Plasma creatinine and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis prognosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract

Background: Plasma creatinine has been described as a prognostic biomarker for Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS), but with conflicting results in the literature. We performed a systematic review followed by a meta-analysis to address this question. Methods: We performed a systematic review of Pubmed, Embase and Cochrane databases and retrieved 14 distinct cohorts (19 studies) reporting results regarding the relationship between plasma creatinine and a clinical marker for ALS progression, notably ALSFRS (ALS Functional Rating Scale) and survival. Results: For baseline plasma creatinine, mortality risk was 28% lower when creatinine was higher than 88.4 µmol/L (hazard ratio (HR): 0.72; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.58 to 0.88; p = 0.0003) and was 25% lower if creatinine was above versus below the median (HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.89; p = 0.0008). We found a significant positive correlation between plasma creatinine at baseline and functional score, and between creatinine decline and functional score decline (p < 0.0001 for both); but a negative correlation between plasma creatinine and functional score decline (p = 0.033). The overall quality of the studies was low mainly due to potential attrition bias, and several studies did not report analyzable results raising concern regarding a potential reporting bias. Conclusions: Plasma creatinine seems to be a promising prognostic biomarker for ALS. However, new studies with sound methodology and standardized criteria for the evaluation of ALS progression should be conducted to validate plasma creatinine as a clinical biomarker for ALS prognosis.

Keywords:

• ALS
• biomarkers
• plasma creatinine
• prognosis
• systematic review

Acknowledgments

The authors thank Mrs Catherine Weill from the Bibliothèque Interuniversitaire de Santé, Paris Descartes University, for her help with the Embase search strategy.

Declaration of interest

The authors report no conflicts of interest. The authors alone are responsible for the content and writing of this article.