Abstract
In this article, we consider the model having co-infection of TB and HIV for numerical analysis and modelling. For this purpose, used non-standard finite difference scheme with Mickens approach rather than h to control this disease. Furthermore, we analyse the well-posedness and stability of the system. Also, check the sensitivity analysis of the verse condition and as well as analyzed qualitatively. Finally represents the numerical solution of the model which supports the theoretical results.
1. Introduction
Human immunodeficiency virus is a global health problem which is a lentic virus and causes HIV infection. It is one of the most studied infectious diseases in the world. If an infected individual does not use medicines against HIV, then the total survival time of that individual is 9–11 years (Lawn & Zumla, Citation2011; Tahir, Inayat, & Zaman, Citation2019). After discovery of the virus, the models for HIV infection was discovered at late 1980s. In the 1900, SIR and SIS model by Kendrick and McCormack as well as bread-and-butter models of mathematical epidemiologists were discovered and this model for HIV was inspired from these models. These models were used to investigate infections between persons and population (Anderson & May, Citation1991). Viruses can investigate in person’s body by ‘viral dynamics’ model (Nowak & May, Citation2000). These models have since been used to describe many other human virus infections, such as Hepatitis B and C, influenza, dengue and herpes simplex virus (Alison, Citation2018). A system of nonlinear ordinary differential equation is used to made viral dynamic model which further used to investigate clinical parameters of HIV patient (Huang, Wu, & Acosta, Citation2010).
The outbreak of HIV was considered to wellbeing debacle at current times. HIV considered to most exasperating disease to different parts of the world, this made scientists to study about infection and its affects on human body during second pandemic of disease. This decrease in overspread of disease. But spread of the disease remains continue and treatment remains inaccessible to the mind-boggling standard of the individuals who require it (Sadegh & Miehran, Citation2015). Accordingly, various mathematical modelling have been arranged in the past time frames for HIV/AIDS spread elements. Global stability of equilibrium point for scientific models of HIV/AIDS spread elements have been pondered by various creators. It is normal that the HIV scourge feasts both through horizontal and vertical transmission (Silva & Torres, Citation2018).
Numerical mix of differential conditions was logically practiced by NSFD technique that was discovered by Mickens (Citation2005, Citation2007). NSFD scheme was applied to discretized SIRS outbreak by Sekiguchi and Ishiwata. Gonzalez-Parra, Arenas, and Charpentier (Citation2010) explained the durability of a SIRS distinct pandemic model through the NSFD scheme. Pandemic model was explained by Moghadas et al. to put forward NSFD defensive scheme (Arenas, Parra, & Charpentier, Citation2010). Here, we will demonstrate that a distinct pandemic model with inoculation built by NSFD wholeheartedly affirmation the inspiration of arrangements and the worldwide undercurrents of the identical nonstop model. Different models are studies for different numerical techniques to analysis the epidemic model to understand actual behaviour of the disease (Alexander, Summers, & Moghadas, Citation2006; Jordan, Citation2003; Mickens, Citation1994). A test problem of predator-prey model with two different cases are examined to determined the capability of our proposed methods in Kumar, Kumar, Cattani, and Samet (Citation2020) and Odibat and Kumar (Citation2019), and the proposed algorithm suggests a new optimal construction of the homotopy that reduces the computational complexity and improves the performance of the method in Kumar, Nisar, Kumar, Cattani, and Samet (2020) and Kumar, Kumar, Agarwal, and Samet (2020). A new fractional derivative with a non-singular kernel involving exponential and trigonometric functions is proposed in Alshabanat, Jleli, Kumar, and Samet (Citation2020), Kumar, Ghosh, Lotayif, and Samet (Citation2020), Veeresha, Prakasha, and Kumar (Citation2020), and Kumar, Ghosh, Samet, and Goufo (Citation2020) and some related new approaches for epidemic models are illustrated here (Farman, Ahmad, Akgul, & Imtiaz, Citation2020; Farman, Akgul, Baleanu, Imtiaz, & Ahmad, Citation2020; Farman, Saleem, A. Ahmad, & M. O. Ahmad, 2018; Farman, Saleem, et al., Citation2020; Farman, Saleem, M. O. Ahmad, & A. Ahmad, 2018; Farman, Saleem, Tabassum, Ahmad, & Ahmad, 2019; Raza, Farman, Akgul, Iqbal, & Ahmad, Citation2020; Saleem, Farman, Ahmad, Ehsan, & Ahmad, Citation2020; Saleem, Farman, Ahmad, & Rizwan, Citation2017; Saleem, Farman, Rizwan, Ahmad, & Ahmad, Citation2018). Some properties related to this new operator are established and some examples are provided (Baleanu, Jleli, Kumar, & Samet, Citation2020; Kumar, Kumar, Abbas, Al Qurashi, & Baleanu, 2020; Kumar, Kumar, Odibat, Aldhaifallah, & Nisar, 2020).
In this article, brief introduction of the model is given in Section 2, also discussed the stability, well-posedness and qualitative analysis in Section 3. Furthermore, the system is analyzed by local asymptotically stable. Also, check the sensitivity analysis of the verse condition and as well as analyzed qualitatively. We proposed the NSFD scheme for co-infection of TB-HIV model. Numerical simulations are carried out to support the analytical results in Sections 4 and 5.
2. Mathematical model
In this analysis of co-infection of HIV and TB, we suppose that total population is homogeneous and closed. Let N denotes the total number of population. Next, we divide this N into six different classes and parameters used in model, where the state space parameters and associate parameters and their description is presented in and respectively.
The mathematical model of co-infection HIV-TB can be represented as follows, (1) (1) along with initial condition Here S(t) is susceptible human, is infectious human with TB, is infectious human with HIV, is I = infectious human with co-infection of HIV-TB, is infectious human with only HIV and susceptible to TB, is Infectious human with both HIV and TB in time (Fatmawati, Citation2016). While area of biological interest of model (1) is
3. Well-Posedness of the model
Theorem 3.1.
Assumed that the modelEquation(1)(1) (1) enclosing all possible results with respect to non-negative initial solution then it is non-negative over the whole time.
Proof.
Assume that we have non-native initial solution of the model Equation(1)(1) (1) , that is (2) (2) By model Equation(1)(1) (1) , the principal condition is evaluated as follows, (3) (3) The solution of S can be evaluated by following expression, (4) (4) where and Therefore, for all time The non-negativity of rest parameters, the model Equation(1)(1) (1) can be demonstrated as follows, (5) (5) The above system Equation(5)(5) (5) can be demonstrated in the form of matrix as follows, (6) (6) where and It is clear that the matrix M is a Matzler matrix (a matrix whose all diagonal entries are strictly negative and non-diagonal entries are non-negative). From this fact, we investigate is invariant along with the stream of model Equation(6)(6) (6) , which completes the proof.□
Theorem 3.2.
Suppose that the underlying circumstances for considered modelEquation(1)(1) (1) , the following conditions holds,
Here, (7) (7) Then, when the zeros of considered model exists on an interval J, it holds for subsequent a priori limits
Proof.
The result can be proved by three cases,
Case: 1 Subsequently, we have the following transformation by using first and second equation of model Equation(1)(1) (1) , (8) (8) Since,
So, we have, Applying Gronwall inequality, we get This gives us, Consequently, Replacing this in fifth equation of model, we have This implies that, Case: 2 Subsequently, we have the following transformation by using first and third equation of model (1), (9) (9) Since,
So, we have, Applying Gronwall inequality, we get This gives us, Consequently, Replacing this in fifth equation of model, we have This implies that, Case: 3 Subsequently, we have the following transformation by using first and second equation of model Equation(1)(1) (1) , (10) (10) Since,
So, we have, Applying Gronwall inequality, we get This gives us, Consequently, Replacing this in fifth equation of model, we have This implies that, The boundedness of Aht is proved similarly, which completes the proof.□
3.1. Qualitative analysis
In this section we present the stability analysis of considered model presented in EquationEquation (1)(1) (1) . Furthermore, we investigate the model (1) is locally stable at disease free and endemic equilibrium points. The disease free equilibrium points of model (1) is computed as follows, Let be represent the disease free equilibrium points then by solving EquationEquation (1)(1) (1) in a well-known mathematical software MATHEMATICA, the solution is computed as follows, (11) (11) Next, we find existence and evaluate the equilibrium points of considered model Equation(1)(1) (1) . Assume that be an equilibrium point such that, we have following TB-HIV endemic equilibrium point such that, (12) (12) Next we substitute the value of in 3rd equation of system (1), (13) (13) we have the term It satisfy the following quadratic equation, (14) (14) where (15) (15) Consider as follows (16) (16) where are represented the reproductive number.
Theorem 3.3.
For disease free equilibrium point E0 if real part of eigenvalues of Jacobian matrix J of considered systemEquation(1)(1) (1) , then the systemEquation(1)(1) (1) is locally asymptotically stable otherwise it is unstable.
Proof.
Let J be a Jacobian matrix of system Equation(1)(1) (1) is and is computed by following expression, (17) (17) where and For disease free equilibrium points the Jacobian matrix J0 becomes, (18) (18) The eigenvalue of matrix J0 is computed by finding the solution of where I is an 6 × 6 identity matrix. Take Thus the eigenvalues of J0 are follows, All of the eigenvalues of considered Jacobian matrix J are strictly negative, therefore the system is locally asymptotically stable at disease free equilibrium.□
3.2. Sensitivity analysis
The sensitivity analysis of reproduction number with respect to each parameters is, (19) (19) From above sensitivity analysis, we analyze that the become sensitive by a very slight variation in parameters. The reproduction number increase with increment of and decrease with decrease with parameters
The sensitivity of reproduction number with respect to each parameters is, (20) (20) From above sensitivity analysis, we analyze that the become sensitive by a very slight variation in parameters. The reproduction number increase with increment of and decrease with decrease with parameters
4. Proposed NSFD scheme
The fundamental hypothesis of nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) displaying was set up by Micken’s with a portion of his articles from the eighties. An essential reference is the book (Mickens, Citation2000) which he altered, and where he gave the first section (Mickens, Citation2000). The discretized transformation of model Equation(1)(1) (1) in the form of NSFD scheme using first order forward method is discriminated as follows, This implies that (21) (21) Also, we have This implies, (22) (22) Also, we have This implies, (23) (23) Also, we have This implies, (24) (24) Also, we have This implies, (25) (25) Also, we have This implies, (26) (26)
5. Results and discussion
In this section, we present some numerical simulations of susceptible human S, infectious human with TB It, infectious human with HIV Ih, infectious human with both of HIV-TB Iht, infectious human with only HIV and susceptible to TB Ah and infectious human with both HIV and TB Aht for both case of and using values of associated parameters taken in and respectively. By analyzing the graphical results assure us to justify the theoretical literature review of stability and instability of co-infection of TB-HIV. The following graphical results are plotted by a well-known software MATLAB. By using the NSFD scheme, we draw the graphical solution of the system in which will approached to study state points for disease free and in for endemic point of the system.
6. Conclusion
In this article, we present a mathematical model for the co-infection of TB and HIV transmission along with variable aggregate population size. The well-posedness of the co-infection TB-HIV model is presented. Furthermore, we analyze the existence of a disease-free and endemic equilibrium for the co-infection of TB-HIV. Also, we present the basic reproduction number and for Tb and HIV infection respectively. The formulation and sensitivity analysis of fundamental reproduction numbers for Tb and HIV are analyzed. The formulation of the proposed co-infection TB-HIV model in terms of non-standard finite difference schemes is presented. Finally, we present the graphical representation of the solution using the Non-Standard Finite Difference scheme which provides the solution according to our steady-state for both disease-free and endemic equilibrium.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).
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