforms in Turkey: assessing the roles of domestic versus external actors’, Journal of Southern Europe and the Balkans, 10(3), 2008, pp. 363–376.

38. Öniş, ‘Beyond the 2001 financial crisis’, op. cit., p. 418.

39. G. Sosay, ‘Delegation and accountability: independent regulatory agencies in Turkey’, Turkish Studies, 10(3), 2009, pp. 341–363; C. Bakir and Z. Öniş, ‘The regulatory state’, op. cit.; Atiyas, op. cit.

40. On the party’s economic programme during its first term, see Onis, ‘Beyond the 2001 financial crisis’, op. cit.; A. Güven. ‘The feasibility of IFI‐led institutional reform: four Turkish experiments compared’, Development Policy Review, 30(4), 2012, pp. 425–449.

41. Atiyas, op. cit.

42. Özel, ‘The politics of de-delegation’, op. cit.

43. I. Özel, ‘Reverting structural reforms in Turkey: towards an illiberal economic governance?’, Global Turkey in Europe III: Democracy, Trade, and the Kurdish Question in Turkey‒EU Relations, 19, 2015, p. 22.

46. Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit., p. 82.

47. 5 Özelleştirmeye Yargı Affı [Judicial amnesty to five cases of privatisations], Milliyet, 7 July 2014 <http://www.milliyet.com.tr/5-ozellestirmeye-yargi-affi/ekonomi/detay/1908159/default.htm< (accessed 15 November 2016).

48. Gürakar, op. cit., p. 96.

49. Özbudun, op. cit.

50. Gürakar, op. cit., p. 17.

51. S. Sayarı, ‘Interdisciplinary approaches to political clientelism and patronage in Turkey’, Turkish Studies, 15(4), 2014, pp. 655–670; M. Heper and E. F. Keyman, ‘Double‐faced state: political patronage and the consolidation of democracy in Turkey’, Middle Eastern Studies, 34(4), 1998, pp. 259–277; E. Kalaycıoğlu, ‘Turkish democracy: patronage versus governance’, Turkish Studies, 2(1), 2001, pp. 54–70.

52. A. Buğra, State and Business in Modern Turkey: A Comparative Study, Albany: State University of New York Press, 1994; Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit.

53. Sayarı notes the qualitative difference in clientelistic practices between the AKP and its predecessors, see S. Sayarı, ‘Opposition parties and democratic consolidation in Turkey’, in C. Erişen and P. Kubicek (eds), Democratic Consolidation in Turkey, Routledge, New York, 2016, pp. 166–183.

54. For a discussion of the mechanisms of the AKP’s dominance, see S. Gumuscu, ‘The emerging predominant party system in Turkey’, Government and Opposition, 48(2), 2013, pp. 223–244.

55. Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit.

56. Quoted in ibid., p. 80.

57. Gürakar, op. cit., p. 53.

58. Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit., ch. 3.

60. European Commission Regular Report on Turkey’s Progress towards Accession 2003, available at: https://www.ab.gov.tr/files/AB_Iliskileri/Tur_En_Realitons/Progress/Turkey_Progress_Report_2003.pdf

62. Gürakar, op. cit., p. 72.

63. Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit., p. 79.

64. Open tenders are announced publicly and are open to all suppliers. Restricted tender methods only include those suppliers that fulfil certain criteria designated by the government, while negotiated tenders, often done without a public announcement, include select suppliers invited by the government. As such, open tenders are the most transparent, whereas restricted and negotiated tender methods are less competitive, transparent, and open to political influence.

65. Gürakar, op. cit., p. 57.

66. For instance in the scope of the Fatih project the Ministry of Education purchased millions of personal computers and tablets to distribute to students and improve the technological infrastructure of schools. The ministry estimated the total cost of the project to be US$4.2 billion in 2012 and was treated as an exception to the public procurement law. Ibid., pp. 60–61.

67. For a detailed study of a sample of these large firms see chapter 3 in Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit.

68. Gürakar, op. cit., p. 6.

69. Ibid., p. 59.

70. Ibid., p. 84.

71. Ibid., p. 90.

72. E. C. Gürakar and T. Bircan, ‘Political connections and public procurement in Turkey: evidence from construction work contracts’, ERF Working Paper, 2016.

73. Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit., p. 85; see also Atiyas, op. cit.

74. S. Demiralp and İ. Gümüş, ‘The state of property development in Turkey: facts and comparisons’, New Perspectives on Turkey, 55, 2016, pp. 85–106; Gurakar, op. cit., p. 96.

75. For an excellent study of state‒business collaboration within the framework of TOKİ, see F. Ocakli, ‘Reconfiguring state-business relations in Turkey: housing and hydroelectric energy sectors in comparative perspective’, Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1080/19448953.2018.1385926

76. TOKİ’nin konut sayisi 700 bine vardi <http://www.aa.com.tr/tr/turkiye/510765--quot-tokinin-konut-sayisi-700-bine-vardi-quot> (accessed 20 July 2015).

77. Gürakar, op. cit., p. 97.

78. A majority of the firms in Gürakar’s study of public procurements, for instance, were established in the 1990s and 2000s, Gürakar, op. cit. p. 76.

79. For a network analysis of TOKİ and its contractees, see <http://mulksuzlestirme.org/toki-ihaleleri> (accessed 21 October 2015). For more on these business networks, see A. Buğra, ‘Class, culture, and state: an analysis of interest representation by two Turkish business associations’, International Journal of Middle East Studies, 30(4), 1998, pp. 521–539; E. Tok, ‘Islamic vs. secular business interests: towards Turkey’s new state spaces’, Journal of Islamic Studies, 3(1), 2015, pp. 81–92; and Gumuscu, op. cit.

80. See Gürakar, op. cit.

81. Öniş, ’Beyond the 2001 financial crisis’, op. cit., p. 423.

82. For a detailed discussion of privatization in Turkey, see Z. Önis, ‘Power, interests and coalitions: the political economy of mass privatisation in Turkey’, Third World Quarterly, 32(4), 2011, pp. 707–724. Also see V. N. Geyikdaği and F. Karaman, ‘Foreign direct investment and profit transfers: the Turkish case’, Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies, 15(4), 2013, pp. 383–395.

83. Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit., p. 82.

84. For a discussion on Turkey’s foreign capital-dependent growth, see M. U. Tutan and A. Campbell, ‘Turkey’s economic fragility, foreign capital dependent growth and hot money’, Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies, 17(4), 2015, pp. 373–391.

85. The party’s official website states that 90% of all privatization in Turkey since 1923 has been done by the AKP <https://www.akparti.org.tr/site/icraat/13938/505-milyar-dolarlik-ozellestirme-geliri> (accessed 11 June 2015); Z. Tezer, ‘Degistirilen yasalar yolsuzluklara zemin oldu’ [New legislation has become the basis for corruption], Cumhuriyet, 23 June 2015 <http://www.cumhuriyet.com.tr/haber/turkiye/305183/Degistirilen_yasalar_yolsuzluklara_zemin_oldu.html> (accessed 30 June 2015).

86. Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit., p. 82.

88. Cengiz Holding paid US$305 million for Eti Aliminum, its holdings, Antalya port, and Oymapınar HESS. The estimated value of Eti Aliminum alone was US$4 billion <http://www.cumhuriyet.com.tr/koseyazisi/128003/AKP_nin_Altin_Semeri__Ozellestirme.html> (accessed 20 June 2016).

89. For Şimşek’s question and Yıldız’s response see <http://www2.tbmm.gov.tr/d24/7/7-34585c.pdf> (accessed 24 November 2016).

90. Özcan and Gündüz, ‘Energy privatizations’, op. cit., pp. 1726–1730.

91. Ibid., pp. 1730–1731.

92. A striking case in point is former Minister of Environment Osman Pepe, whose sons engaged in building hydroelectric power plants – among other sectors such as ship-building and maritime trade – using their father’s political access <http://www.gazetevatan.com/eski-bakandan-240-milyon---lik-yatirim-303094-ekonomi/> (accessed 12 November 2015).

93. Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit., p. 82. For a network analysis of hydroelectric power plants, see <http://mulksuzlestirme.org/hes-projeleri> (accessed 21 October 2015).

94. Ibid.

95. See the parliamentary minutes on a motion introduced by HDP members on Cengiz Holding on 24 February 2016 <https://www.tbmm.gov.tr/develop/owa/Tutanak_B_SD.birlesim_baslangic_yazici?P4=22541&P5=H&page1=1&page2=98> (accessed 24 November 2016).

96. F. Başkan, ‘The rising Islamic business elite and democratization in Turkey’, Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies, 12(4), 2010, pp. 399–416; Gumuscu, op. cit.

97. G. B. Özcan and U. Gündüz, ‘Political connectedness and business performance: evidence from Turkish industry rankings’, Business and Politics, 17(1), 2015, pp. 41–73; Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit.

98. Greene, op. cit.

99. Buğra and Savaşkan, op. cit.; Özcan and Gündüz, ‘Energy privatisations’, op. cit.

101. The MUK, which consists of the head of the Revenue Administration (Gelir İdaresi Başkanı), his deputy, and head of the revenue management department (Gelir Yönetimi Daire Başkanı), is responsible for the settlement of tax disputes above the US$780,000 mark.

103. The corresponding rate in the Provincial Reconciliation Councils was as low as 42%, demonstrating the government’s leniency towards big business <http://www.meslektebirlik.org.tr/haber/153/uzlasmada-keyfilik-bitirilmelidir.html> (accessed 29 June 2015).

104. For more on Cengiz Holding and its investments in the media, construction, mining, and energy sectors, see <http://www.cengiz.com.tr/en-us/Pages/default.aspx> (accessed 15 November 2016). Also see <http://mulksuzlestirme.org/cengiz-holding-enerji-ortakliklari> (accessed 15 June 2016).

105. For details on these settlements see Altan Tan’s parliamentary query to Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek <http://www2.tbmm.gov.tr/d24/7/7-27275c.pdf> (accessed 10 November 2016).

106. For Mehmek Şimşek’s official response to Tan’s query <http://www2.tbmm.gov.tr/d24/7/7-27275c.pdf>; for the statement of the Ministry of Finance see <http://www.maliye.gov.tr/Sayfalar/HaberDetay.aspx?rid=151&lst=DuyurularListesi> (accessed 10 November 2016).

107. HDP MP Levent Tüzel submitted a parliamentary query on Sayıştay’s 2011 report on the Directorate of Revenues and these tax settlements <http://www2.tbmm.gov.tr/d24/7/7-33052s.pdf> (accessed 10 November 2016).

108. For Canikli’s statement, see <http://www.milliyet.com.tr/hatayi-biz-yaptik-vesayet-olustu/siyaset/detay/1711540/default.htm>; for a response delivered by Sayıştay chairman Recai Akyel, see <http://www.milliyet.com.tr/sayistay-baskani-ndan-ak-partili/siyaset/detay/1715732/default.htm> (accessed 10 November 2016).

109. See Ministry of Finance’s official statement on the VAT exceptions introduced by Law no 5228 at <http://www.resmigazete.gov.tr/eskiler/2005/01/20050119-17.htm> (accessed 10 November 2016).

112. S. Özel, ‘Seçimli otoriterlik’ [Electoral authoritarianism], Habertürk, 16 September 2009; N. Mert, ‘Sivil istibdad’ [Civilian authoritarianism], Radikal, 17 November 2009. Also see Esen and Gumuscu, ‘Rising competitive authoritarianism in Turkey’, op. cit.

113. European Commission Turkey Progress Reports 2009 and 2010.

116. I. Özel, ‘Is it none of their business? Business and democratization, the case of Turkey’, Democratization, 20(6), 2013, p. 1097.

117. <http://arsiv.ntv.com.tr/news/257043.asp> (accessed 4 July 2015).

119. Ç Toker, ‘Fiyati dusur, yandasa sat, yargi kararini uygulama’ [Lower its price, sell it to your supporter, do not enforce the court decision], Cumhuriyet, 20 July 2015 <http://www.cumhuriyet.com.tr/haber/ekonomi/173863/Fiyati_dusur_yandasa_sat__yargi_kararini_uygulama.html> (accessed 22 June 2016).

122. Ibid. Also see Ç. Toker, ‘Sayıştay ve Bir Eksik KDV Hikayesi’ [Court of Accounts and a story of unpaid value added tax], Cumhuriyet, 10 October 2015 <http://www.cumhuriyet.com.tr/koseyazisi/384903/Sayistay_ve_bir__eksik_KDV__oykusu.html> (accessed 17 October 2015).

123. Previously part of the AKP’s ruling coalition, the Gülen movement parted ways with the AKP after the 2011 elections. In 2013, however, the rift turned into open conflict. For details on this conflict, see C. Berlinski, ‘Anatomy of a power struggle’, Journal of International Security Affairs, 2012, No. 23, Fall/Winter 2012, pp. 125–128; S. Gumuscu ‘The clash of Islamists: The crisis of the Turkish state and democracy’ POMEPS Memo, November 2016, available at: https://pomeps.org/2016/11/03/the-clash-of-islamists-the-crisis-of-the-turkish-state-and-democracy/

125. Özbudun, op. cit. p. 52; also <http://m.karsigazete.com.tr/politika/akpli-bakandan-itiraf-gibi-sozler-h83076.html> (accessed 26 June 2016).

126. M. Yetkin, ‘Muhalefet Hapis, Şirketler Kayyum Tehdidi Altında Olursa’, Hurriyet, 16 June 2016.

127. Some trustees allegedly hold more than 50 companies in their portfolio, earning them thousands of US dollars per month <http://www.hurriyet.com.tr/iflas-ertelemeler-icin-cok-onemli-gibi-duzenlemeler-geliyor-40122916> (accessed 22 June 2016).

129. Ibid.

138. G. Jenkins, ‘AKP strengthens its hold on the Turkish media’, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 5, 15 May 2008.

139. Radikal, 23 April 2008; S. Yılmaz, ‘Çalık’ın Kullandığı Kredinin Koşulları’ [The conditions of the credit given to Çalık Holding], Milliyet, 2008, 23 July 2008.

140. These recordings revealed that Erdoğan asked the Limak‒Kolin partnership to buy the Sabah-ATV media group in exchange for a contract to build Istanbul’s multibillion-dollar third airport. Ethem Sancak, a Turkish businessman with close ties to Erdoğan, bought three media outlets previously owned by the Çukurova Group from TMSF. Soon after this sale, Sancak bought BMC motors from the TMSF at a significantly lowered price without an open tender. For details see Democracy in Crisis: Corruption, Power and Media in Turkey, Freedom House Report, 2014, available at <https://freedomhouse.org/sites/default/files/Turkey%20Report%20-%202-3-14.pdf>.

141. Fatih Vural’s interview with Ethem Sancak, Türkiye Gazetesi, 12 February 2013.

142. For an informative report on Turkey’s level of transparency in campaign finance, see <http://www.seffaflik.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/siyasetin-finansmanı-rapor_Ocak-2016.pdf> (accessed 24 January 2017).

143. <http://www.osce.org/odihr/122553?download=true> (accessed 12 January 2016).

147. SDP başkanı Ayhan Ogan Ogün habere konuştu [SDP Chairman talks to Ogun News] <http://www.ogunhaber.com/haber/sdp-baskani-ayhan-ogan-ogunhabere-konustu-haberi-237313h.html> (accessed 10 June 2015).

148. For a propagandist piece on the AKP’s foreign policy in Africa and Albayrak’s humanitarian investments written by a Yeni Şafak columnist, see <http://t24.com.tr/haber/ali-bayramoglu-patronunu-yazdi-somalide-elcilik-ve-hastane-insaati-ile-liman-isletmesini-albayraklar-yapiyor,285250> (accessed 28 June 2015).

151. The bitter conflict with the Gülen movement has disrupted the AKP’s clientelist networks. While the recent takeovers provide the AKP with even more assets to distribute to its supporters, the sudden shifts may diminish the Islamist economic base. For instance, the government even turned against the few Islamist industrial firms such as the Ipek and Boydak conglomerates that had amassed sufficient capital to compete with Istanbul-based economic powerhouses. Even before the coup attempt, the Turkish private sector—with the exception of the energy and construction sectors—was still dominated by old secular firms located in Istanbul and its vicinity.

152. For an analysis of the coup night, see B. Esen and S. Gumuscu, ‘Turkey: how the coup failed’, Journal of Democracy, 28(1), 2017, pp. 59–73.

153. A. Güven, ‘Rethinking development space in emerging countries: Turkey’s conservative countermovement’, Development and Change, 47(5), 2016, p. 1012.

154. Ibid.

155. The AKP’s social policy regime will be critical in determining the party’s support among the popular classes in the face of increasing economic hardships. For an analysis of the party’s social policy regime see A. Buğra, ‘Social policy and different dimensions of inequality in Turkey: a historical overview’, Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1080/19448953.2018.1385283.

156. Plattner, op. cit.; Levitsky and Way, ‘The myth of democratic recession’, op. cit.; Diamond, op. cit.

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