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Articles

Permanence and Hopf bifurcation of a delayed eco-epidemic model with Leslie–Gower Holling type III functional response

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Pages 276-288 | Received 14 Mar 2019, Accepted 24 Jul 2019, Published online: 07 Aug 2019

Abstract

This paper is concerned with a delayed eco-epidemic model with a Leslie–Gower Holling type III functional response. The main results are given in terms of permanence and Hopf bifurcation. First of all, sufficient conditions for permanence of the model are established. Directly afterward, sufficient conditions for local stability and existence of Hopf bifurcation are obtained by regarding the delay as bifurcation parameter. Finally, properties of the Hopf bifurcation are investigated with the aid of the normal form theory and centre manifold theorem. Numerical simulations are carried out to verify the obtained theoretical results.

1. Introduction

One of the dominant themes in both ecology and mathematical ecology is the dynamic relationship between predators and their preys due to its universal existence and importance in population dynamics (Beretta & Kuang, Citation1998; Berryman, Citation1992). As is known, the functional response is an important factor that can affect the dynamical properties of predator–prey systems. During the last decade, many works have been devoted to the study of the effects of a disease on predator–prey systems with different functional responses. In Morozov (Citation2012), Zhang, Jiang, Liu, and Regan (Citation2016), Morozov et al. studied a predator–prey system with disease in the prey and Holling type I functional response. In Hu and Li (Citation2012), Hu and Li investigated the effect of time delay on a predator–prey system with disease in the prey and Holling type I functional response. In Saifuddin, Biswas, Samanta, Sarkar, and Chattopadhyay (Citation2016), Upadhyay and Roy (Citation2014), Sahoo (Citation2015), Saifuddin et al. investigated the eco-epidemiological systems with disease in the prey and Holling type II functional response. Sahoo formulated a predator–prey epidemic model supplying alternative food to predator (Sahoo, Citation2016). Sahoo assumed that, the interaction between predator and susceptible prey is of Holling type II functional response and that between predator and infected prey is of Holling type I functional response. In Chakraborty, Das, Haldar, and Kar (Citation2015), Chakraborty et al. proposed a predator–prey system with disease in prey and Holling type III functional response based on the work in Bhattacharyya and Mukhopadhyay (Citation2011). Chakraborty et al. studied a ratio-dependent eco-epidemiological system where prey population is subjected to harvesting (Chakraborty, Pal, & Bairagi, Citation2010). Shi et al. considered an eco-epidemiological model with a stage structure and disease in prey (Shi, Cui, & Zhou, Citation2011).

In fact, as stated in the literature (Zhang, Li, & Yan,Citation2008), in the predator–prey system, the disease can spread not only in prey but also can spread in predator. Therefore, besides considering the spread of disease in prey, we should also consider the spread of disease in the predator. Based on this consideration, Zhang et al. investigated a delayed predator–prey eco-epidemiological system with disease spreading in predator population and Holling type I functional response (Zhang et al., Citation2008). Wang et al. formulated a stage-structured predator–prey system with time delay and Holling type II functional response (Wang, Xu, & Feng, Citation2016). The above eco-epidemiological systems assumed that only the susceptible predator have the ability to capture the prey. As we know, group living is a widespread phenomenon in nature world for animals. Many animals exhibit social behaviour and cooperate with other members of their species in order to improve their skills in defence or hunting. Thus, Hilker et al. proposed an eco-epidemiological model of pack hunting predators that suffer disease infection (Hilker, Paliaga, & Venturino, Citation2017). Afterwards, Francomano, Hilker, Paliaga, and Venturino (Citation2018) identified the tipping points of the proposed eco-epidemiological model in Hilker et al. (Citation2017).

The Leslie–Gower (LG) formulation is based on the assumption that reduction in a predator population has a reciprocal relationship with per capita availability of its preferred food (Fan, Zhang, & Gao, Citation2016). This interesting formulation for the predator dynamics has been discussed widely by the scholars at home and abroad (Fan et al., Citation2016; Gakkhar & Singh, Citation2012; Nindjin, Tia, & Okou, Citation2018; Sharma & Samanta, Citation2015; Wei, Liu, & Zhang, Citation2018; Xu, Liu, & Yang, Citation2017; Zhang, Chen, Gao, Fan, & Wang, Citation2017), and it has been also used in the ecological literature. Recently, Sarwardi et al. proposed an LG Holling type II diseased predator ecosystem in Sarwardi, Haque, and Venturino (Citation2011). However, Holling type II functional response usually suits the invertebral predators. For the vertebral predators, we have to use Holling type III functional response to describe the relationship between the predator and the prey. Based on this consideration, Shaikh, Das, and Ali (Citation2018) investigated a predator–prey system with disease in predator and LG Holling type III functional response.

In general, delay differential equations exhibit much more complicated dynamics than ordinary differential equations since a time delay could cause the population to fluctuate (Wang et al., Citation2016). Time delays of one type or another have been incorporate into dynamical systems by many researchers (Bairagi & Adak, Citation2016; Ghosh, Samanta, Biswas, & Rana, Citation2016; Ghosh et al., Citation2017; Hu & Li, Citation2012; Huang, Li, & Cao, Citation2019; Huang, Nie, et al. Citation2019; Huang, Zhao, et al. Citation2019; Li, Huang, & Li, Citation2019; Li, Wang, Li, Shen, & Lu, Citation2018; Shi et al., Citation2011; Wang et al., Citation2016; Wang, Xie, Lu, & Li, Citation2019; Xu & Zhang, Citation2013; Zhang & Wan, Citation2017; Zhang et al., Citation2008). Specially, it is well known that periodic solutions can arise through the Hopf bifurcation in delayed dynamical models. Thus, it is interesting to investigate the dynamics of eco-epidemiological systems with time delay. To this end, we study a delayed eco-epidemiological system by incorporating a time delay into system (Equation1).

The rest of this paper is structured as follows. In Section 2, the delayed eco-epidemic model with LG Holling type III functional response is formulated. In Section 3, permanence of the proposed model is investigated. Sufficient conditions for local stability and existence of Hopf bifurcation are derived in Section 4. Section 5 deals with direction of the Hopf bifurcation, stability and period of the bifurcating periodic solutions. Computer simulations of the model are performed in Section 6. Section 7, which is the last section that contains the conclusions.

2. Model formulation

The proposed eco-epidemic model with LG Holling type III functional response in Shaikh et al. (Citation2018) is as follows (1) dx(t)dt=a1x(t)b1x2(t)c1x2(t)y(t)k1+x2(t)pc1x2(t)z(t)k1+x2(t),dy(t)dt=a2y(t)c2y(t)(y(t)+z(t))k2+x(t)θy(t)z(t),dz(t)dt=θy(t)z(t)+a3z(t)c3z(t)(y(t)+z(t))k2+x(t),(1) where x(t), y(t) and z(t) denote the densities of the prey, the susceptible predator and the infected predator at time t, respectively. a1, a2 and a3 are the intrinsic growth rate of the prey, the susceptible predator and the infected predator, respectively; b1 is the intra-specific competition rate of the prey; c1 is the predation rate of susceptible predator; c2 and c3 are the death rates due to intra-specific competition of the susceptible predator and the infected predator, respectively; θ is the disease incidence rate; k1 is the half saturation constant of the prey; k2 measures the alternative food of the susceptible predator and the infected predator; p is a constant that lies between 0 and 1.

Due to crowding, dynamics of the susceptible predator and the infected predator can be delayed by their negative feedback delay. Time delay can cause a stable equilibrium to become unstable and cause the population to fluctuate, and it can cause interesting dynamics such as bifurcation and periodic solutions. Based on this consideration, we investigate the following delayed eco-epidemic model (2) dx(t)dt=a1x(t)b1x2(t)c1x2(t)y(t)k1+x2(t)pc1x2(t)z(t)k1+x2(t),dy(t)dt=y(t)(a2c2(y(tτ)+z(tτ))k2+x(tτ)θz(t)),dz(t)dt=z(t)(θy(t)+a3c3(y(tτ)+z(tτ))k2+x(tτ)),(2) subject to the initial condition (3) x(α)=φ1(α)>0,y(α)=φ2(α)>0,z(α)=φ3(α)>0,α[τ,0), φi(0)>0,i=1,2,3.(3) where τ is the negative feedback delay of the susceptible predator and the infected predator. It should be pointed out that we assume that the feedback delay of the susceptible predator is the same as that of the infected predator throughout the present paper.

3. Permanence

One can check that the system (Equation2) has a positive solution with the positive initial condition given in (Equation3). Now we show that the system (Equation2) has permanence. Before proving, we first state the definition of permanence and a lemma which will be used to prove our statement given in Theorem 3.1.

Definition 3.1

see Arino, Wang, & Wolkowicz, Citation2006; Xia, Kundu, & Maitra, Citation2018

A system is said to has permanence if for positive constants m and M we have m≤<limtinfx(t)limtsupx(t)M</ for all positive solutions x(t) of the system.

Lemma 3.1

see Arino et al., Citation2006; Xia et al., Citation2018

If for t0 and x(0)0 we have x˙x(cdx) where c>0,d>0 then limtinfx(t)cd and if for t0 and x(0)0 we have x˙x(cdx) where c>0,d>0 then limtsupx(t)cd.

Theorem 3.1

Let M1,M2,M3,m1,m2,m3 are positive constants and independent of the initial solution of system (Equation2), if the following conditions holds

  • m1≤<limtinfx(t)limtsupx(t)M1,

  • m2≤<limtinfy(t)limtsupy(t)M2,

  • m3≤<limtinfz(t)limtsupz(t)M3,

with positive initial condition, i.e. x(0)>0,y(0)>0,z(0)>0, then we say that the system (Equation2) has permanence.

Proof.

With the positive initial condition (x(0),y(0),z(0)), it is easy to see that the solution (x(t),y(t),z(t)) of (Equation2) is positive. From the first equation of (Equation2), we can write (4) dxdtx(a1b1x).(4) Integrating both sides of (Equation4) within the interval [0,t] and using the Lemma 3.1, we get (5) limtsupx(t)a1b1,(5) where a1>0,b1>0. Let M1=a1/b1, then for ϵ>0, ∃ a T1>0 s.t. x(t)M1+ϵ, t>T1.

Second equation of (Equation2), we can write (6) dydta2y.(6) Integrating both sides of (Equation6) within ‘tτ’ to ‘t’ we get (7) y(tτ)y(t)ea2τ.(7) We get (8) dydtya2c2ea2τk2+M1y,(8) By using Lemma 3.1, we can write (9) limtsupy(t)a2(k2+M1)c2ea2τ.(9) Let M2=a2(k2+M1)/c2ea2τ, then for ϵ>0, ∃ a T2>0 s.t. y(t)M2+ϵ, t>T2. Now, following the previous steps, the third equation of (Equation2) can be written as: (10) dzdtz(a3+θM2),(10) and integrating within ‘tτ’ to ‘t’, we get (11) z(tτ)ze(a3+θM2)τ.(11) Again from third equation of (Equation2), we can write (12) dzdtza3c3e(a3+θM2)τk3+M1z,(12) Using the Lemma 3.1, we get (13) limtsupz(t)a3(k3+M1)c3e(a3+θM2)τ.(13) Assume M3=a3(k3+M1)/c3e(a3+θM2)τ, then for ϵ>0, ∃ a T3>0 s.t. z(t)M3+ϵ, t>T3.

Again from the first equation of (Equation2), we can write (14) dxdtxc1(1+p)(M1+ϵ)(M2+ϵ)k1+(M1+ϵ)2a1b1(M1+ϵ)c1(1+p)(M1+ϵ)(M2+ϵ)k1+(M1+ϵ)2x,(14) and using the Lemma 3.1 we get (15) limtinfx(t){a1b1(M1+ϵ)}{k1+(M1+ϵ)2})c1(1+p)(M1+ϵ)(M2+ϵ).(15) Assume m1={a1b1(M1+ϵ)}{k1+(M1+ϵ)2}c1(1+p)(M1+ϵ)(M2+ϵ), then for ϵ>0, ∃ a T1>0 s.t. x(t)m1+ϵ, t>T1.

The second equation of (Equation2) can be written as (16) dydt=ya2θ(M3+ϵ)c2(M1+M3+2ϵ)k2+M1+ϵ.(16) Integrating both sides of (Equation16) within [tτ,t], we get (17) y(tτ)y(t)expτa2θ(M3+ϵ)c2(M1+M3+2ϵ)k2+M1+ϵ.(17)

From the second equation of (Equation2), we get (18) dydty(t)Δ1,(18) with (19) Δ1=a2θ(M3+ϵ)c2(M3+ϵ)k2+M1+ϵc2k2+M1+ϵexpτc2k2+M1+ϵa2θ(M3+ϵ)c2(M1+M3+2ϵ)k2+M1+ϵy(t).(19) Using the Lemma 3.1, we get (20) limtinfy(t)m2,(20) where m2=a2θ(M3+ϵ)c2(M3+ϵ)k2+M1+ϵc2k2+M1+ϵexp[τ{a2θ(M3+ϵ)c2(M1+M3+2ϵ)k2+M1+ϵ}],

then for ϵ>0, ∃ a T2>0 s.t. y(t)m2+ϵ, t>T2.

Again, from the third equation of (Equation2) we get, (21) dzdtz(t)a3+θ(M2+ϵ)c3(M2+M3+2ϵ)k2+M1+ϵ,(21) Integrating both sides within [tτ,t], we get (22) z(tτ)z(t)expτc3(M2+M3+2ϵ)k2+M1+ϵa3+θ(M2+ϵ)c3(M2+M3+2ϵ)k2+M1+ϵ.(22) Thus from the third equation of (Equation2) we get, (23) dzdtz(t)Δ2,(23) with (24) Δ2=a3+θ(M2+ϵ)c3(M2+ϵ)k2+M1+ϵc3k2+M1+ϵexpτc3k2+M1+ϵa3+θ(M2+ϵ)c3(M2+M3+2ϵ)k2+M1+ϵz(t).(24) Hence Lemma 3.1 gives (25) limtinfz(t)m3,(25) where m3=a3+θ(M2+ϵ)c3(M2+ϵ)k2+M1+ϵc3k2+M1+ϵexp[τ{a3+θ(M2+ϵ)c3(M2+M3+2ϵ)k2+M1+ϵ}],

then for ϵ>0, ∃ a T3>0 s.t. z(t)m3+ϵ, t>T3.

Now we assume ϵ0 and T=max{T1,T2,T3} the t>T we can write from (Equation5) & (Equation15), (Equation9) & (Equation20) and (Equation13) & (Equation25) (26) m1limtinfx(t)limtsupx(t)M1,(26) (27) m2limtinfy(t)limtsupy(t)M2,(27) (28) m3limtinfz(t)limtsupz(t)M3,(28) with the positive initial condition x(0)>0,y(0)>0,z(0)>0. Thus, we conclude that the system (Equation2) has permanence.

4. Local stability and existence of Hopf bifurcation

Based on the analysis in Shaikh et al. (Citation2018), we know that system (Equation2) has coexistence equilibrium E(x,y,z), where y=a3θxa3k2θ+a2c3a3c2θ(θx+k2θ+c2c3),z=a2θxa2k2θ+a2c3a3c2θ(θx+k2θ+c2c3), and x is the positive root of the following equation (29) A4x4+A3x3+A2x2+A1x+A0=0,(29) where A3=b1k2θ2a1θ2+b1c2θb1c3θ,A2=a1k2θ2+a2c1θp+b1k1θ2a1c2θ+a1c3θa3c1θ,A1=a2c1k2θp+b1k1k2θ2a1k1θ2a2c1c3p+a3c1c2pθ+b1c2k1θa3c1k2b1c3k1θ+a2c1c3a3c1c2,A0=a1k1k2θ2a1c2k1θ+a1c3k1θ. The Jacobi matrix of system (Equation2) about the coexistence equilibrium E(x,y,z) is given by (30) J(P)=m11m12m13n21eλτn22eλτm23+n23eλτn31eλτm32+n32eλτn33eλτ,(30) where m11=a12b1x2c1xyx2+k1+2c1x3y(x2+k1)22pc1xzx2+k1+2pc1x3z(x2+k1)2,m12=c1x2x2+k1,m13=pc1x2x2+k1,m23=θy,m32=θz,n21=c2y(y+z)(x+k2)2,n22=c2yx+k2,n23=c2yx+k2,n31=c3z(y+z)(k2+x)2,n32=c3zk2+x,n33=c3zk2+x. The characteristic equation of that matrix (Equation29) can be obtained as follows: (31) λ3+M2λ2+M1λ+M0+(N2λ2+N1λ+N0)eλτ=0.(31) with M0=m11m23m32,M1=m23m32M2=m11,N0=m11(m23n32+m32n23)m12m23n31m13m32n21,N1=m11(n22+n33)m12n21m13n31m32(n23+n32),N2=(n22+n33). In order to give the main results in this section, we make some assumptions as follows:

Assumption 4.1

M0+N0>0, M2+N2>0, (M1+N1)(M2+N2)>M0+N0>0.

Assumption 4.2

(I) m0<0, or (II) m00, m223m1>0 and v=(m2+m223m1)/3>0, f(v)0, where v=(m2+m223m1)/3>0, f(v)=v3+m2v2+m1v+m0 and m0=M02N02,m1=M122M0M2N12+2N0N2,m2=M222M1N22.

Assumption 4.3

f(v0)0, where v0=ω02 and the expression of ω0 is in the following of this section.

Theorem 4.1

For system (Equation2), under Assumptions 4.1–4.3, coexistence equilibrium E(x,y,z) is locally asymptotically stable when τ[0,τ0); system (Equation2) undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at E(x,y,z) when τ=τ0.

Proof.

When τ=0, Equation (Equation31) becomes (32) λ3+(M2+N2)λ2+(M1+N1)λ+M0+N0=0.(32)

Lemma 4.1

Shaikh et al., Citation2018

The coexistence equilibrium E(x,y,z) is locally asymptotically stable when τ=0 under the Assumption 4.1.

For τ>0, let λ=iω(ω>0) be the root of Equation(Equation32). We substitute it into Equation (Equation31). After separating the real and imaginary parts, we have N1ωsinτω+(N0N2ω2)cosτω=M2ω2M0,N1ωcosτω(N0N2ω2)sinτω=ω3M1ω. Thus we can get the equation with respect to ω (33) ω6+m2ω4+m1ω2+m0=0,(33) Let v=ω2, then Equation (Equation33) becomes (34) v3+m2v2+m1v+m0=0.(34) Define (35) f(v)=v3+m2v2+m1v+m0.(35) If m0<0, then Equation (Equation35) has at least one positive root. On the other hand, if m00, based on the Lemma 2.2 in Meng, Huo, Zhang, and Xiang (Citation2011), Equation (Equation35) has positive roots if m223m1>0 and v=(m2+m223m1)/3>0, f(v)0 hold.

Thus, under the Assumption 4.2, Equation (Equation33) has a positive root ω0=v0 and Equation (Equation32) has a pair of purely imaginary roots ±iω0. For ω0, we have τ0=1ω0×arccosN1ω0×(ω03M1ω0)+(N0N2ω0)×(M2ω02M0)N12ω02+(N0N2ω02)2. Differentiating on both sides of Equation (Equation32) with respect to τ, we can obtain [dλdτ]1=(3λ2+2M2λ+M1)eλτλ(N2λ2+N1λ+N0)τλ. Further we have Re[dλdτ]τ=τ01=f(v0)N12ω02+(N0N2ω02)2, where f(v)=v3+m2ω2+m1v+m0 and v0=ω02.

Obviously, under the Assumption 4.3, we know that Re[dλ/dτ]τ=τ010. Namely, the transverse condition holds and the conditions for Hopf bifurcation are satisfied at τ=τ0 according to the Hopf bifurcation theorem in Hassard, Kazarinoff, and Wan (Citation1981). Based on the discussion above and the Hopf bifurcation theorem in Li et al. (Citation2019), we can obtain Theorem 4.1.

5. Properties of Hopf bifurcation

For system (Equation2), we have the following results.

Theorem 5.1

If μ2>0(μ2<0), then the Hopf bifurcation is supercritical (subcritical); If β2<0(β2>0), then the bifurcating periodic solutions are stable (unstable); If T2>0(T2<0), then the period of the bifurcating periodic solutions increase (decrease);

and the expressions of μ2,β2 and T2 are as follows: (36) C1(0)=i2τ0ω0(g11g202|g11|2|g02|23)+g212μ2=Re{C1(0)}Re{λ(τ0)},β2=2Re{C1(0)},T2=Im{C1(0)}+μ2Im{λ(τ0)}τ0ω0,(36)

Proof.

Let τ=τ0+μ,μR, so that μ=0 is the Hopf bifurcation value for the system. Define the space of continuous real valued functions as C=C([1,0], R3). Let u1(t)=x(t)x, u2(t)=y(t)y, u3(t)=z(t)z, and normalize time delay with the scaling t(t/τ). Then, the delay system (Equation2) can be transformed into the functional differential equation in C as (37) u˙(t)=Lμ(ut)+F(μ,ut),(37) where u(t)=(u1,u2,u3)TC=C([1,0],R3) and Lμ: CR3 and F: R×CR3 are given as follows: Lμφ=(τ0+μ)(Amaxφ(0)+Bmaxφ(1)), and F(μ,φ)=(τ0+μ)(F1,F2,F3)T with Mmax=m11m12m1300m230m320,Nmax=000n21n220n31n32n33. and F1=g1φ12(0)+g2φ1(0)φ2(0)+g3φ1(0)φ3(0)+g4φ13(0)+g5φ12(0)φ2(0)+g6φ12(0)φ3(0)+,F2=h1φ2(0)φ3(0)+h2φ1(1)φ2(0)+h3φ12(1)+h4φ1(1)φ2(1)+h5φ1(1)φ3(1)+h6φ2(0)φ2(1)+h7φ2(0)φ3(1)+h8φ13(1)+h9φ12(1)φ2(0)+h10φ12(1)φ2(1)+h11φ12(1)φ3(1)+h12φ1(1)φ2(0)φ2(1)+h13φ1(1)φ2(0)φ3(1)+,F3=l1φ2(0)φ3(0)+l2φ12(1)+l3φ1(1)φ3(0)+l4φ1(1)φ2(1)+l5φ1(1)φ3(1)+l6φ2(1)φ3(0)+l7φ3(0)φ3(1)+l8φ13(1)+l9φ12(1)φ3(0)+l10φ12(1)φ2(1)+l11φ12(1)φ3(1)+l12φ1(1)φ3(0)φ3(1)+l13φ1(1)φ2(1)φ3(0), where g1=b1+c1k1x2(y+pz)(3x2k1)(x2+k1)3,g2=c1k1x(x2+k1)2,g3=pc1k1x(x2+k1)2,g4=2c1k1x(y+pz)3(x2+k1)3[k16x2(3x2k1)x+k1],g5=c1k1(3x2k1)(x2+k1)3,g6=c1k1p(3x2k1)(x2+k1)3,h1=θ,h2=c2(y+z)(x+k2)2,h3=c2y(y+z)(x+k2)3,h4=c2y(x+k2)2,h5=c2y(x+k2)2,h6=c2x+k2,h7=c2x+k2,h8=c2y(y+z)(x+k2)3,h9=c2(y+z)(x+k2)3,h10=c2y(x+k2)3,h11=c2y(x+k2)3,h12=c2(x+k2)2,h13=c2(x+k2)2,l1=θ,l2=c3z(y+z)x+k2,l3=c3(y+z)(x+k2)2,l4=c3z(x+k2)2,l5=c3z(x+k2)2,l6=c3x+k2,l7=c3x+k2,l8=c3z(y+z)(x+k2)4,l9=c3(y+z)(x+k2)3,l10=c3z(x+k2)3,l11=c3z(x+k2)3,l12=c3(x+k2)2,l13=c3(x+k2)2. According to the Riesz Representation theorem, there exists η(θ,μ0) for θ  [1,0] such that (38) Lμφ=10dη(θ,μ)φ(θ),(38) for φC. Choosing η(θ,μ)=(τ0+μ)(Mmaxδ(θ)+Nmaxδ(θ+1)), where δ(θ) is the Dirac delta function.

For φC([1,0],R3), define A(μ0)φ=dφ(θ)dθ,1θ<0,10dη(θ,μ0)φ(θ),θ=0, and R(μ)φ=0,1θ<0,F(μ0,φ),θ=0. Then, system (Equation37) can be transformed into the following form (39) u˙(t)=A(μ)ut+R(μ)ut.(39) For ϕC1([0,1],(R3)), the adjoint operator A of A(0) is defined as following A(ϕ)=dϕ(s)ds,0<s1,10dηT(s,0)ϕ(s),s=0, Define the bilinear inner form for A and A (40) ϕ(s),φ(θ)=ϕ¯(0)φ(0)θ=10ξ=0θϕ¯(ξθ)dη(θ)φ(ξ)dξ,(40) where η(θ)=η(θ,0).

Let ρ(θ)=(1,ρ1,ρ2)Teiω0τ0θ be the eigenvector of A(0) corresponding to +iω0τ0 and ρ(s)=D(1,ρ2,ρ3)Teiτ0ω0s be the eigenvector of A(0) corresponding to iτ0ω0. Then, we can obtain ρ2=m13n21eiτ0ω0+m23(iω0m11)m12m23+m13(iω0n22eiτ0ω0),ρ3=iω0m11m12ρ2m13,ρ2=iω0+m11+n31eiτ0ω1ρ3n21eiτ0ω0,ρ3=m23(iω0+m11)eiτ0ω0m13n21m23n31n21(iω0n33eiτ0ω0). Based on Equation (Equation40), we can obtain ϕ(s),φ(θ)=ϕ¯(0)φ(0)θ=10ξ=0θϕ¯(ξθ)dη(θ)φ(ξ)dξ=D¯101+ρ2ρ2+ρ3ρ¯310(1,ρ¯2,ρ¯3)θeiτ0ω0θdη(θ)(1,ρ2,ρ3)T=D¯[1+ρ2ρ2+ρ3ρ¯3+τ0eiτ0ω0(n21ρ¯2+n31ρ¯3+ρ2(n22ρ¯2+n32ρ¯3)+n33ρ3ρ¯3)]. Let ρ,ρ=1, then D¯=[1+ρ2ρ2+ρ3ρ¯3+τ0eiτ0ω0(n21ρ¯2+n31ρ¯3+ρ2(n22ρ¯2+n32ρ¯3)+n33ρ3ρ¯3)]1. such that ρ,ρ¯=0.

In what follows, we use the algorithms in Hassard et al. (Citation1981) and the similar computation process to that in Zhang, Upadhyay, Agrawal, and Datta (Citation2018), Zhao and Bi (Citation2017), Xu (Citation2017), we can obtain g20=2D¯τ0[g1+g2ρ2+g3ρ3+ρ¯2(h1ρ2ρ3+h2ρ2eiτ0ω0+h3e2iτ0ω0+h4ρ2e2iτ0ω0+h5ρ3e2iτ0ω0+h6ρ22eiτ0ω0+h7ρ2ρ3eiτ0ω0)+ρ¯3(l1ρ2ρ3+l2e2iτ0ω0+l3ρ3eiτ0ω0+l4ρ2e2iτ0ω0+l5ρ3e2iτ0ω0+l6ρ2ρ3eiτ0ω0+l7ρ32eiτ0ω0)],g11=D¯τ0[2g1+g2(ρ¯2+ρ2)+g3(ρ¯3+ρ3)+ρ¯2(h1(ρ2ρ¯3+ρ3ρ¯2)+h2(ρ¯2eiτ0ω0+ρ2eiτ0ω0)+2h3+h4(ρ¯2+ρ2)+h5(ρ¯3+ρ3)+h6ρ2ρ¯2(eiτ0ω0+eiτ0ω0)+h7(ρ2ρ¯3eiτ0ω0+ρ¯2ρ3eiτ0ω0))+ρ¯3(l1(ρ2ρ¯3+ρ3ρ¯2)+2l2+l3(ρ¯3eiτ0ω0+ρ3eiτ0ω0)+l4(ρ¯2+ρ2)+l5(ρ¯3+ρ3)+l6(ρ2ρ¯3eiτ0ω0+ρ¯2ρ3eiτ0ω0)+l7ρ3ρ¯3(eiτ0ω0+eiτ0ω0))]g02=2D¯τ0[g1+g2ρ¯2+g3ρ¯3+ρ¯2(h1ρ¯2ρ¯3+h2ρ¯2eiτ0ω0+h3e2iτ0ω0+h4ρ¯2e2iτ0ω0 +h5ρ¯3e2iτ0ω0+h6ρ¯22eiτ0ω0+h7ρ¯2ρ¯3eiτ0ω0)+ρ¯3(l1ρ¯2ρ¯3+l2e2iτ0ω0+l3ρ¯3eiτ0ω0+l4ρ¯2e2iτ0ω0+l5ρ¯3e2iτ0ω0+l6ρ¯2ρ¯3eiτ0ω0+l7ρ¯32eiτ0ω0)],g21=2D¯τ0[g1(2W11(1)(0)+W20(1)(0))+g2(W11(1)(0)ρ2+12W20(1)(0)ρ¯2+W11(2)(0)+12W20(2)(0))+3g4+g5(ρ¯2+2ρ2)+g6(ρ¯3+2ρ3)+ρ¯2(h1(W11(2)(0)ρ3+12W20(2)(0)ρ¯3+W11(3)(0)ρ2+12W20(3)(0)ρ¯2)+h2(W11(1)(1)ρ2+12W20(1)(1)ρ¯2+W11(2)(0)eiτ0ω0+12W20(2)(0)eiτ0ω0)+h3(2W11(1)(1)eiτ0ω0+W20(1)(1)eiτ0ω0)+h4(W11(1)(1)ρ2eiτ0ω0+12W20(1)(1)ρ¯2eiτ0ω0+W11(2)(1)eiτ0ω0+12W20(2)(1)eiτ0ω0)+h5(W11(1)(1)ρ3eiτ0ω0+12W20(1)(1)ρ¯3eiτ0ω0+W11(3)(1)eiτ0ω0+12W20(3)(1)eiτ0ω0)+h6(W11(2)(0)ρ2eiτ0ω0+12W20(2)(0)ρ¯2eiτ0ω0+W11(2)(1)ρ2+12W20(2)(1)ρ¯2)+h7(W11(2)(0)ρ3eiτ0ω0+12W20(2)(1)ρ¯3eiτ0ω0+W11(3)(1)ρ2+12W20(3)(1)ρ¯2)+3h8eiτ0ω0 +h9(ρ¯2e2iτ0ω0+2ρ2)+h10eiτ0ω0(ρ¯2+2ρ2)+h11eiτ0ω0(ρ¯3+2ρ3)+h12(ρ2ρ¯2+ρ22+ρ2ρ¯2e2iτ0ω0)+h13(ρ2ρ¯3+ρ2ρ3+ρ2ρ¯3e2iτ0ω0))+ρ¯3(l1(W11(2)(0)ρ3+12W20(2)(0)ρ¯3+W11(3)(0)ρ2+12W20(3)(0)ρ¯2)+l2(2W11(1)(1)eiτ0ω0+W20(1)(1)eiτ0ω0)+l3(W11(1)(1)ρ3+12W20(1)(1)ρ¯3+W11(3)(0)eiτ0ω0+12W20(3)(0)eiτ0ω0)+l4(W11(1)(1)ρ2eiτ0ω0+12W20(1)(1)ρ¯2eiτ0ω0+W11(2)(1)eiτ0ω0+12W20(2)(1)eiτ0ω0)+l5(W11(1)(1)ρ3eiτ0ω0+12W20(1)(1)ρ¯3eiτ0ω0+W11(3)(1)eiτ0ω0+12W20(3)(1)eiτ0ω0)+l6(W11(3)(0)ρ2eiτ0ω0+12W20(3)(0)ρ¯2eiτ0ω0+W11(2)(1)ρ3+12W20(2)(1)ρ¯3)+l7(W11(3)(0)ρ3eiτ0ω0+12W20(3)(1)ρ¯3eiτ0ω0+W11(3)(1)ρ3+12W20(3)(1)ρ¯3)+3l8eiτ0ω0+l9(ρ¯3e2iτ0ω0+2ρ3)+l10eiτ0ω0(ρ¯2+2ρ2)+l11eiτ0ω0(ρ¯3+2ρ3)+l12(ρ3ρ¯3+ρ32+ρ3ρ¯3e2iτ0ω0)+l13(ρ2ρ¯3e2iτ0ω0+ρ2ρ3+ρ¯2ρ3))], with W20(θ)=ig20ρ(0)τ0ω0eiτ0ω0θ+ig¯02ρ¯(0)3τ0ω0eiτ0ω0θ+E1e2iτ0ω0θ,W11(θ)=ig11ρ(0)τ0ω0eiτ0ω0θ+ig¯11ρ¯(0)τ0ω0eiτ0ω0θ+E2.E1 and E2 can be obtained by the following two equations E1=22iω0m11m12n21e2iτ0ω02iω0n22e2iτ0ω0n31e2iτ0ω0m32n32e2iτ0ω0m13m232iω0n33e2iτ0ω01×E1(1)E1(2)E1(3),E2=2m11m12m13n21n22m23n31m32+n32n331×E2(1)E2(2)E2(3), where E1(1)=g1+g2ρ2+g3ρ3,E1(2)=h1ρ2ρ3+h2ρ2eiτ0ω0+h3e2iτ0ω0+h4ρ2e2iτ0ω0+h5ρ3e2iτ0ω0+h6ρ22eiτ0ω0+h7ρ2ρ3eiτ0ω0,E1(3)=l1ρ2ρ3+l2e2iτ0ω0+l3ρ3eiτ0ω0+l4ρ2e2iτ0ω0+l5ρ3e2iτ0ω0+l6ρ2ρ3eiτ0ω0+l7ρ32eiτ0ω0),E2(1)=2g1+g2(ρ¯2+ρ2)+g3(ρ¯3+ρ3),E2(2)=h1(ρ2ρ¯3+ρ3ρ¯2)+h2(ρ¯2eiτ0ω0+ρ2eiτ0ω0)+2h3+h4(ρ¯2+ρ2)+h5(ρ¯3+ρ3)+h6ρ2ρ¯2(eiτ0ω0+eiτ0ω0)+h7(ρ2ρ¯3eiτ0ω0+ρ¯2ρ3eiτ0ω0),E2(3)=l1(ρ2ρ¯3+ρ3ρ¯2)+2l2+l3(ρ¯3eiτ0ω0+ρ3eiτ0ω0)+l4(ρ¯2+ρ2)+l5(ρ¯3+ρ3)+l6(ρ2ρ¯3eiτ0ω0+ρ¯2ρ3eiτ0ω0)+l7ρ3ρ¯3(eiτ0ω0+eiτ0ω0).

Thus, we can obtain the expressions of μ2, β2 and T2. The proof is completed.

6. Numerical simulation

In this section, we present numerical simulation to illustrate our analytical findings. We choose a set of parameters as follows: a1=4.5, b1=0.075, c1=2.8, k1=100, p=0.047, a2=3.8, c2=1.97, k2=160, θ=0.0937, a3=0.005 and c3=1.95. Then system (Equation2) becomes (41) dx(t)dt=4.5x(t)0.075x2(t)2.8x2(t)y(t)100+x2(t)0.1316x2(t)z(t)100+x2(t),dy(t)dt=y(t)3.81.97(y(tτ)+z(tτ))160+x(tτ)0.0937z(t)1.97(y(tτ)+z(tτ))160+x(tτ),dz(t)dt=z(t)1.95(y(tτ)+z(tτ))160+x(tτ)0.0937y(t)+0.0051.95(y(tτ)+z(tτ))160+x(tτ).(41) With the aid of Matlab software package, we can obtain the unique coexistence equilibrium E(56.4348, 3.8372,36.6245) of system (Equation41) and the conditions of local asymptotic stability of E are satisfied when τ=0. For τ>0, we can obtain ω0=0.6049, τ0=1.2015 and λ(τ0)=1.4076+0.8266i. Thus we can derive the following values C1(0)=3.0818+1.2297i, μ2=2.1894>0, β2=6.1636<0 and T2=4.1820<0.

Thus, E(56.4348, 3.8372,36.6245) is locally asymptotically stable when τ[0,τ0=1.2015), which can be illustrated by Figure . As can be seen from Figure , fixing τ=1.1865[0,τ0=1.2015), the solution of system (Equation41) with initial value x(0)=39, y(0)=3.55 and z(0)=29.2745 would tend to E(56.4348,3.8372,36.6245); that is, E(56.4348, 3.8372,36.6245) is locally asymptotically stable. However, once the value of τ passes through the critical value τ0=1.2015, the coexistence equilibrium (56.4348,3.8372,36.6245) loses its stability and a Hopf bifurcation occurs; that is, a family of periodic solutions bifurcate from E(56.4348,3.8372,36.6245). This property can be shown as in Figure . The bifurcation phenomenon can be also illustrated by the bifurcation diagrams in Figure . In addition, since μ2>0, β2<0 and T2<0, according to Theorem 5.1, we can conclude that the Hopf bifurcation is supercritical; the bifurcating periodic solutions are stable; and the period of the bifurcating periodic solutions decreases.

Figure 1. E is locally asymptotically stable when τ=1.1865<τ0=1.2015 with initial values ‘39, 3.55, 29.2745’. (a) The trajectory of x, (b) The trajectory of y, (c) The trajectory of z and (d) The phase plot of x, y and z.

Figure 1. E∗ is locally asymptotically stable when τ=1.1865<τ0=1.2015 with initial values ‘39, 3.55, 29.2745’. (a) The trajectory of x, (b) The trajectory of y, (c) The trajectory of z and (d) The phase plot of x, y and z.

Figure 2. E loses stability and undergoes a Hopf bifurcation when τ=1.2295>τ0=1.2015 with initial values ‘39, 3.55, 29.2745’. (a) The trajectory of x, (b) The trajectory of y, (c) The trajectory of z and (d) The phase plot of x, y and z.

Figure 2. E∗ loses stability and undergoes a Hopf bifurcation when τ=1.2295>τ0=1.2015 with initial values ‘39, 3.55, 29.2745’. (a) The trajectory of x, (b) The trajectory of y, (c) The trajectory of z and (d) The phase plot of x, y and z.

Figure 3. Bifurcation diagram with respect to time delay. (a) Bifurcation diagram of x, (b) Bifurcation diagram of y and (c) Bifurcation diagram of z.

Figure 3. Bifurcation diagram with respect to time delay. (a) Bifurcation diagram of x, (b) Bifurcation diagram of y and (c) Bifurcation diagram of z.

7. Conclusions

In this paper, a delayed eco-epidemic model with LG Holling type III functional response is proposed by incorporating the negative feedback delay of the susceptible predator and the infected predator into the model formulated in the literature (Shaikh et al., Citation2018). Compared with the work by Shaikh et al. (Citation2018), we mainly focus on the effect of the time delay on the model and the model in the present paper is more general.

It has been shown that, under some conditions, the system (Equation2) is permanent. Moreover, we find that the negative feedback delay of the predator may destabilize the coexistence equilibrium of the eco-epidemiological system and cause the population to fluctuate if the given conditions are satisfied. Particularly, there is a threshold τ0 for the time delay such that below it the coexistence equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. In this case, the disease spreading among the predators can be controlled. However, if the delay is greater than the threshold τ0, a Hopf bifurcation arises. This implies that the disease spreading among the predators becomes periodically endemic and the disease among the predators is out of control. Furthermore, properties of the Hopf bifurcation such as direction and stability are investigated. Finally, we present some numerical simulations to support our theoretical results.

However, we only consider the existence of the local Hopf bifurcation of the system (Equation2). We leave the existence of the global Hopf bifurcation for our next work. In addition, we neglect the negative feedback delay of the prey in the system (Equation2). Therefore, we will investigate the Hopf bifurcation of the following system with multiple delays by considering the different combinations of the delays as the bifurcation parameter: (42) dx(t)dt=x(t)a1b1x(tτ1)c1x(t)y(t)k1+x2(t)pc1x(t)z(t)k1+x2(t),dy(t)dt=y(t)(a2c2(y(tτ2)+z(tτ2))k2+x(tτ2)θz(t)),dz(t)dt=z(t)(θy(t)+a3c3(y(tτ3)+z(tτ3))k2+x(tτ3)),(42) where τ1, τ2 and τ3 are the negative feedback delay of the prey, the susceptible predator and the infected predator, respectively.

Acknowledgements

The authors are grateful to the editor and the anonymous referees for their valuable comments and suggestions on the paper.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.

Additional information

Funding

This research was supported by Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province [grant number 1708085MA17], Project of Support Program for Excellent Youth Talent in Colleges and Universities of Anhui Province [grant numbers gxyqZD2018044, gxbjZD49] and the Natural Science Foundation of the Higher Education Institutions of Anhui Province [grant numbers KJ2018A0437, KJ2019A0655, KJ2019A0662].

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