Likelihood-Based Inference for Max-Stable Processes

Abstract

The last decade has seen max-stable processes emerge as a common tool for the statistical modeling of spatial extremes. However, their application is complicated due to the unavailability of the multivariate density function, and so likelihood-based methods remain far from providing a complete and flexible framework for inference. In this article we develop inferentially practical, likelihood-based methods for fitting max-stable processes derived from a composite-likelihood approach. The procedure is sufficiently reliable and versatile to permit the simultaneous modeling of marginal and dependence parameters in the spatial context at a moderate computational cost. The utility of this methodology is examined via simulation, and illustrated by the analysis of United States precipitation extremes.

Keywords:  :

• Extreme value theory
• Multivariate extreme analysis
• Pseudo-likelihood
• Rainfall
• Spatial dependence
• Spatial extremes