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FINANCIAL ECONOMICS

Does halo effect of innovative firms moderate the impact of working capital efficiency on firm value? Evidence from India

ORCID Icon, ORCID Icon & ORCID Icon
Article: 2068240 | Received 01 Jul 2021, Accepted 09 Apr 2022, Published online: 28 Apr 2022

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine whether perceived innovativeness moderates the relationship between working capital management (WCM) and firm value. The study uses a sample of 200 listed Indian firms for 2015–2019. The firms are classified into innovative and non-innovative categories using the OECD and the EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard 2018. Using OLS and GMM-DPD estimations, the study finds in accordance with the prior literature that a sample of firms exhibits a positive relationship between WCM efficiency and firm value. The original contribution of the paper is finding that low R&D and high R&D firms are treated differently when investors factor WCM into prices. The firms belonging to industries that are perceived to be innovative are not penalised in terms of valuation even if they follow inefficient WCM. However, firms that belong to industry sectors that are perceived to be non-innovative experience a drop in their valuation if their WCM is inefficient. The authors argue that this difference is due to the halo effect of innovative firms. The results imply that the halo effect obscures the true valuation. Hence, investors should learn to avoid valuing innovative firms’ WCM based merely on their classification into an innovative industry sector.

Public interest statement

The paper studies how innovativeness, perceived either through industry affiliation or by higher Research and Development expenditure, changes the way investors value the efficiency of firms’ working capital management (WCM). Data for 200 Indian firms over 2005–2009 were analysed using robust regression models. The study finds that as WCM becomes more efficient, it increases the firm value. However, when firms are classified into innovative and non-innovative industry categories or low R&D and high R&D categories, it is found that investors value the WCM efficiency differently based on perceived innovativeness. The firms that belong to the innovative industry sector do not exhibit a drop in firm valuation even if they follow inefficient WCM. On the contrary, firms that belong to non-innovative industry sectors experience a decline in their valuation if their WCM is inefficient. The study implies that the halo effect around innovativeness obscures the actual valuation. Hence, investors should be conscious of the bias while valuing innovative firms based on WCM efficiency.

1. Introduction

Working Capital Management (WCM) is essential and often considered one of the most critical corporate finance decisions to manage its operations effectively (Abuzayed, Citation2012; Nyeadi et al., Citation2018). Working capital (WC) acts as a lubricant in the process of churning profits by asset turnover. Thus, it is a critical factor in shareholders’ value maximisation (Deloof, Citation2003). Working capital management comprises retaining an ideal level of inventories, accounts receivables, and accounts payables (Lazaridis & Tryfonidis, Citation2006). It also includes effective cash management and current liabilities, properly negotiating a balance between firms’ liquidity and profitability (Aktas et al., Citation2015; Jose et al., Citation1996).

It is always convenient (and less risky) to have the required inventory and enough liquidity in a firm. However, more capital tied up in working capital may lead to lesser capital expenditure (CAPEX), which may hamper the firm’s growth. The PWC report on the working capital survey 2018–19Footnote1 states that “converting cash is becoming harder, and capital expenditure is continuing to decline, and the cost of cash is increasing.” Similarly, Ernst and Young’s 2019 report on WCM states that “US$2.5 trillion is tied up in excess working capital, which is above the reasonable operating cash requirements, to run their business models.” Thus, it is widely accepted that investors penalise firms for inefficient WCM, resulting in longer working capital cycles in developed markets (Deloof, Citation2003; Wang, Citation2019) and developing countries like India (Saravanan et al., Citation2017).

The Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC) is one of the widely held measures of the efficiency of WCM (Richards & Laughlin, Citation1980). The Net Trading Cycle (NTC) is another popular measure of WCM (Shin & Soenen, Citation1998). Both measure the time interval for which cash is tied up in the working capital cycle, starting from buying raw materials on credit, keeping the inventory for production, selling the finished good on credit, finally getting the cash from the customer, and paying off the vendor. CCC and NTC though qualitatively similar apply different denominators to calculate Accounts Receivable Days (ARD), Inventory Holding Days (IHD), and Accounts Payable Days (APD), the components of the WC cycle. This paper uses CCC as a measure of the efficiency of WCM.

This paper questions whether innovativeness or perceived innovativeness moderate the way WCM affects firm value. Innovativeness represents how successfully firms react to and adapt to changes in the environment (Tajeddini, Citation2011). Since such changes are inevitable and mostly uncontrollable, how the firms generate new ideas and modify their existing processes, policies, or structure is key to being innovative. Efficiently done, it forms an organisational culture and adds to the firm value (Rubera & Kirca, Citation2012).

The Halo effect is a cognitive bias that plays a pivotal role in this study. Halo effect is generally defined as the positive “influence of a global evaluation on evaluations of individual attributes” (Nisbett & Wilson, Citation1977). The effect is strong for ambiguous attributes that are difficult to ascertain by individuals. However, Nisbett and Wilson (Citation1977) point out that “Global evaluations may be capable of altering perceptions of even relatively unambiguous stimuli, about which the individual has sufficient information to render a confident judgment.” This paper argues that innovative firms have a halo around them, although studies like Kock et al. (Citation2011) note that the net effect of technological innovativeness on commercial success may be close to zero.

The authors argue and present evidence in this paper that due to the halo effect, firms belonging to the innovative industries, irrespective of the actual research and development expenditure (R&D) made, are penalised less despite having higher CCC days (i.e., inefficient WCM), compared to non-innovative firms. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is novel in revealing that halo effect for firms belonging to the innovative industries moderates the relationship between WCM and firm value. Contrary to Aktas et al. (Citation2015), industry-specific target CCCs are not significant for listed Indian firms (Banerjee et al., Citation2021). This study also finds that deviation from median CCC does not affect the firm value for the sample of innovative firms. However, for non-innovative firms, the positive deviation from the sample median decreases firm value significantly, while negative deviations have no significant impact. Thus, affiliation to industry type may be more indicative of how investors judge firm performance. Finally, there is scant research on WCM in the Indian context, and the paper adds valuable insights on Indian firms to the literature.

Most of the earlier studies on working capital management studied the issue from a traditional finance perspective. The originality and major contribution of the paper to the extant literature is that it examines the behavioural perspective by addressing two novel issues. First, whether R&D expenditure plays a role in the way WCM impacts firm value. Since better WCM frees up capital that may be used for R&D. Second, the Halo effect of innovativeness, just through having affiliation to innovative industry instead of actually having high R&D, creates a behavioural bias in investors psyche that impacts the firm value.

The results have value for the managers since they can tweak their working capital management and have a CCC to balance between profitability and liquidity by considering whether they belong to an innovative industry or not. However, investors may learn to avoid the halo effect and value innovative firms’ WCM not merely on their classification into an innovative set of industries but also on actual freeing up of funds due to more efficient WCM and investing the same in R&D.

The study is organised as follows: Section 2 reviews the literature, followed by the theoretical background and development of the hypotheses. Next, section 3 discusses the data and the methodology, while Section 4 presents the results. Section 5 discusses the results and their implications. Finally, section 6 concludes the study and highlights the limitations and future scope of work.

2. Review of literature, theoretical background, and hypotheses

2.1. Review of literature

2.1.1. Working capital management and firm value

Working capital is a financial indicator that reflects a company’s operating liquidity and is derived by deducting the current liabilities from current assets. WCM enables firms to monitor cash and working capital based on the movements in the inventory, accounts receivables and accounts payables over a period. Extant literature confirms that WCM acts as a balance between short-term liquidity and long-term profitability of firms (Deloof, Citation2003) and thus impacts the firms’ market value (Banerjee et al., Citation2021).

There are two main threads in the WCM literature. The first thread focuses on how WCM impacts profitability (Abuzayed, Citation2012; Baños-Caballero et al., Citation2012; Deloof, Citation2003; Sharma & Kumar, Citation2011). Profitability has been typically measured by either or a combination of Gross Operating Profit (GP), Net Operating Profit (NP), Net Profit Margin (NPM), Return on Assets (ROA), and Return on Capital Employed (ROCE). The second thread measures the impact of WCM on firm value using Tobin’s Q (Abuzayed, Citation2012), or other measures of Enterprise Value (EV), or related measure of firm value using excess stock return, or Alpha (Aktas et al., Citation2015; Banerjee et al., Citation2021; Wang, Citation2019).

Profitability, being a key to the firm value, is the basis of most studies. A majority of the studies find that higher WC days are negatively related to firm profitability, inferring higher WC days as a source of inefficiency. Soenen (Citation1993) investigates whether NTC as a measure of WCM efficiency can explain the ROA of US firms. The study finds that although there is a variation across industries, overall, higher the NTC lower the ROA. Jose et al. (Citation1996) test the long-run equilibrium relationship between the CCC and different profitability measures and find a negative relation between CCC and profitability. Further, Shin and Soenen (Citation1998) analyse US firms from 1975 to 1994 and establish a negative relationship between working capital efficiency (proxied by NTC) and profitability (gross and net profit).

Deloof (Citation2003) uses a sample of 1,009 large Belgian non-financial firms for 1992–96 to find a negative relationship between WCM (measured by CCC) and profitability. The study uses components of CCC: ARD, APD, and IHD as measures of trade credit and inventory policy, individually. Using a sample of Saudi Arabian firms, Eljelly (Citation2004) finds a significant negative relationship between a firm’s profitability and liquidity level measured by the current ratio. Moreover, when WCM efficiency (measured by CCC) is low, it accentuates the negative relationship further.

Padachi (Citation2006) uses a sample of 58 small manufacturing companies in Mauritius to reveal that the short-term component of working capital financing is increasing over time. The study shows that higher investment in inventories and receivables results in lower profitability. Juan García‐Teruel and Martínez‐Solano (Citation2007) find the same outcome for Spanish SMEs using panel data regression methodology. Enqvist et al. (Citation2014) studied Finnish firms to conclude that the relationship between working capital and profitability becomes more pronounced during economic booms than during economic downturns. However, Soukhakian and Khodakarami (Citation2019) use data from listed Iranian manufacturing firms and report that macroeconomic factors do not moderate the negative relationship between CCC and ROA.

On the contrary, a few studies point out that higher investment in working capital might increase a firm’s profitability. For example, Abuzayed (Citation2012) studies 8 years’ data for 52 non-financial companies listed on the Amman Stock Exchange to conclude that an increase in CCC and its three components (ARD, IHD, APD) increased the profitability of the firms.

The firms often face the tradeoff in working capital investments, between profitability, on one hand, and risk on the other, which affects firm value. Overaggressive liquidity management by targeting a lower CCC may lead to stock-out problems and, thereby, loss of sales. Therefore, firms have to manage their working capital to ensure smooth operations and simultaneously maintain the liquidity to meet their obligations (Eljelly, Citation2004). Thus, WCM balances maintaining enough liquidity and freeing up cash for investment into positive Net Present Value (NPV) projects (Jose et al., Citation1996). Therefore, both managers and investors need to understand the optimal level of working capital that firms should maintain.

Lazaridis and Tryfonidis (Citation2006) find the relationship of corporate profitability (measured by gross operating profit) and WCM efficiency (measured by CCC and its components) of 131 companies listed in the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) for the period 2001–04. They report evidence in favour of an optimum level for the different components. The issue of the optimality of working capital has been further explored by Baños-Caballero et al. (Citation2012). They establish a concave quadratic relationship between CCC and Profitability. Additionally, using instrument variables for CCC, they found an optimal value of CCC for their sample firms. Similarly, Pais and Gama (Citation2015) find target-seeking behaviour and the presence of optimal WC for Portuguese firms.

In the Indian context, Saravanan et al. (Citation2017) analyse 12 years of data from 261 non-financial Indian firms to conclude that working capital efficiency affects firm value. They use several concurring measures of firm value for robustness (Tobin’s Q ratio, EV/Sales ratio, EBITDA margin, and ROA). They find the presence of optimal CCC for which Tobin’s-Q is maximised. Prasad et al. (Citation2019) also find a deviation from optimal NTC to impact profitability negatively. On the contrary, Chauhan and Banerjee (Citation2018) analysed a large sample of Indian firms from 1993 to 2015 to report the absence of an optimum level of working capital for Indian firms.

Some popular measures of firm value used in the literature are the ratio of enterprise value to operating income (EV/EBITDA), Tobin’s Q, Return on Equity (ROE), Earnings per Share (EPS), and market-to-book value (Bianconi & Tan, Citation2019; Nurein & Din, Citation2017; Saravanan et al., Citation2017). However, few studies have investigated the impact of working capital efficiency on firm value based on the market performance of their stocks, such as excess return or Alpha (Aktas et al., Citation2015; Banerjee et al., Citation2021). Using firm-level data from 2013 to 2018, Hussain et al. (Citation2021) show that firms’ net operating cash flow impacts the relationship between CCC and financial performance. Arachchi et al. (Citation2018) examine the value effect of WCM efficiency of firms in a high growth frontier market and note that efficient WCM positively impacts firm value. In contrast, Vijayakumaran (Citation2019) finds that NTC and firm value are negatively related.

Aktas et al. (Citation2015) analyse a sample of 15,541 US companies from 1982 to 2011 to find that lower NTC results in higher excess stock returns. They find evidence that the industry median NWC/Sales level is optimal, and firms should seek to achieve that target to maximise their operating and market performance. Wasiuzzaman (Citation2015) concludes that working capital efficiency results in higher firm value only for financially constrained firms. Wang (Citation2019) analyses the return of long-short portfolios based on CCC, effectively searching for and establishing the existence of a return premium for CCC. In the Indian context, Banerjee et al. (Citation2021) applied GMM based dynamic panel data models to find that industry medians are not significant as they target optimal CCC for Indian firms. They further show that the negative relationship is a piecewise linear relation with a threshold CCC. If a firm’s CCC is below the threshold, the firm value is not affected. In contrast, investors perceive the WCM as inefficient, resulting in lower excess return and firm value if the CCC is above the threshold.

2.1.2. Firm innovativeness and firm value

The literature suggests that firms that adopt innovation get the necessary boost to enhance their performance (Dos Santos & Peffers, Citation1995). The organisation’s ability to succeed must adapt to the ever-changing and uncontrollable external environment by aligning its characteristics and processes as per the contingency theory (Lawrence & Lorsch, Citation1967; Tajeddini, Citation2011).

The innovative firms engage themselves in innovative capabilities, such as introducing new products, organisational practices, marketing practices, or new technological processes (Walker et al., Citation2015). Innovation by firms gives them a competitive advantage, especially in a dynamic environment (Damanpour, Citation1991; Damanpour & Aravind, Citation2012). Additionally, innovative firms prefer to employ a balanced approach in adopting technical and administrative innovations. They collectively support and enhance their performance compared to implementing innovativeness at the individual level (Damanpour & Gopalakrishnan, Citation2001). This practice forms an organisational culture and adds to the firm value (Rubera & Kirca, Citation2012). Investors see this culture of innovation as attractive as it increases firm value.

R&D expenses (Dambiski Gomes de Carvalho et al., Citation2017; Wrede & Dauth, Citation2020), along with the number of patents filed (Wen & Zheng, Citation2020) and the number of scientific publications (Simeth & Cincera, Citation2016), are prominent proxies to measure the innovativeness of a firm. Knott (Citation2008) uses Research Quotient (RQ) (the firm-specific output elasticity of R&D) as another measure of the fruitfulness of R&D.

Although studies like Kock et al. (Citation2011) note that the net effect of technological innovativeness on commercial success may be close to zero, the literature generally cites positive effects of innovation on firm value. Moreover, extant studies indicate a significant effect of R&D expense on innovation behaviour and culture that positively impact firm value (Chandler et al., Citation2000; Rubera & Kirca, Citation2012).

2.2. Theoretical Background and hypotheses

The cash conversion cycle (CCC) is the number of days a firm takes to recover the cash locked up in the working capital cycle. Hence, the shorter the number of days, the more beneficial it is for the firms as financing costs are reduced. Therefore, CCC is taken as one of the primary proxies of WCM efficiency in this paper.

As discussed in the literature review, higher CCC signifies more capital tied up in working capital. Hence, freeing up the fund for investment in positive NPV projects (or productive CAPEX) increases firm value. However, firms with more WC investments may find it easier to sail through uncertain times, supply chain shocks, and liquidity bottlenecks. It is widely found in the literature that overall, there is a negative impact of higher CCC on firm value for firms in both developed (Soenen, Citation1993) and emerging markets (Saravanan et al., Citation2017; Wasiuzzaman, Citation2015). Hence, the first hypothesis, which also forms the basis of later hypotheses of the paper, may be stated as:

H1: Cash conversion cycle days negatively impact firm value

The effects of accounts receivable days (ARD), inventory holding days (IHD), and accounts payable days (APD) have to be studied individually to understand the effect of CCC as a proxy of WCM efficiency (Cumbie & Donnellan, Citation2017). The ARD represents the seller company’s credit period to the buyer’s company; therefore, it serves as the short-term financing arrangement to the buyer company. It also serves as the capacity of the seller company to withstand the receivables in their books (García-Teruel & Martínez-Solano, Citation2010). Therefore, the fewer credit days extended by the firm, the less cash shortage it will experience. Consequently, higher ARD is expected to impact firm value negatively.

H1a: Accounts receivable days negatively impact firm value

Similarly, the literature suggests that inventory-level reduction is expected to increase firm value (Deloof, Citation2003). Firms need to maintain a minimum level of inventory of raw materials, work-in-progress and finished goods for smooth operations and minimum supply chain shocks (Eroglu & Hofer, Citation2011). The investment in inventory directly relates to the amount tied up in the form of inventory. If freed up, the cash can be invested in more profitable opportunities, increasing the firm value. Hence, the following hypothesis is formed.

H1b: Inventory holding days negatively impact firm value

Firms enjoy the time to settle the accounts payables as a source of short-term funding. Hence, the delay serves as a source of short-term funds and can help firms overcome the liquidity crunch (Bhattacharya, Citation2014). Therefore, the next hypothesis is as follows:

H1c: Accounts payable days positively impact firm value

2.2.1. Linkage between WCM Efficiency and R&D

The R&D for an organisation is crucial to stay competitive, both in terms of market share and cost, and most importantly, to remain in the present market and secure future growth. This trend has emerged due to the recognition that R&D is critical to the success of both businesses and economies. It attempts to achieve a competitive advantage by combining technology improvements with new products and services and developing new manufacturing processes to secure a more significant market share (Cohen & Levinthal, Citation1989). Firms try to gain a competitive advantage through R&D initiatives for sustainable development as competition grows and technologies change rapidly, giving heterogeneous R&D behaviour varies across firms (Kang et al., Citation2017).

The investment in R&D and its persistence involve large-scale funds both on the capital account and revenue expenditure. In this regard, sources of capital play a crucial role in funding the R&D activities in a firm. The sources can be internally generated or through external borrowing. Extant literature focused on the internally generated funds for the R&D investments (Grabowski, Citation1968; Himmelberg & Petersen, Citation1994; Ughetto, Citation2008). Their studies have evidenced that R&D levels are connected to levels of internal cash flow. However, Switzer (Citation1984) and Wang and Thornhill (Citation2010) concluded that debt (considering the riskiness and intangibility of R&D) is not a good source of R&D financing. The study by Carpenter and Petersen (Citation2002) and Martinsson (Citation2010) suggest that equity is an ideal source of funding for R&D. The investment smoothing concept employing working capital in R&D expenses was developed by Fazzari and Petersen (Citation1993). Further, studies on the elements of working capital were on cash holdings (in constrained firms) by Bigelli and Sánchez-Vidal (Citation2012). Similarly, the merits of trade credit and account receivables were highlighted by Petersen and Rajan (Citation1997). Thus, efficient WCM could be an important source of cash freed up. Hence, WCM efficiency may impact firm value through the route of more R&D expenses, resulting in higher future cash flows. Therefore, the study first checks whether R&D expense has any moderating effect on how CCC and its components impact firm value.

H2: Firm R&D expense moderates the relationship between cash conversion cycle days and firm value

H2a: Firm R&D expense moderates the relationship between accounts receivable days and firm value

H2b: Firm R&D expense moderates the relationship between inventory-holding days and firm value

H2c: Firm R&D expense moderates the relationship between accounts payable days and firm value

2.2.2. Halo effect of innovativeness on firm value

Ho et al. (Citation2011) suggest through empirical analysis that business-model innovation can result in higher market value for firms in high-end technology industries than low-end ones. Seminal research points out that innovative organisations distinguish themselves from their counterparts, i.e., non-innovative organisations (Damanpour, Citation1991). The authors argue that innovativeness is an ideal candidate for the halo effect cognitive bias in investors’ decision-making. This argument is further supported by findings that despite heterogeneity across industries, overall scientific publications by a firm positively impact firm value beyond the effects of R&D, patent stocks, and patent quality (Simeth & Cincera, Citation2016).

Due to the halo effect, a global evaluation like “innovativeness is value-creating,” coupled with the stereotype that “firms belonging to innovative industries are value-creating,” may lead investors to neglect other critical negative factors like inefficient WCM (proxied by higher CCC) while valuing a firm. The halo effect is especially strong for decisions based on ambiguous attributes that are difficult to ascertain by individuals. In those cases, it acts as a heuristic. However, positive global evaluation, at times, is capable of altering even relatively unambiguous attributes, on which individuals may have sufficient information to make a rational judgment (Nisbett & Wilson, Citation1977).

CCC is not directly reported in financial statements. Whereas the Current Ratio (Current Asset/Current liability) can be computed from the data provided in the financial statements in one step, CCC requires two-step calculation and is considerably complex and costly to compute. Since the cost of obtaining the variable is high, investors may consider relying on heuristics rather than acquiring the data (Grossman & Stiglitz, Citation1980). Thus, this paper hypothesises that innovative firms have a halo around them, and it moderates the way CCC impacts the firm value. The following testable hypotheses are formed based on the above discussions and arguments.

H3: The effect of WCM efficiency (CCC, ARD, IHD, APD) on firm value is different for firms belonging to innovative industries than the same for firms belonging to non-innovative industries.

Finally, the target-seeking behaviour may differ across two sets of industries—innovative and non-innovative, due to investors treating them using different benchmarks based on the halo effect bias. Hence, the final hypothesis is as follows:

H4: The effect of departure from optimal/threshold CCC on firm value is different for firms belonging to innovative industries than the same for firms belonging to non-innovative industries.

3. Data and methodology

3.1. Data and variables

3.1.1. Data

The sample is constructed from the companies listed in the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) between 2015 and 2019. The data for this study is collected from the Capitaline DatabaseFootnote2 for Indian firms. All banks and financial institutions are removed. All public sector firms (PSUs), where the Government of India has a majority and controlling stake, are also removed since they may have distinct halo effects that might interfere with the stated objective. The final sample consists of 200 listed Indian firms across 23 industry sectors. They represent companies with the largest market capitalisation across two broad classifications of industry sectors—innovative industries and non-innovative industries.

The sectors are classified into Innovative and Non-innovative categories as per the definition of innovative firms as laid down by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD; Grupp, Citation1995) and the EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard 2018. The method classifies industries into innovative and non-innovative industries based on their R&D intensity and technology intensity (Nurein & Din, Citation2017). The classification of industry sectors and the number of firms in each sector are listed in Table .

Table 1. Classification of industries into innovative and non-innovative categories

3.1.2. Variables

In this study, the ratio of Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA is used to measure the firm value of Indian companies (dependent variable). EV/EBITDA is a measure of firm value based on earnings multiples. A more frequent measure in the WCM literature is Tobin’s-Q which measures the firm value based on growth opportunities (market to book value) of a firm. However, EV/EBITDA measures the price the firm demands per unit of operating profit (EBITDA). Since, through cost reduction and future sales maximisation, R&D ultimately enhances EBITDA, it is argued as a better measure, (than Tobin’s-Q) in this context. Further, from an investor’s point of view, the ratio can be easily calculated, as the number is disclosed prominently in the financial statements. The EV/EBITDA metric is distinctive as it supports an equity investor to assess the firm on tangible market value (Bhullar & Bhatnagar, Citation2013) and, therefore, a robust proxy of firms’ market value (Lifland, Citation2011).

The primary explanatory variable, the CCC, is used as a proxy for the efficiency of WCM. It is a popular measure of working capital efficiency (Deloof, Citation2003; Juan García‐Teruel & Martínez‐Solano, Citation2007). CCC is calculated from its components: accounts receivable days (ARD), inventory-holding days (IHD), and accounts payable days (APD). The R&D Intensity (RD) is used to measure firm innovativeness (Dambiski Gomes de Carvalho et al., Citation2017; Wrede & Dauth, Citation2020). RD is measured by the percentage of R&D expenditure on sales to capture the firms’ focus on innovativeness.

Researchers widely use CCC to measure WCM efficiency (Deloof, Citation2003). NTC and CCC are related measures, and the results of the studies conducted by Deloof (Citation2003) were comparable by using CCC or NTC. Similarly, Nurein and Din (Citation2017) also use CCC as a measure of WCM to study the effect of WCM on the firm value of the innovative and non-innovative firms. Furthermore, in their review paper on working capital management, Prasad et al. (Citation2019) report that 27 articles totalling 77% of the articles (under the review corpus of 35 articles) use CCC as a proxy for WCM, whereas NTC by two papers.

There has been evidence that optimal CCC (from the quadratic relationship) doesn’t exist in India (Banerjee et al., Citation2021; Chauhan & Banerjee, Citation2018). Hence, optimal CCC and deviation from that are not used. However, deviation from median CCC is utilised to test the non-linear effect.

The control variables used in this study are firm size (SZ), financial leverage (LEV), working capital ratio (WCR), growth in sales (GRW), age of the firm (AGE), and net profit margin (NPM). These are taken as control variables in accordance with the past studies (Deloof, Citation2003; Juan García‐Teruel & Martínez‐Solano, Citation2007; Kieschnick et al., Citation2013; Prasad et al., Citation2019; Saravanan et al., Citation2017). The variables used in this study, their acronyms, type (whether dependent, independent, or control variable), and the formula for computation are presented in Table .

Table 2. Variable description

The study uses NPM (Profit after Tax/Sales) to control cost-efficiency. ROA, ROE, EBITDA/TA or EBITDA/EQ are other common profitability measures. However, since R&D impacts the firms in two major ways: cost reduction and future sales, authors argue that the NPM along with control for firm size proxied by the log of sales control for their effect well. As the effect of R&D undertaken by the firm cannot be directly measured, the NPM ratio captures the impact of R&D in operations, administration, and finance. R&D activities contribute to the improvement of revenue and reduction of costs, which converge in profits to the firm. The sales reflect the R&D efforts or activities undertaken in the previous years till the current year. However, total assets, or ROA, may be distorted due to capex that is funded mainly by debt instead of cash saved through efficient WCM. Similarly, RoE is not considered as there may be a capital infusion, leading to noise in the measure.

3.2. Methodology

The linear regression model has been used to examine the stated hypotheses in this study. EquationEquation (1) tests for the first hypothesis, while EquationEquation (2) tests hypothesis H2 employing an interaction term with CCC and RD.

(1) FVit=α+β1CCCit+χitRDit+jκiXitj+μi+τt+εit(1)
(2) FVit=α+β1CCCit+β2CCCit×RDit+χitRDit+jκiXitj+μi+τt+εit(2)

Hypotheses H1a, H1b, and H1c are tested using EquationEquation (3), while hypotheses H2a, H2b, and H2c are tested using EquationEquation (4). EquationEquation (4) has RD interacting with ARD, IHD, and APD separately.

(3) FVit=α+γ1ARDit+δ1CCCit+λ1CCCit+χitRDit+jκjXitj+μi+τt+εit(3)
(4) FVit=α+γ1ARDit+δ1CCCit+λ1CCCit+γ2(ARDit×RDit)+δ2(ARDit×RDit)+λ2(ARDit×RDit)+χitRDit+jκjXitj+μi+τt+εit(4)

In all the equations i is the index of firms, t is the index of years, α is the constant (intercept term), μi measures the firm (cross-section) fixed effects, τt measures the year (period) fixed effects, and εit is the random error term. Xitj represents the six control variables (j=1to6) with respective coefficients κj.

Further, Equationequations (1), (Equation2), (Equation3), and (Equation4) are reused to test hypothesis H3 for subsamples of innovative and non-innovative firms. Testing the hypothesis H4 involves testing the medians of the two subsamples of innovative and non-innovative firms as possible threshold points, above and below which the effect of CCC on firm value differs. Thus, the absolute deviation from median CCC (MEDIANCCCs) of each firm is computed for two subsamples using EquationEquation (5) and EquationEquation (6)

(5) MEDPOSits=maxCCCitsMEDIANCCCs,0(5)
(6) MEDNEGits=maxMEDIANCCCsCCCits,0(6)

Further, they are used in EquationEquation (7) to test hypothesis H4.

(7) FVits=α+Φ1MEDPOSits+Φ2MEDPOSits+χitRDit+jκiXitj+μi+τt+εit(7)

Where i is the index of firms, t is the index of years, and s is the index of subsamples.

In the first step of regression analysis, the panel data OLS is fitted with fixed effect for each firm (cross-section) and each year (period or time) to estimate the equations. However, the Durbin-Watson statistic is high, and the cross-section dependence test (Breusch-Pagan LM Test, Baltagi et al., Citation2003; Breusch & Pagan, Citation1980) suggests that the cross-section dependence (correlation) in residuals. This significant first-order autocorrelation renders the OLS estimation inefficient. Thus, Dynamic Panel Arellano-Bond n-step estimator (GMM-DPD) has been used to find robust estimates. In this GMM-DPD method, dummy variables are used to remove period fixed effects, differences are used to remove cross-sectional fixed effects, and past level values of all explanatory variables are used as instruments. The Sargan-Hansen J-statistic (H0: GMM Overidentifying restrictions are valid, i.e., instruments are valid) and its p-values are reported to support the validity of the GMM estimates (Hansen, Citation1982).

The classification of firms into innovative and non-innovative categories is exogenous. Hence, this could affect the results. Therefore, sample firms are categorised into high RD firms and low RD firms for a robustness check. If a firm’s average RD over the sample period is above (or below) the median of average RD of all firms, then the firm is classified as high RD (or low RD). The regression Equationequations (1), (Equation2), (Equation3), and (Equation4) are estimated using OLS and Dynamic Panel Arellano-Bond n-step estimator on the two subsamples separately.

4. Results

4.1. Descriptive statistics and correlation matrix

The descriptive statistics and correlation matrix presented in Table and Table show that none of the variables except SZ and AGE is close to being normally distributed. The correlation matrix presents the Pearson correlation among the variables used in this study. None of the variables, except IHD and CCC, are highly correlated, suggesting no multicollinearity problems.

Table 3. Descriptive statistics

Table 4. Correlation among variables

4.2. Regression results

Table presents the results of EquationEquations (1), (Equation2), (Equation3), and (Equation4) fitted on the entire sample. In the OLS model, both the fixed effects are not redundant. Although the F-statistics is significant and the Equation could explain 37.44% variation in the firm value, the presence of first-order autocorrelation makes the estimation inefficient. Hence, GMM-DPD has been fitted. The Sargan-Hansen J-statistic for GMM-DPD suggests that the estimates are not over-identified by the instruments and are robust (Hansen, Citation1982). Results from both OLS and GMM-DPD indicate that the firms with higher CCC have significantly lower firm value (FV), ceteris paribus (H1 supported). RD is not significant in either of the cases.

Table 5. Impact of WCM efficiency and R&D intensity on firm value for sample of all firms

Similarly, EquationEquation 2, estimated using OLS and GMM-DPD, suggests that the interaction of RD does not impact the negative and significant relationship between CCC and FV. Thus, it can be inferred that the R&D intensity neither impacts FV nor has any moderating effect on the negative relationship of CCC with firm value. Thus, hypothesis H2 is not accepted.

The rest of the columns in Table presents the results for EquationEquations (3) and (Equation4) that tests the effects of components of CCC (ARD, IHD, and APD) on firm value and the moderating effect of RD on their relationship with firm value. It is clear from the results presented in Table that ARD does not affect firm value (H1b not accepted). In contrast, IHD has a significant negative effect on firm value (H1c supported by both OLS and GMM-DPD), while expectedly, APD positively affects firm value (H1d supported by only OLS). In all the cases, the interaction terms of RD with ARD, IHD, and APD assume insignificant coefficients. Thus, we conclude that R&D intensity does not have any significant moderating effect on the relationship of individual components of CCC on firm value (H2b, H2c, H2d not accepted).

Table presents the results of EquationEquations (1), (Equation2), (Equation3), and (Equation4) fitted on the subsample of innovative firms. It is clear and consistent from all the estimations (both OLS and GMM-DPD) that neither CCC nor RD significantly impacts the FV for innovative firms. RD does not moderate the relationship between CCC and FV for innovative firms. Only in one case does APD have a weakly significant (at 10%) positive impact on firm value (OLS Equation-3).

Table 6. Impact of WCM efficiency and R&D intensity on firm value for sample of innovative firms

In contrast, EquationEquations (1), (Equation2), (Equation3), and (Equation4) fitted on the subsample of non-innovative firms (results presented in Table ) show that CCC has a significant negative impact on FV for both OLS and GMM-DPD estimations. IHD also negatively impacts FV (both OLS and GMM-DPD), while APD has a positive effect only in OLS estimation. For non-innovative firms, RD neither affects FV nor has any moderating impact on the relationship of WCM efficiency variables on FV. Thus, it can be concluded by contrasting Table and Table that the effect of WCM efficiency on FV significantly differs for the two classifications of firms (H3 supported).

Table 7. Impact of WCM efficiency and R&D intensity on firm value for sample of non-innovative firms

The classification of firms into innovative and non-innovative categories is exogenous, and the results may depend upon the particular method applied for such classification. Therefore, a robustness test is performed by segregating the sample of all firms into high and low RD firms by dividing them according to their average R&D intensity over the sample period. Table presents the results of EquationEquation (1) and (Equation2) with OLS and GMM-DPD, fitted on the entire sample. Results for EquationEquations (3) and (Equation4) are qualitatively similar and not reported for brevity. Table provides evidence that WCM efficiency (CCC) has no impact on FV, even for the high-RD firms. In contrast, CCC has a significant negative effect on FV for low-RD firms. In all the cases, RD has no individual or moderating effect on FV. Results presented in Table support hypothesis H3.

Table 8. Robustness Test: Effect of WCM efficiency on firm value for samples of high R&D and low R&D firms

Finally, Table presents the results of Equationequations (7) estimated through OLS and GMM-DPD models separately for the two subsamples of innovative and non-innovative firms. The results of OLS and GMM-DPD are consistent. They indicate no effect of either positive or negative deviation from median CCC for the sample of innovative firms. However, for non-innovative firms, while a positive deviation from median CCC lowers FV, negative deviations have no impact on FV. Thus, hypothesis H4, which postulates the target-seeking behaviour of innovative vs. non-innovative firms, measured by the different effects of CCC on FV on either side of a threshold/optimal CCC, is supported.

Table 9. Test for optimal or threshold WCM efficiency in determining firm value for samples of innovative and non-innovative firms

5. Discussions and implications

5.1. Discussions

The results suggest that the firm value (FV), of which the market value of the firm’s equity is a significant component, is impacted negatively by WCM efficiency when both innovative and non-innovative firms are considered. The results corroborate previous findings (Saravanan et al., Citation2017; Soenen, Citation1993). The individual components IHD and APD have positive and negative impacts, respectively, on FV, which is similar to the findings of Afrifa (Citation2013), Deloof (Citation2003), and Bhattacharya (Citation2014), etc. Since the increase in working capital days signifies inefficient working capital management, it results in cash being tied up in the working capital cycle for a more extended period. If freed up, the funds could have been used for investment in positive NPV projects, resulting in higher returns for the stakeholders. Thus, investors reprimand the firm with inefficient WCM by devaluing it.

However, a deeper investigation into the issue by segregating firms into innovative and non-innovative categories based on their industries shows that the values of firms belonging to innovative industries are not affected by an increase in working capital days. On the contrary, the firms belonging to non-innovative industries experience a significant reduction in their firm value with increasing working capital days. Further, it is found that the target-seeking behaviour is not present for the firms belonging to innovative industries. In contrast, for their non-innovative industry counterparts, if the WC days are more than the median (target), they are penalised more in terms of valuation.

In this paper, the authors argue that this difference in behaviour is due to the halo effect around firms that belong to the innovative industries, whether the OECD classification (Grupp, Citation1995) or the categorisation based on high (or low) R&D expenditure intensity is used. Since innovative firms are expected to deliver higher returns to their investors over the long term (Rubera & Kirca, Citation2012), there is a universal positive sentiment around such firms. Therefore, due to the halo effect, a global evaluation like “innovativeness is value-creating,” coupled with the stereotype that “firms belonging to innovative industries are value-creating,” allows investors to neglect factors like inefficient WCM while valuing firms from innovative industries. Further, this paper provides evidence that while valuation, whether the firm invests in R&D substantially does not impact the relationship of WCM with firm value. However, the absence of such a halo effect allows investors to consider WCM efficiency as a crucial factor while valuing firms that do not belong to innovative industries.

5.2. Implications and original contributions

This study has multiple implications for both academicians and practitioners. First, it adds to the literature by exploring the presence of a behavioural bias in investors due to which they factor in WCM efficiency into firm value differently. Second, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, it is a novel study to elucidate how mere affiliation to the innovative industry can moderate the way investors perceive WCM efficiency. Third, the study finds that investors adjust their trading behaviour accordingly and do not exhibit any target-seeking behaviour for working capital days for firms belonging to innovative industries. However, for firms belonging to non-innovative industries, investors seek a target working capital days and penalise firms for having higher working capital days than the target.

Practitioners and investors may use the results of this study to update their valuation and trading strategies. The cognisance of the halo effect may prompt them to see their valuation of firms belonging to innovative industries more objectively. The exploitation of overvaluation may, over time, correct the bias and make the valuations more efficient.

6. Conclusions

This paper highlights the significance of working capital management efficiency for firm value. The paper has comprehensively studied the effect of the aggregate measure of working capital days (CCC) and its three components (ARD, IHD, APD) on firm value. The extant literature has suggested that higher “working capital days” impact firm value negatively. This paper starts with the premise and finds evidence favouring the same, strengthening the acceptability of the sample as a representative one. However, further investigations reveal that firms from innovative and non-innovative industry sectors are evaluated differently. The authors argue that this difference is due to a halo effect around firms from innovative industries. Due to the halo effect, their valuations are not impacted by higher working capital days, unlike the firms from non-innovative industries. The results obtained from the sample of Indian firms are expected to hold for other emerging markets.

Although it is a novel study in the field of the effect of WCM on firm value and the moderating effect of industry categorisation, it has some scope for improvement. First, further research with more firms in each type of industry sector may be studied. Second, the finding of this paper may be evaluated in other countries to see whether the halo effect bias is universal or a distinctive characteristic of Indian investors.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s)

Additional information

Funding

The authors received no direct funding for this research.

Notes on contributors

Sayantan Kundu

Sayantan Kundu, a Fellow of IIM Calcutta, is an Assistant Professor of Finance at Praxis Business School, Kolkata. His research and teaching interests lie in Capital Markets, Asset Pricing, Corporate Finance, and Financial Institutions. He has published papers in reputed indexed journals and is a reviewer of a few reputed journals.

Kamran Quddus

Kamran Quddus is currently engaged as an Assistant Professor in Accounting & Finance area at IIM Ranchi. He graduated from IIM Calcutta with a specialization in Finance and Control. His research areas include Asset Pricing, Behavioural Finance, and Investments.

Nistala Jagannath Sharma

Nistala Jagannath Sharma is an Executive PhD scholar in the area of Accounting and Finance at the Indian Institute of Management Ranchi. He is a Fellow of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India, CPA(USA), LLB. His research interests are in Working Capital Management, Forensic Accounting, Sustainability Reporting, and Corporate Finance.

Notes

1. Please refer to the PwC report titled “Navigating uncertainty: PwC’s annual global Working Capital Study” 2018–19

2. Capitaline Database for Indian companies by Capital Market Publishers India. See https://www.capitaline.com/

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